ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
19.09.2026 11:30
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Referee: Samuel Barrott
Tottenham
Match Timeline
Aston Villa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
19'
Pedro Porro ↔ Archie Gray
Tottenham
45+4'
Johan Manzambi · Assist: Boubacar Kamara
Aston Villa
🟨
45+7'
Jan Paul van Hecke
Tottenham
🔄
45'
Aaron Wan-Bissaka ↔ Matty Cash
Aston Villa
🔄
45'
Mateus Fernandes ↔ Mohammed Kudus
Tottenham
🟨
46'
Nicolas Jackson
Aston Villa
VAR
60'
Mohammed Kudus
Tottenham
🔄
66'
Dominic Solanke ↔ James Maddison
Tottenham
67'
Nicolas Jackson · Assist: Johan Manzambi
Aston Villa
🔄
72'
Johan Manzambi ↔ George Hemmings
Aston Villa
79'
Emiliano Buendía · Assist: John McGinn
Aston Villa
🔄
84'
John McGinn ↔ Ross Barkley
Aston Villa
🔄
84'
Boubacar Kamara ↔ Ibrahim Mbaye
Aston Villa
🔄
84'
Rodrigo Bentancur ↔ Lucas Bergvall
Tottenham
🔄
84'
Sandro Tonali ↔ Conor Gallagher
Tottenham
86'
Conor Gallagher · Assist: Mohammed Kudus
Tottenham
🔄
88'
Nicolas Jackson ↔ Tammy Abraham
Aston Villa
🟨
90+2'
Matty Cash
Aston Villa
🟨
90+2'
Unai Emery Etxegoien
Aston Villa
90+8'
Jan Paul van Hecke · Assist: Andrew Robertson
Tottenham

Tottenham vs Aston Villa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.74
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
72.3%
1.25
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.74
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.13
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.00
Probability Distribution
Tottenham Win 43.8%
Draw 28.5%
Aston Villa Win 27.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tottenham1.39
Aston Villa1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tottenham Tottenham
WWDLW
12 GF / 10 GA
Aston Villa Aston Villa
WLDWL
19 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.46
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.85
4
BTTS Yes
9
4
Over 2.5
11
3
Shots on Goal
3.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tottenham Tottenham 11 matches
Aston Villa Aston Villa 13 matches
Tottenham Statistic Aston Villa
4 Wins 3
5 Draws 1
2 Losses 9
12 Goals For 19
10 Goals Against 24
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85
4 BTTS Yes 9
8 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 11
1 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 3
3 Shots On Goal 3.17
12.75 Total Shots 11.5
6.75 Corners 3.5
59.8% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tottenham won 7 times, Aston Villa won 8 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:21 from Tottenham's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (72.3%)
Predicted formations: Tottenham 4-2-3-1 / Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Tottenham 5, Aston Villa 8
H2H summary: Tottenham wins 7, draws 0, Aston Villa wins 8

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 13:5 8 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 0 1 8:4 4 12
L W W W W
3 5 3 1 1 16:5 11 10
W W D L W
4 5 2 3 0 10:4 6 9
W D D D W
5 5 2 3 0 7:3 4 9
D W D D W
6 5 2 3 0 7:4 3 9
W D W D D
7 5 2 3 0 6:3 3 9
W D D D W
8 5 2 2 1 6:4 2 8
L D D W W
9 5 2 2 1 9:9 0 8
W L D W D
10 5 2 1 2 10:12 -2 7
L D L W W
11 5 2 0 3 7:11 -4 6
L W L L W
12 5 1 2 2 8:8 0 5
D L D W L
13 5 1 2 2 4:5 -1 5
L W D D L
14 5 1 1 3 6:10 -4 4
L L D W L
15 5 1 1 3 6:11 -5 4
D L W L L
16 5 1 1 3 4:9 -5 4
W L D L L
17 5 0 3 2 6:8 -2 3
L D D D L
18 5 1 0 4 1:10 -9 3
W L L L L
19 5 0 2 3 5:8 -3 2
D D L L L
20 5 0 2 3 2:8 -6 2
L D D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship