Caen
Match Timeline
Bastia
Caen vs Bastia Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
51.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
70.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Caen Win 51.9%
Draw 13.7%
Bastia Win 34.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caen2.53
Bastia1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caen
WWDLW
22 GF / 13 GA
Bastia
WLDWL
7 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
2.75
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
2.2
6
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Caen
8 matches
Bastia
5 matches
| Caen | Statistic | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 22 | Goals For | 7 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 2.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.2 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Caen won 6 times, Bastia won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:14 from Caen's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.3%)
H2H summary: Caen wins 6, draws 5, Bastia wins 4
Standings
National
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:5 | 12 | 20 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 16 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:3 | 9 | 15 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 7 |
Caen
Home
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 15 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 12 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 12 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 |
Bastia
Away
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 11 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | 7 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 4 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation