Tottenham vs Brighton Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
79.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
79.6%
|
- |
Tottenham
Brighton
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Tottenham
44 matches
Brighton
34 matches
| Tottenham | Statistic | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 13 |
| 12 | Draws | 10 |
| 19 | Losses | 11 |
| 65 | Goals For | 45 |
| 69 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 37 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 29 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.3 | Shots On Goal | 4.44 |
| 11.64 | Total Shots | 12.97 |
| 4.98 | Corners | 4.59 |
| 49.1% | Ball Possession | 52.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Brighton's more proactive style and Tottenham's more cautious structure. Tottenham appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Brighton. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Brighton. Brighton carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 46 points while Tottenham sit 18 on 30, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tottenham expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Brighton in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Brighton having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Brighton look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Tottenham sit 18 with 30 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 40:51, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Richarlison (9 goals), Cristian Romero (4 goals), Micky van de Ven (4 goals), with creative support from M. Kudus (5 assists), X. Simons (4 assists), Richarlison (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without M. Kudus, B. Davies, D. Kulusevski, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
Brighton are currently 9 in the standings with 46 points from 32 matches. The record of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 43:37 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Welbeck (12 goals), Diego Gómez (5 goals), Jan Paul van Hecke (4 goals), with creative support from Y. Minteh (4 assists), Y. Ayari (3 assists), J. Hinshelwood (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with L. Dunk, S. Tzimas, A. Webster unavailable.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tottenham won 7 times, Brighton won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:25 from Tottenham's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Brighton
Away
|
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 |
Tottenham
Home
|
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|