Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Toronto FC Win 0%
Draw 0%
Chicago Fire Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toronto FC1.44
Chicago Fire1.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toronto FC
WWDLW
32 GF / 34 GA
Chicago Fire
WLDWL
36 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
15
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
13
4.33
Shots on Goal
5.21
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toronto FC
20 matches
Chicago Fire
20 matches
| Toronto FC | Statistic | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 10 |
| 7 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 5 |
| 32 | Goals For | 36 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.8 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.33 | Shots On Goal | 5.21 |
| 11.6 | Total Shots | 14.86 |
| 5.47 | Corners | 4.57 |
| 47.8% | Ball Possession | 53.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toronto FC won 4 times, Chicago Fire won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Toronto FC's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Toronto FC 4-2-3-1 / Chicago Fire 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Toronto FC wins 4, draws 5, Chicago Fire wins 6
Last matches: Toronto FC
16.07.26
Maj
Toronto FC
CF Montreal
0
0
D
24.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
1
2
L
16.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Charlotte
1
3
L
09.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
2
4
L
02.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
25.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
1
2
L
22.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
3
3
D
18.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Austin
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Colorado Rapids
3
2
W
21.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
2
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
08.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
1
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
3
L
22.02.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Dallas
2
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Polessya
2
1
W
11.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Fredrikstad
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
AIK Stockholm
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Jeonbuk Motors
2
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Incheon United
4
1
W
Last matches: Chicago Fire
24.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
2
1
W
16.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
2
0
W
13.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
DC United
3
1
W
09.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
1
3
L
03.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
2
3
L
26.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
5
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
3
3
D
12.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
1
0
W
05.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
DC United
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
0
0
D
28.02.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
3
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Houston Dynamo
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
3
4
L
13.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
0
0
D
11.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Austin
2
2
D
08.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
2
W
01.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
H2H: Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire
24.05.26
H2H
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
2
1
L
05.10.25
H2H
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
2
2
D
15.03.25
H2H
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
1
2
L
29.09.24
H2H
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
1
1
D
15.06.24
H2H
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
1
4
L
16.07.23
H2H
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
1
0
L
31.05.23
H2H
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
14.07.22
H2H
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
2
0
L
28.05.22
H2H
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
3
2
W
03.10.21
H2H
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
3
1
W
25.07.21
H2H
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
1
2
W
20.02.20
H2H
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
2
0
L
29.09.19
H2H
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
2
2
D
06.04.19
H2H
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
2
2
D
28.07.18
H2H
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
3
0
W
Last matches: Toronto FC
09.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
2
4
L
02.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
25.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
1
2
L
22.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
3
3
D
18.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Austin
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Colorado Rapids
3
2
W
21.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
2
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Polessya
2
1
W
11.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Fredrikstad
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
AIK Stockholm
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Jeonbuk Motors
2
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Incheon United
4
1
W
H2H at home: Toronto FC
15.03.25
H2H
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
1
2
L
15.06.24
H2H
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
1
4
L
31.05.23
H2H
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
28.05.22
H2H
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
3
2
W
03.10.21
H2H
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
3
1
W
06.04.19
H2H
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
2
2
D
28.07.18
H2H
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
3
0
W
Last matches: Chicago Fire
16.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
2
0
W
13.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
DC United
3
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
3
3
D
21.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
08.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
0
0
D
22.02.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Houston Dynamo
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
0
0
D
11.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Austin
2
2
D
08.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
2
W
01.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
H2H away: Chicago Fire
15.03.25
H2H
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
1
2
W
15.06.24
H2H
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
1
4
W
31.05.23
H2H
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
28.05.22
H2H
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
3
2
L
03.10.21
H2H
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
3
1
L
06.04.19
H2H
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
2
2
D
28.07.18
H2H
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
3
0
L
Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 20 | 33 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 11 | 31 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 |
Chicago Fire
Away
|
14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 26 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | -7 | 22 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 21 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | -1 | 20 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 19 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 16 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 22:31 | -9 | 15 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 |
Toronto FC
Home
|
15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 15 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
| 13 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | -21 | 14 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 7 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)