ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Referee: S. Attwell
Tottenham
Match Timeline
Brighton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
20'
D. Gomez ↔ K. Mitoma
Brighton
🟨
34'
Yves Bissouma
Tottenham
🟨
37'
Mats Wieffer
Brighton
39'
P. Porro · Assist: X. Simons
Tottenham
45'
K. Mitoma · Assist: P. Gross
Brighton
🔄
57'
R. Kolo Muani ↔ M. Tel
Tottenham
🔄
57'
Y. Bissouma ↔ A. Gray
Tottenham
🟨
65'
Kevin Danso
Tottenham
🔄
67'
R. Bentancur ↔ J. Palhinha
Tottenham
🔄
75'
J. Hinshelwood ↔ M. O'Riley
Brighton
🔄
75'
D. Welbeck ↔ G. Rutter
Brighton
🔄
75'
↔ M. De Cuyper
Brighton
🔄
76'
D. Udogie ↔ D. Spence
Tottenham
🔄
76'
C. Gallagher ↔ L. Bergvall
Tottenham
77'
X. Simons · Assist: L. Bergvall
Tottenham
🟨
78'
Xavi Simons
Tottenham
🔄
82'
Y. Ayari ↔ C. Kostoulas
Brighton
90'
G. Rutter · Assist: J. P. van Hecke
Brighton

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Tottenham Win 10.3%
Draw 10.1%
Brighton Win 79.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tottenham1.37
Brighton1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tottenham Tottenham
WWDLW
65 GF / 69 GA
Brighton Brighton
WLDWL
45 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
25
BTTS Yes
20
29
Over 2.5
16
4.3
Shots on Goal
4.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tottenham Tottenham 44 matches
Brighton Brighton 34 matches
Tottenham Statistic Brighton
13 Wins 13
12 Draws 10
19 Losses 11
65 Goals For 45
69 Goals Against 41
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
25 BTTS Yes 20
37 Over 1.5 28
29 Over 2.5 16
15 Over 3.5 5
13 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 8
4.3 Shots On Goal 4.44
11.64 Total Shots 12.97
4.98 Corners 4.59
49.1% Ball Possession 52.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Brighton's more proactive style and Tottenham's more cautious structure. Tottenham appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Brighton. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Brighton. Brighton carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 46 points while Tottenham sit 18 on 30, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tottenham expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Brighton in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Brighton having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Brighton look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Tottenham Analysis

Tottenham sit 18 with 30 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 40:51, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Richarlison (9 goals), Cristian Romero (4 goals), Micky van de Ven (4 goals), with creative support from M. Kudus (5 assists), X. Simons (4 assists), Richarlison (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without M. Kudus, B. Davies, D. Kulusevski, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

Brighton Analysis

Brighton are currently 9 in the standings with 46 points from 32 matches. The record of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 43:37 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Welbeck (12 goals), Diego Gómez (5 goals), Jan Paul van Hecke (4 goals), with creative support from Y. Minteh (4 assists), Y. Ayari (3 assists), J. Hinshelwood (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with L. Dunk, S. Tzimas, A. Webster unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tottenham won 7 times, Brighton won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:25 from Tottenham's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
Predicted formations: Tottenham 4-4-2 / Brighton 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Tottenham 7, Brighton 4
H2H summary: Tottenham wins 7, draws 2, Brighton wins 6
Stats
Tottenham Tottenham
Brighton Brighton
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
7 Corner Kicks 5
14 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 0
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 8
3 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
328 Total passes 435
263 Passes accurate 364
1.09 expected_goals 0.82
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Tottenham
Formation
Brighton
A. Kinsky
A. Kinsky
P. Porro
P. Porro
K. Danso
K. Danso
M. van de Ven
M. van de Ven
D. Udogie
D. Udogie
C. Gallagher
C. Gallagher
R. Bentancur
R. Bentancur
Y. Bissouma
Y. Bissouma
R. Kolo Muani
R. Kolo Muani
D. Solanke
D. Solanke
X. Simons
🎯
X. Simons
B. Verbruggen
B. Verbruggen
M. Wieffer
M. Wieffer
J. P. van Hecke
🎯
J. P. van Hecke
O. Boscagli
O. Boscagli
F. Kadioglu
F. Kadioglu
Y. Ayari
Y. Ayari
P. Gross
🎯
P. Gross
D. Gomez
D. Gomez
J. Hinshelwood
J. Hinshelwood
Y. Minteh
Y. Minteh
D. Welbeck
D. Welbeck
Tottenham 4-3-3
Starting XI
31
A. Kinsky
G
23
P. Porro
⚽ 39'
D
4
K. Danso
🟨 65'
D
37
M. van de Ven
D
13
D. Udogie
↓ 76'
D
22
C. Gallagher
↓ 76'
M
30
R. Bentancur
↓ 67'
M
8
Y. Bissouma
↓ 57' 🟨 34'
M
39
R. Kolo Muani
↓ 57'
F
19
D. Solanke
F
7
X. Simons
⚽ 77' 🎯 39' 🟨 78'
F
Substitutes
40
B. Austin
G
6
J. Palhinha
↑ 67'
M
3
R. Dragusin
D
11
M. Tel
↑ 57'
F
14
A. Gray
↑ 57'
M
10
J. Maddison
M
9
Richarlison
F
24
D. Spence
↑ 76'
D
15
L. Bergvall
🎯 77' ↑ 76'
M
Brighton 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
B. Verbruggen
G
27
M. Wieffer
🟨 37'
D
6
J. P. van Hecke
🎯 90'
D
21
O. Boscagli
D
24
F. Kadioglu
D
26
Y. Ayari
↓ 82'
M
30
P. Gross
🎯 45'
M
25
D. Gomez
↓ 20'
M
13
J. Hinshelwood
↓ 75'
M
11
Y. Minteh
M
18
D. Welbeck
↓ 75'
F
Substitutes
23
J. Steele
G
34
J. Veltman
D
3
Igor
D
33
M. O'Riley
↑ 75'
M
22
K. Mitoma
⚽ 45' ↑ 20'
M
17
C. Baleba
M
19
C. Kostoulas
↑ 82'
F
10
G. Rutter
⚽ 90' ↑ 75'
F
29
M. De Cuyper
↑ 75'
D
Last matches: Tottenham
24.05.26
Pre
Tottenham
Everton
1
0
W
19.05.26
Pre
Tottenham
Chelsea
1
2
L
11.05.26
Pre
Tottenham
Leeds
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pre
Tottenham
Aston Villa
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Tottenham
Wolves
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Tottenham
Sunderland
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pre
Tottenham
Nottingham Forest
0
3
L
18.03.26
UEF
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
15.03.26
Pre
Tottenham
Liverpool
1
1
D
10.03.26
UEF
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
2
5
L
05.03.26
Pre
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
1
3
L
01.03.26
Pre
Tottenham
Fulham
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pre
Tottenham
Arsenal
1
4
L
10.02.26
Pre
Tottenham
Newcastle
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Tottenham
Manchester United
0
2
L
01.02.26
Pre
Tottenham
Manchester City
2
2
D
28.01.26
UEF
Tottenham
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Tottenham
Burnley
2
2
D
20.01.26
UEF
Tottenham
Borussia Dortmund
2
0
W
17.01.26
Pre
Tottenham
West Ham
1
2
L
Last matches: Brighton
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
19.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Brighton
Manchester United
2
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
H2H: Tottenham vs Brighton
18.04.26
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
2
2
D
20.09.25
H2H
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
25.05.25
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
1
4
L
06.10.24
H2H
Brighton
Tottenham
3
2
L
10.02.24
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
2
1
W
28.12.23
H2H
Brighton
Tottenham
4
2
L
08.04.23
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
2
1
W
08.10.22
H2H
Brighton
Tottenham
0
1
W
16.04.22
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
0
1
L
16.03.22
H2H
Brighton
Tottenham
0
2
W
05.02.22
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
3
1
W
31.01.21
H2H
Brighton
Tottenham
1
0
L
01.11.20
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
2
1
W
26.12.19
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
2
1
W
05.10.19
H2H
Brighton
Tottenham
3
0
L
Last matches: Tottenham
24.05.26
Pre
Tottenham
Everton
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pre
Tottenham
Leeds
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pre
Tottenham
Nottingham Forest
0
3
L
18.03.26
UEF
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
05.03.26
Pre
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
1
3
L
22.02.26
Pre
Tottenham
Arsenal
1
4
L
10.02.26
Pre
Tottenham
Newcastle
1
2
L
01.02.26
Pre
Tottenham
Manchester City
2
2
D
20.01.26
UEF
Tottenham
Borussia Dortmund
2
0
W
17.01.26
Pre
Tottenham
West Ham
1
2
L
10.01.26
FA
Tottenham
Aston Villa
1
2
L
04.01.26
Pre
Tottenham
Sunderland
1
1
D
20.12.25
Pre
Tottenham
Liverpool
1
2
L
09.12.25
UEF
Tottenham
Slavia Praha
3
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Tottenham
Brentford
2
0
W
29.11.25
Pre
Tottenham
Fulham
1
2
L
08.11.25
Pre
Tottenham
Manchester United
2
2
D
04.11.25
UEF
Tottenham
FC Copenhagen
4
0
W
01.11.25
Pre
Tottenham
Chelsea
0
1
L
19.10.25
Pre
Tottenham
Aston Villa
1
2
L
H2H at home: Tottenham
18.04.26
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
2
2
D
25.05.25
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
1
4
L
10.02.24
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
2
1
W
08.04.23
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
2
1
W
16.04.22
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
0
1
L
05.02.22
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
3
1
W
01.11.20
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
2
1
W
26.12.19
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
2
1
W
Last matches: Brighton
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
11.01.26
FA
Brighton
Manchester United
2
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
1
1
D
30.12.25
Pre
Brighton
West Ham
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
1
2
L
13.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
0
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
25.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
2
4
L
05.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
1
W
13.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
2
L
24.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Everton
0
2
L
H2H away: Brighton
18.04.26
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
2
2
D
25.05.25
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
1
4
W
10.02.24
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
2
1
L
08.04.23
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
2
1
L
16.04.22
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
0
1
W
05.02.22
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
3
1
L
01.11.20
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
2
1
L
26.12.19
H2H
Tottenham
Brighton
2
1
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L

Missing Players

Tottenham 7 missing
-
M. Kudus
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
B. Davies
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
D. Kulusevski
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Maddison
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
W. Odobert
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
G. Vicario
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
C. Romero
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
Brighton 4 missing
-
L. Dunk
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
S. Tzimas
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Webster
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Milner
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT