Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
71.9%
|
1.40 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
1.50 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.57 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
71.3%
|
1.33 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
7.50 |
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toronto FC
27 matches
Chicago Fire
27 matches
| Toronto FC | Statistic | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 13 |
| 11 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 42 | Goals For | 48 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.78 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.27 | Shots On Goal | 5.24 |
| 11.5 | Total Shots | 13.86 |
| 5.14 | Corners | 4.29 |
| 46% | Ball Possession | 51.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Chicago Fire's more proactive style and Toronto FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Toronto FC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Chicago Fire in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chicago Fire having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Chicago Fire. Chicago Fire carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 36 points while Toronto FC sit 10 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
So far, Toronto FC have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 24 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 31:37 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Emilio Aristizábal (3 goals), Dániel Sallói (2 goals), Kobe Franklin (2 goals), with creative support from Dániel Sallói (2 assists), Kobe Franklin (2 assists), Jonathan Osorio (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Chicago Fire approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 36 points after 20 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a 37:26 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Hugo Cuypers (8 goals), Philip Zinckernagel (5 goals), Maren Haile-Selassie (3 goals), with creative support from Philip Zinckernagel (6 assists), Maren Haile-Selassie (4 assists), Andrew Gutman (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toronto FC won 4 times, Chicago Fire won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Toronto FC's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:21 | 32 | 57 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45:33 | 12 | 46 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61:46 | 15 | 45 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47:37 | 10 | 43 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Chicago Fire
Away
|
25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 39 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50:42 | 8 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46:60 | -14 | 34 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 33 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54:61 | -7 | 33 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:34 | 5 | 32 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:39 | -8 | 29 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 |
Toronto FC
Home
|
26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39:49 | -10 | 29 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 26 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31:53 | -22 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|