Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
51.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
70.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Caen Win 51.9%
Draw 13.7%
Bastia Win 34.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caen2.6
Bastia1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caen
WWDLW
21 GF / 13 GA
Bastia
WLDWL
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
2
6
BTTS Yes
2
6
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Caen
7 matches
Bastia
4 matches
| Caen | Statistic | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 21 | Goals For | 5 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 3 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Caen won 6 times, Bastia won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:14 from Caen's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.3%)
H2H summary: Caen wins 6, draws 6, Bastia wins 3
Last matches: Caen
14.08.26
Lig
Caen
Thionville Lusitanos
3
4
L
07.08.26
Lig
Caen
Valenciennes
4
0
W
31.07.26
Fri
Caen
Dieppe
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Caen
Al Wakrah
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Caen
Laval
4
2
W
15.07.26
Fri
Caen
Gobelins
3
4
L
09.07.26
Fri
Caen
Rennes
2
1
W
15.05.26
Lig
Caen
Aubagne
1
3
L
09.05.26
Lig
Caen
Concarneau
0
0
D
24.04.26
Lig
Caen
Villefranche
3
0
W
17.04.26
Lig
Caen
Bourg-en-bresse 01
2
0
W
10.04.26
Lig
Caen
Gobelins
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lig
Caen
Stade Briochin
1
1
D
27.03.26
Lig
Caen
Rouen
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lig
Caen
Orleans
1
1
D
13.03.26
Lig
Caen
Le Puy Foot
0
1
L
06.03.26
Lig
Caen
Chateauroux
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Caen
Valenciennes
1
2
L
20.02.26
Lig
Caen
Sochaux
1
3
L
13.02.26
Lig
Caen
Dijon
3
3
D
Last matches: Bastia
14.08.26
Lig
Bastia
Aubagne
1
0
W
07.08.26
Lig
Bastia
Le Puy Foot
0
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Bastia
Aubagne
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Bastia
Rodez
3
5
L
09.05.26
Lig
Bastia
Le Mans
0
2
L
02.05.26
Lig
Bastia
Guingamp
1
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Bastia
Clermont Foot
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Bastia
Saint Etienne
2
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Bastia
RED Star FC 93
3
4
L
03.04.26
Lig
Bastia
Amiens
1
1
D
20.03.26
Lig
Bastia
Rodez
1
1
D
13.03.26
Lig
Bastia
Boulogne
0
1
L
06.03.26
Lig
Bastia
PAU
2
2
D
27.02.26
Lig
Bastia
Annecy
0
2
L
20.02.26
Lig
Bastia
Dunkerque
1
1
D
16.02.26
Lig
Bastia
Estac Troyes
0
0
D
06.02.26
Lig
Bastia
Reims
0
0
D
30.01.26
Lig
Bastia
Nancy
0
0
D
23.01.26
Lig
Bastia
Montpellier
0
2
L
16.01.26
Lig
Bastia
Laval
2
0
W
H2H: Caen vs Bastia
10.05.25
H2H
Bastia
Caen
2
1
L
02.11.24
H2H
Caen
Bastia
2
0
W
23.01.24
H2H
Bastia
Caen
1
2
W
02.12.23
H2H
Caen
Bastia
1
0
W
03.02.23
H2H
Caen
Bastia
3
1
W
26.12.22
H2H
Bastia
Caen
1
0
L
26.02.22
H2H
Caen
Bastia
2
1
W
18.09.21
H2H
Bastia
Caen
1
1
D
05.02.19
H2H
SC Bastia
Caen
3
3
D
28.01.17
H2H
SC Bastia
Caen
1
1
D
27.08.16
H2H
Caen
SC Bastia
2
0
W
30.04.16
H2H
Caen
Bastia
0
0
D
31.10.15
H2H
Bastia
Caen
1
0
L
16.05.15
H2H
Bastia
Caen
1
1
D
20.12.14
H2H
Caen
Bastia
1
1
D
Last matches: Caen
07.08.26
Lig
Caen
Valenciennes
4
0
W
31.07.26
Fri
Caen
Dieppe
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Caen
Al Wakrah
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Caen
Laval
4
2
W
15.07.26
Fri
Caen
Gobelins
3
4
L
09.05.26
Lig
Caen
Concarneau
0
0
D
24.04.26
Lig
Caen
Villefranche
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lig
Caen
Stade Briochin
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lig
Caen
Orleans
1
1
D
06.03.26
Lig
Caen
Chateauroux
2
2
D
20.02.26
Lig
Caen
Sochaux
1
3
L
06.02.26
Lig
Caen
Fleury 91
1
0
W
23.01.26
Lig
Caen
Quevilly
0
0
D
21.11.25
Lig
Caen
Bourg-en-bresse 01
1
0
W
07.11.25
Lig
Caen
Gobelins
0
0
D
21.10.25
Lig
Caen
Rouen
1
1
D
03.10.25
Lig
Caen
Le Puy Foot
2
0
W
19.09.25
Lig
Caen
Valenciennes
0
0
D
05.09.25
Lig
Caen
Dijon
0
0
D
22.08.25
Lig
Caen
Versailles
0
2
L
H2H at home: Caen
02.11.24
H2H
Caen
Bastia
2
0
W
02.12.23
H2H
Caen
Bastia
1
0
W
03.02.23
H2H
Caen
Bastia
3
1
W
26.02.22
H2H
Caen
Bastia
2
1
W
27.08.16
H2H
Caen
SC Bastia
2
0
W
30.04.16
H2H
Caen
Bastia
0
0
D
20.12.14
H2H
Caen
Bastia
1
1
D
Last matches: Bastia
14.08.26
Lig
Bastia
Aubagne
1
0
W
24.07.26
Fri
Bastia
Aubagne
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Bastia
Rodez
3
5
L
02.05.26
Lig
Bastia
Guingamp
1
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Bastia
Clermont Foot
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
Bastia
RED Star FC 93
3
4
L
20.03.26
Lig
Bastia
Rodez
1
1
D
06.03.26
Lig
Bastia
PAU
2
2
D
20.02.26
Lig
Bastia
Dunkerque
1
1
D
06.02.26
Lig
Bastia
Reims
0
0
D
16.01.26
Lig
Bastia
Laval
2
0
W
20.12.25
Cou
Bastia
Pontivy GSI
1
0
W
13.12.25
Lig
Bastia
Saint Etienne
2
2
D
29.11.25
Cou
Bastia
Saint-Malo
0
0
D
21.11.25
Lig
Bastia
Annecy
0
1
L
15.11.25
Cou
Bastia
US Chateau-Malo
6
0
W
28.10.25
Lig
Bastia
Nancy
0
2
L
17.10.25
Lig
Bastia
Estac Troyes
0
1
L
26.09.25
Lig
Bastia
Grenoble
0
0
D
20.09.25
Lig
Bastia
Montpellier
0
2
L
H2H away: Bastia
02.11.24
H2H
Caen
Bastia
2
0
L
02.12.23
H2H
Caen
Bastia
1
0
L
03.02.23
H2H
Caen
Bastia
3
1
L
26.02.22
H2H
Caen
Bastia
2
1
L
30.04.16
H2H
Caen
Bastia
0
0
D
20.12.14
H2H
Caen
Bastia
1
1
D