Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
55.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
62.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toronto FC
23 matches
New England Revolution
23 matches
| Toronto FC | Statistic | New England Revolution |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 11 |
| 9 | Draws | 4 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 34 | Goals For | 44 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.91 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.33 | Shots On Goal | 3.94 |
| 11.83 | Total Shots | 10.72 |
| 5.39 | Corners | 4.17 |
| 47.7% | Ball Possession | 49.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around New England Revolution's more proactive style and Toronto FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. New England Revolution carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 30 points while Toronto FC sit 12 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring New England Revolution. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Toronto FC expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and New England Revolution in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward New England Revolution having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
From their first 18 matches, Toronto FC have collected 17 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 24:32 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Emilio Aristizábal (3 goals), Dániel Sallói (2 goals), Kobe Franklin (2 goals), with creative support from Dániel Sallói (2 assists), Kobe Franklin (2 assists), Jonathan Osorio (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
New England Revolution come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 30 points from 17 matches. The record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 28:21 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Carles Gil (6 goals), Dor Turgeman (2 goals), Luca Langoni (2 goals), with creative support from Dor Turgeman (3 assists), Carles Gil (2 assists), Matt Polster (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toronto FC won 5 times, New England Revolution won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:15 from Toronto FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
Charlotte
Toronto FC
New York City FC
Toronto FC
DC United
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
CF Montreal
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
Charlotte
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
Austin
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
Colorado Rapids
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Toronto FC
FC Dallas
New England Revolution
New York City FC
New England Revolution
DC United
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
New England Revolution
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
Atlanta United FC
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
Charlotte
New England Revolution
Minnesota United FC
New England Revolution
Nashville SC
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
Charlotte
New England Revolution
Inter Miami
New England Revolution
Atlanta United FC
New England Revolution
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
DC United
New England Revolution
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
St. Louis City
New England Revolution
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution
Nashville SC
Toronto FC
Charlotte
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
Austin
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
Colorado Rapids
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
Polessya
Toronto FC
Fredrikstad
Toronto FC
AIK Stockholm
Toronto FC
Jeonbuk Motors
Toronto FC
Incheon United
New England Revolution
DC United
New England Revolution
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
Charlotte
New England Revolution
Inter Miami
New England Revolution
Atlanta United FC
New England Revolution
St. Louis City
New England Revolution
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution
Nashville SC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 43:17 | 26 | 49 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 49:40 | 9 | 39 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 36 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 33:26 | 7 | 34 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 38:32 | 6 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 49:47 | 2 | 31 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 27 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 31:43 | -12 | 26 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 34:51 | -17 | 24 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
Toronto FC
Home
|
21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 31:37 | -6 | 24 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 11 | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 28:36 | -8 | 24 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 31:38 | -7 | 21 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 29:39 | -10 | 21 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 20 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23:35 | -12 | 18 |
W
W
L
L
D
|