GEORGIA › EROVNULI LIGA
21.04.2026 17:00
Stadion Ramaz Shengelia
Referee: G. Avazashvili
Torpedo Kutaisi
Match Timeline
Samgurali
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
K. Andric · Assist: G. Arabidze
Torpedo Kutaisi
🟨
23'
J. Carlos
Samgurali
🟨
34'
Vinicius Vianna
Samgurali
🟨
39'
Wellissol
Samgurali
🟨
44'
L. Kvaratskhelia
Samgurali
⚽
45'
G. Arabidze
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
46'
A. Jarjue Kabia ↔ N. Tsetskhladze
Samgurali
⚽
47'
A. Basiladze · Assist: D. Deisadze
Torpedo Kutaisi
⚽
55'
K. Andric · Assist: V. Mamuchashvili
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
60'
L. Kvaratskhelia ↔ N. Khorkheli
Samgurali
🔄
60'
Wellissol ↔ S. Chkhetiani
Samgurali
🔄
60'
O. Aptsiauri ↔ Jefinho
Samgurali
🟨
61'
M. Simic
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
67'
G. Arabidze ↔ K. Zita
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
70'
J. Carlos ↔ G. Gogolashvili
Samgurali
🔄
76'
D. Deisadze ↔ Warley
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
76'
Felipe Pires ↔ G. Kokhreidze
Torpedo Kutaisi
⚽
80'
M. Cherif · Assist: M. Simic
Torpedo Kutaisi
🟨
81'
T. Berelidze
Samgurali
🔄
82'
M. Simic ↔ T. Nadaraia
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
82'
A. Basiladze ↔ L. Kuprava
Torpedo Kutaisi
⚽
84'
G. Gogolashvili · Assist: N. Tsetskhladze
Samgurali
⚽
86'
V. Mamuchashvili · Assist: L. Kuprava
Torpedo Kutaisi

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 75.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 74%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
75.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
74%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Torpedo Kutaisi Win 72.7%
Draw 4.3%
Samgurali Win 23%
Expected Goals (xG)
Torpedo Kutaisi1.18
Samgurali1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi
WWDLW
14 GF / 10 GA
Samgurali Samgurali
WLDWL
22 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.47
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
5
BTTS Yes
10
5
Over 2.5
8
3.57
Shots on Goal
3.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 12 matches
Samgurali Samgurali 15 matches
Torpedo Kutaisi Statistic Samgurali
5 Wins 5
3 Draws 5
4 Losses 5
14 Goals For 22
10 Goals Against 18
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
5 BTTS Yes 10
6 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 2
3.57 Shots On Goal 3.29
0 Total Shots 0
3.29 Corners 6.57
54.1% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Torpedo Kutaisi's more proactive style and Samgurali's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Samgurali. Samgurali arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Samgurali having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Torpedo Kutaisi Analysis

Torpedo Kutaisi come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 8 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 5:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Felipe Pires (2 goals), D. Deisadze (1 goals), G. Arabidze (1 goals), with creative support from V. Mamuchashvili (2 assists), D. Deisadze (1 assists), G. Arabidze (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Samgurali Analysis

Samgurali sit 8 with 8 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 6:8 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Wellissol (2 goals), Claudio Cebolinha (1 goals), L. Kvaratskhelia (1 goals), with creative support from N. Khorkheli (1 assists), L. Papava (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Torpedo Kutaisi won 8 times, Samgurali won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:16 from Torpedo Kutaisi's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Torpedo Kutaisi 4-4-2 / Samgurali 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Torpedo Kutaisi wins 8, draws 4, Samgurali wins 3

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 13 8 6 46:36 10 47
W D W W W
2 26 14 4 8 37:28 9 46
W W W L W
3 27 13 7 7 32:23 9 46
L W D L D
4 26 12 9 5 43:29 14 45
W W D D W
5 27 12 4 11 38:30 8 40
W L D W W
6 27 9 9 9 43:34 9 36
L W D D L
7 27 9 5 13 38:52 -14 32
L L L L D
8 27 6 11 10 25:37 -12 29
D L D L W
9 27 5 10 12 34:43 -9 25
L L D D L
10 27 2 11 14 20:44 -24 17
D L D D W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2