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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Toulouse
FT
1 - 0
Lorient
Stadium de Toulouse
Referee: G. Paradis
Toulouse
Match Timeline
Lorient
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Santiago Hidalgo
Toulouse
🟨
47'
Noah Cadiou
Lorient
🔄
64'
J. Russell-Rowe ↔ Emersonn
Toulouse
🔄
65'
S. Hidalgo ↔ W. Kamanzi
Toulouse
🟨
70'
Abdoulaye Faye
Lorient
🔄
73'
D. Karim ↔ A. Tosin
Lorient
🔄
73'
B. Dieng ↔ S. Soumano
Lorient
🔄
79'
T. Le Bris ↔ P. Katseris
Lorient
⚽
81'
Emersonn · Assist: C. Casseres
Toulouse
🔄
84'
D. Sidibe ↔ M. Sauer
Toulouse
🟨
86'
Aron Dønnum
Toulouse
🟨
90+10'
Jean-Victor Makengo
Lorient

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Toulouse Win 0%
Draw 0%
Lorient Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toulouse1.41
Lorient1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toulouse Toulouse
WWDLW
43 GF / 36 GA
Lorient Lorient
WLDWL
49 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
14
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
14
4.73
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toulouse Toulouse 30 matches
Lorient Lorient 30 matches
Toulouse Statistic Lorient
11 Wins 12
9 Draws 11
10 Losses 7
43 Goals For 49
36 Goals Against 41
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
14 BTTS Yes 16
19 Over 1.5 26
14 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 11
9 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 8
4.73 Shots On Goal 4.17
13.63 Total Shots 12.43
5.07 Corners 3.37
44.4% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toulouse won 7 times, Lorient won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:17 from Toulouse's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Toulouse 3-4-3 / Lorient 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Toulouse wins 7, draws 5, Lorient wins 3
Stats
Toulouse Toulouse
Lorient Lorient
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
1 Corner Kicks 4
9 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 2
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 3
4 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
437 Total passes 602
365 Passes accurate 530
1.65 expected_goals 0.40
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Toulouse
Formation
Lorient
G. Restes
G. Restes
M. McKenzie
M. McKenzie
S. Koumbassa
S. Koumbassa
R. Nicolaisen
R. Nicolaisen
A. Donnum
A. Donnum
C. Casseres
🎯
C. Casseres
P. Demba
P. Demba
D. Sidibe
↓
D. Sidibe
S. Hidalgo
↓
S. Hidalgo
J. Russell-Rowe
↓
J. Russell-Rowe
Y. Gboho
Y. Gboho
Y. Mvogo
Y. Mvogo
D. Yongwa
D. Yongwa
N. Adjei
N. Adjei
A. Faye
A. Faye
T. Le Bris
↓
T. Le Bris
N. Cadiou
N. Cadiou
A. Avom
A. Avom
A. Kouassi
A. Kouassi
J. Makengo
J. Makengo
D. Karim
↓
D. Karim
B. Dieng
↓
B. Dieng
Toulouse 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
G. Restes
G
3
M. McKenzie
D
35
S. Koumbassa
D
2
R. Nicolaisen
D
15
A. Donnum
🟨 86'
M
23
C. Casseres
🎯 81'
M
18
P. Demba
M
19
D. Sidibe
↓ 84'
M
11
S. Hidalgo
↓ 65' 🟨 5'
F
13
J. Russell-Rowe
↓ 64'
F
10
Y. Gboho
F
Substitutes
16
K. Haug
G
40
N. Said Mchindra
G
12
W. Kamanzi
↑ 65'
D
77
M. Sauer
↑ 84'
M
44
G. Bakhouche Piernas
D
37
I. Azizi
F
20
Emersonn
⚽ 81' ↑ 64'
F
7
J. Vignolo
F
45
A. Vossah
M
Lorient 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
38
Y. Mvogo
G
44
D. Yongwa
D
32
N. Adjei
D
25
A. Faye
🟨 70'
D
11
T. Le Bris
↓ 79'
M
8
N. Cadiou
🟨 47'
M
62
A. Avom
M
43
A. Kouassi
M
17
J. Makengo
🟨 90+10'
F
29
D. Karim
↓ 73'
F
12
B. Dieng
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
21
B. Kamara
G
14
T. Sanusi
F
19
I. Monnier
D
35
D. Semedo
M
15
A. Tosin
↑ 73'
F
77
P. Katseris
↑ 79'
D
28
S. Soumano
↑ 73'
F
34
M. Bley
M
33
I. Akakpo
D
Last matches: Toulouse
31.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Real Sociedad
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Rodez
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
03.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Strasbourg
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cou
Toulouse
Lens
1
4
L
17.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
2
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
0
4
L
03.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
1
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
3
W
07.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
L
04.03.26
Cou
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
04.02.26
Cou
Toulouse
Amiens
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Auxerre
0
0
D
25.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
W
17.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Nice
5
1
W
Last matches: Lorient
08.08.26
Fri
Lorient
Angers
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Lorient
UNFP
5
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Lorient
Guingamp
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Lorient
Nantes
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lorient
Concarneau
2
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lorient
Le Havre
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Lorient
Metz
4
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
2
2
D
26.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Strasbourg
2
3
L
18.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Marseille
2
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Lyon
0
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Paris FC
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Lens
2
1
W
08.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Lille
1
1
D
04.03.26
Cou
Lorient
Nice
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Auxerre
2
2
D
22.02.26
Lig
Lorient
Nice
3
3
D
15.02.26
Lig
Lorient
Angers
2
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Lorient
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
04.02.26
Cou
Lorient
Paris FC
2
0
W
H2H: Toulouse vs Lorient
21.03.26
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
W
09.11.25
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
1
1
D
28.04.24
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
1
2
W
03.12.23
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
1
1
D
23.04.23
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
0
1
W
21.08.22
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
2
2
D
31.10.18
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
0
1
L
08.02.17
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
1
1
D
10.12.16
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
3
2
W
16.04.16
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
1
1
D
05.12.15
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
2
3
L
18.04.15
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
0
1
W
29.11.14
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
2
3
L
15.02.14
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
1
3
W
25.09.13
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
W
Last matches: Toulouse
31.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Real Sociedad
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Rodez
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
2
2
D
12.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
0
4
L
07.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
1
1
D
04.02.26
Cou
Toulouse
Amiens
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Auxerre
0
0
D
17.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Nice
5
1
W
02.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
0
3
L
06.12.25
Lig
Toulouse
Strasbourg
1
0
W
23.11.25
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
02.11.25
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
0
0
D
29.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
2
2
D
19.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
0
W
27.09.25
Lig
Toulouse
Nantes
2
2
D
30.08.25
Lig
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
3
6
L
24.08.25
Lig
Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
W
10.05.25
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
1
1
D
H2H at home: Toulouse
21.03.26
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
W
03.12.23
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
1
1
D
21.08.22
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
2
2
D
31.10.18
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
0
1
L
10.12.16
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
3
2
W
05.12.15
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
2
3
L
29.11.14
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
2
3
L
25.09.13
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
W
Last matches: Lorient
08.08.26
Fri
Lorient
Angers
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Lorient
Guingamp
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lorient
Concarneau
2
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Lorient
Metz
4
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
2
2
D
12.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Lyon
0
2
L
08.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Lille
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Lorient
Nice
3
3
D
07.02.26
Lig
Lorient
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
24.01.26
Lig
Lorient
Rennes
2
0
W
16.01.26
Lig
Lorient
Monaco
3
1
W
10.01.26
Cou
Lorient
Hauts Lyonnais
3
1
W
20.12.25
Cou
Lorient
Gosier
7
0
W
14.12.25
Lig
Lorient
Strasbourg
0
0
D
23.11.25
Lig
Lorient
Nantes
1
1
D
02.11.25
Lig
Lorient
Lens
0
3
L
26.10.25
Lig
Lorient
Angers
0
2
L
03.10.25
Lig
Lorient
Paris FC
0
2
L
21.09.25
Lig
Lorient
Le Havre
1
1
D
12.09.25
Lig
Lorient
Marseille
0
4
L
H2H away: Lorient
21.03.26
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
L
03.12.23
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
1
1
D
21.08.22
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
2
2
D
31.10.18
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
0
1
W
10.12.16
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
3
2
L
05.12.15
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
2
3
W
29.11.14
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
2
3
W
25.09.13
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
L

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Paris Saint Germain
34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2
Lens
34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3
Lille
34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4
Lyon
34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5
Marseille
34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6
Rennes
34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7
Monaco
34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8
Strasbourg
34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9
Lorient Away
34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10
Toulouse Home
33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11
Paris FC
34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12
Stade Brestois 29
34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13
Angers
34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14
Le Havre
34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15
Auxerre
34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16
Nice
34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17
Nantes
33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18
Metz
34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation