🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
BMO Field
Referee: J. Dickerson
Toronto FC
Match Timeline
New England Revolution
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
B. Raines
New England Revolution
🔄
40'
P. Miller ↔ G. Yow
New England Revolution
43'
W. Sands
Toronto FC
45+6'
N. Dorsch · Assist: D. Mihailovic
Toronto FC
🔄
73'
D. Turgeman ↔ W. Harris
New England Revolution
🟨
74'
W. Zimmerman
Toronto FC
🟥
76'
D. Mihailovic
Toronto FC
🔄
81'
M. Polster ↔ M. Zambrano
New England Revolution
🔄
81'
T. Corbeanu ↔ Z. Monlouis
Toronto FC
🔄
81'
D. Salloi ↔ A. Coello
Toronto FC
🔄
86'
B. Raines ↔ D. Fagundez
New England Revolution
90'
W. Harris · Assist: J. Harrison
New England Revolution
🔄
90+1'
J. Sargent ↔ E. Aristizabal
Toronto FC
🔄
90+1'
M. Cimermancic ↔ K. Franklin
Toronto FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.3%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.3%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Toronto FC Win 25.5%
Draw 19.2%
New England Revolution Win 55.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toronto FC1.41
New England Revolution1.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toronto FC Toronto FC
WWDLW
34 GF / 37 GA
New England Revolution New England Revolution
WLDWL
44 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.91
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
17
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
15
4.33
Shots on Goal
3.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toronto FC Toronto FC 23 matches
New England Revolution New England Revolution 23 matches
Toronto FC Statistic New England Revolution
6 Wins 11
9 Draws 4
8 Losses 8
34 Goals For 44
37 Goals Against 30
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.91
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
17 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 5
4.33 Shots On Goal 3.94
11.83 Total Shots 10.72
5.39 Corners 4.17
47.7% Ball Possession 49.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around New England Revolution's more proactive style and Toronto FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. New England Revolution carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 30 points while Toronto FC sit 12 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring New England Revolution. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Toronto FC expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and New England Revolution in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward New England Revolution having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Toronto FC Analysis

From their first 18 matches, Toronto FC have collected 17 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 24:32 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Emilio Aristizábal (3 goals), Dániel Sallói (2 goals), Kobe Franklin (2 goals), with creative support from Dániel Sallói (2 assists), Kobe Franklin (2 assists), Jonathan Osorio (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

New England Revolution Analysis

New England Revolution come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 30 points from 17 matches. The record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 28:21 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Carles Gil (6 goals), Dor Turgeman (2 goals), Luca Langoni (2 goals), with creative support from Dor Turgeman (3 assists), Carles Gil (2 assists), Matt Polster (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toronto FC won 5 times, New England Revolution won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:15 from Toronto FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.8%)
Predicted formations: Toronto FC 3-4-2-1 / New England Revolution 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Toronto FC 5, New England Revolution 5
H2H summary: Toronto FC wins 5, draws 6, New England Revolution wins 4
Last matches: Toronto FC
22.08.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
2
1
W
19.08.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Charlotte
3
3
D
31.07.26
Maj
Toronto FC
New York City FC
1
1
D
25.07.26
Maj
Toronto FC
DC United
1
2
L
22.07.26
Maj
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
0
0
D
16.07.26
Maj
Toronto FC
CF Montreal
0
0
D
24.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
1
2
L
16.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Charlotte
1
3
L
09.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
2
4
L
02.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
25.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
1
2
L
22.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
3
3
D
18.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Austin
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Colorado Rapids
3
2
W
21.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
2
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
08.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
1
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
3
L
22.02.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Dallas
2
3
L
Last matches: New England Revolution
23.08.26
Maj
New England Revolution
New York City FC
1
1
D
19.08.26
Maj
New England Revolution
DC United
3
0
W
08.08.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
0
2
L
01.08.26
Maj
New England Revolution
CF Montreal
2
2
D
25.07.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Atlanta United FC
4
1
W
22.07.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
0
0
D
23.05.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Charlotte
0
1
L
16.05.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Minnesota United FC
2
1
W
13.05.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Nashville SC
0
3
L
09.05.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
02.05.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Charlotte
1
0
W
25.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Inter Miami
1
1
D
22.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Atlanta United FC
2
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Columbus Crew
2
1
W
11.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
DC United
1
0
W
04.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
CF Montreal
3
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
New England Revolution
St. Louis City
1
3
L
15.03.26
Maj
New England Revolution
FC Cincinnati
6
1
W
28.02.26
Maj
New England Revolution
New York Red Bulls
0
1
L
22.02.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Nashville SC
1
4
L
H2H: Toronto FC vs New England Revolution
15.08.26
H2H
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
2
1
W
22.07.26
H2H
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
0
0
D
13.09.25
H2H
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
1
1
D
03.05.25
H2H
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
0
2
L
20.04.24
H2H
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
1
0
W
03.03.24
H2H
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
0
1
W
24.06.23
H2H
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
2
1
L
06.05.23
H2H
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
0
2
L
17.08.22
H2H
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
2
2
D
31.07.22
H2H
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
0
0
D
15.08.21
H2H
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
1
2
L
07.07.21
H2H
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
2
3
W
07.10.20
H2H
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
0
1
W
21.07.20
H2H
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
0
0
D
31.08.19
H2H
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
1
1
D
Last matches: Toronto FC
19.08.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Charlotte
3
3
D
09.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
2
4
L
02.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
25.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
1
2
L
22.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
3
3
D
18.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Austin
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Colorado Rapids
3
2
W
21.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
2
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Polessya
2
1
W
11.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Fredrikstad
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
AIK Stockholm
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Jeonbuk Motors
2
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Incheon United
4
1
W
H2H at home: Toronto FC
15.08.26
H2H
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
2
1
W
03.05.25
H2H
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
0
2
L
20.04.24
H2H
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
1
0
W
06.05.23
H2H
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
0
2
L
17.08.22
H2H
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
2
2
D
15.08.21
H2H
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
1
2
L
21.07.20
H2H
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
0
0
D
Last matches: New England Revolution
19.08.26
Maj
New England Revolution
DC United
3
0
W
01.08.26
Maj
New England Revolution
CF Montreal
2
2
D
23.05.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Charlotte
0
1
L
25.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Inter Miami
1
1
D
22.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Atlanta United FC
2
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
New England Revolution
St. Louis City
1
3
L
28.02.26
Maj
New England Revolution
New York Red Bulls
0
1
L
22.02.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Nashville SC
1
4
L
H2H away: New England Revolution
15.08.26
H2H
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
2
1
L
03.05.25
H2H
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
0
2
W
20.04.24
H2H
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
1
0
L
06.05.23
H2H
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
0
2
W
17.08.22
H2H
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
2
2
D
15.08.21
H2H
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
1
2
W
21.07.20
H2H
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
0
0
D

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 15 4 2 43:17 26 49
W W W D L
2 21 11 6 4 49:40 9 39
L D L D W
3 20 11 3 6 37:26 11 36
D W W W L
4 21 10 4 7 33:26 7 34
D W L L D
5 21 9 5 7 38:32 6 32
W D W L W
6 21 8 7 6 49:47 2 31
D W D W L
7 21 7 6 8 35:30 5 27
D L L D W
8 21 7 5 9 31:43 -12 26
D L L W L
9 21 7 3 11 34:51 -17 24
W L D L W
10 21 5 9 7 31:37 -6 24
W D W D L
11 21 5 9 7 28:36 -8 24
L L D D W
12 21 5 6 10 31:38 -7 21
D D W W W
13 21 5 6 10 29:39 -10 21
D W D D L
14 21 5 5 11 30:36 -6 20
L L L D W
15 20 5 3 12 23:35 -12 18
W W L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Toronto FC 5 missing
-
N. Gomis
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
Matheus Pereira
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
L. Stefanovic
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
M. Cimermancic
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
N. Palacio
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
New England Revolution 5 missing
-
A. Farrell
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
I. Feingold
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
L. Campana
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
L. Langoni
Questionable Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
J. Siqueira
Questionable Injury
OUT