Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
72.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
75.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
74%
|
- |
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Torpedo Kutaisi
12 matches
Samgurali
15 matches
| Torpedo Kutaisi | Statistic | Samgurali |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 4 | Losses | 5 |
| 14 | Goals For | 22 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with Torpedo Kutaisi's more proactive style and Samgurali's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Samgurali. Samgurali arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Samgurali having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Torpedo Kutaisi come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 8 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 5:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Felipe Pires (2 goals), D. Deisadze (1 goals), G. Arabidze (1 goals), with creative support from V. Mamuchashvili (2 assists), D. Deisadze (1 assists), G. Arabidze (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Samgurali sit 8 with 8 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 6:8 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Wellissol (2 goals), Claudio Cebolinha (1 goals), L. Kvaratskhelia (1 goals), with creative support from N. Khorkheli (1 assists), L. Papava (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Torpedo Kutaisi won 8 times, Samgurali won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:16 from Torpedo Kutaisi's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Lineups
Torpedo Kutaisi
Zira
Torpedo Kutaisi
Zira
Torpedo Kutaisi
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Batumi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Meshakhte
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dila
Torpedo Kutaisi
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Batumi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Meshakhte
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dila
Torpedo Kutaisi
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Spaeri
Samgurali
Spaeri
Samgurali
Gagra
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
Dila
Samgurali
Saburtalo
Samgurali
Rustavi
Samgurali
Spaeri
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
Samgurali
Meshakhte
Samgurali
Gagra
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
Dila
Samgurali
Saburtalo
Samgurali
Rustavi
Samgurali
Spaeri
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
Samgurali
Meshakhte
Samgurali
Gagra
Samgurali
Ulytau
Torpedo Kutaisi
Zira
Torpedo Kutaisi
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Batumi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dila
Torpedo Kutaisi
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Meshakhte
Torpedo Kutaisi
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
Lyngby
Torpedo Kutaisi
Odishi 1919
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
Omonia Nicosia
Torpedo Kutaisi
Ordabasy
Samgurali
Spaeri
Samgurali
Gagra
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
Dila
Samgurali
Rustavi
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
Samgurali
Saburtalo
Samgurali
Spaeri
Samgurali
Meshakhte
Samgurali
Gagra
Samgurali
Ulytau
Samgurali
Petrocub
Samgurali
Lokomotiv
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:18 | 9 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 32 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
Torpedo Kutaisi
Home
|
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 30:19 | 11 | 27 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
| 5 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28:30 | -2 | 27 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 21:19 | 2 | 26 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 |
Samgurali
Away
|
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 25:32 | -7 | 25 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 8 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 22 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 13:34 | -21 | 11 |
L
D
L
L
L
|