Toronto FC vs Nashville SC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
57.2%
|
2.25 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.57 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.69 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82.1%
|
1.25 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
7.00 |
Toronto FC
Nashville SC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toronto FC
28 matches
Nashville SC
35 matches
| Toronto FC | Statistic | Nashville SC |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 21 |
| 12 | Draws | 9 |
| 8 | Losses | 5 |
| 46 | Goals For | 63 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.8 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.43 | Shots On Goal | 4.35 |
| 11.78 | Total Shots | 11.52 |
| 5.17 | Corners | 4.94 |
| 45.9% | Ball Possession | 52.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Nashville SC's more proactive style and Toronto FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nashville SC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Toronto FC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Nashville SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nashville SC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Nashville SC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 52 points while Toronto FC sit 10 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Nashville SC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.
Toronto FC sit 10 with 25 points after 22 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 10 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 32:38 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Dániel Sallói (3 goals), Emilio Aristizábal (3 goals), Kobe Franklin (2 goals), with creative support from Dániel Sallói (2 assists), Kobe Franklin (2 assists), Jonathan Osorio (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Nashville SC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 52 points after 22 matches. With 16 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 47:17, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Hany Mukhtar (5 goals), Sam Surridge (4 goals), Warren Madrigal (3 goals), with creative support from Hany Mukhtar (5 assists), Cristian Espinoza (5 assists), Andy Najar (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Toronto FC won 2 times, Nashville SC won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:17 from Toronto FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
Away
|
25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 50:21 | 29 | 54 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61:46 | 15 | 45 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 45:36 | 9 | 40 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 39 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 44:56 | -12 | 34 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 32 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 52:59 | -7 | 32 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 41:39 | 2 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 33:48 | -15 | 30 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 29 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Toronto FC
Home
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:46 | -8 | 29 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
| 13 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 35:42 | -7 | 23 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29:43 | -14 | 23 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 31:51 | -20 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
D
|