ITALY SERIE A
08.05.2026 18:45
Stadio Olimpico di Torino
Referee: S. Galipo
Torino
Match Timeline
Sassuolo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
38'
Luca Lipani
Sassuolo
🟨
51'
Luca Marianucci
Torino
51'
K. Thorstvedt · Assist: L. Lipani
Sassuolo
🔄
59'
A. Njie ↔ D. Zapata
Torino
🔄
59'
V. Lazaro ↔ M. Pedersen
Torino
🟨
63'
Matteo Prati
Torino
🔄
63'
C. Volpato ↔ D. Berardi
Sassuolo
🔄
63'
L. Lipani ↔ I. Kone
Sassuolo
66'
G. Simeone · Assist: E. Ebosse
Torino
🔄
67'
M. Prati ↔ E. Ilkhan
Torino
70'
M. Pedersen
Torino
🔄
75'
J. Doig ↔ U. Garcia
Sassuolo
🔄
76'
A. Pinamonti ↔ M. Nzola
Sassuolo
🔄
84'
N. Matic ↔ D. Bakola
Sassuolo
🟨
86'
Kristian Thorstvedt
Sassuolo
🔄
86'
G. Simeone ↔ S. Kulenovic
Torino
🔄
86'
R. Obrador ↔ N. Nkounkou
Torino
🟨
89'
Niels Nkounkou
Torino
🟨
90+3'
Gvidas Gineitis
Torino

Torino vs Sassuolo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
74.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Torino Win 60.7%
Draw 0%
Sassuolo Win 39.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Torino1.2
Sassuolo1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Torino Torino
WWDLW
45 GF / 62 GA
Sassuolo Sassuolo
WLDWL
44 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
18
BTTS Yes
18
23
Over 2.5
20
3.97
Shots on Goal
3.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Torino Torino 39 matches
Sassuolo Sassuolo 37 matches
Torino Statistic Sassuolo
14 Wins 15
8 Draws 7
17 Losses 15
45 Goals For 44
62 Goals Against 47
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
18 BTTS Yes 18
27 Over 1.5 27
23 Over 2.5 20
11 Over 3.5 7
14 Clean Sheets 9
11 Failed To Score 12
3.97 Shots On Goal 3.68
11.77 Total Shots 10.81
3.97 Corners 4
44.1% Ball Possession 44.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Sassuolo. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Torino expected to line up in 3-5-1-1 and Sassuolo in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sassuolo having the stronger overall control.

Torino Analysis

So far, Torino have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 41 points from 35 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 8 draws, and 16 losses, while the 39:58 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on G. Simeone (10 goals), Nikola Vlašić (8 goals), C. Adams (5 goals), with creative support from Nikola Vlašić (3 assists), C. Adams (2 assists), Emirhan İlkhan (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Ismajli, M. Pedersen, F. Anjorin unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Sassuolo Analysis

So far, Sassuolo have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 49 points from 35 matches. The record of 14 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 43:44 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Pinamonti (8 goals), Domenico Berardi (8 goals), A. Lauriente (6 goals), with creative support from A. Lauriente (9 assists), Domenico Berardi (4 assists), Kristian Thorstvedt (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with F. Cande, J. Idzes, E. Pieragnolo, A. Fadera unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Torino won 7 times, Sassuolo won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:18 from Torino's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Torino 3-5-1-1 / Sassuolo 4-3-3
Missing players: Torino 3, Sassuolo 5
H2H summary: Torino wins 7, draws 6, Sassuolo wins 2

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B