Toluca
Match Timeline
Puebla
Toluca vs Puebla Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Puebla Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca2.4
Puebla1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca
WWDLW
16 GF / 10 GA
Puebla
WLDWL
6 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
2.29
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
2.57
5
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
4
5.29
Shots on Goal
3.71
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toluca
7 matches
Puebla
7 matches
| Toluca | Statistic | Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 5 |
| 16 | Goals For | 6 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 2.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.86 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.57 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.29 | Shots On Goal | 3.71 |
| 16.14 | Total Shots | 12.86 |
| 5.29 | Corners | 4.43 |
| 54.1% | Ball Possession | 53.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 5 times, Puebla won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:19 from Toluca's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / Puebla 5-4-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 5, draws 6, Puebla wins 4
Standings
Liga MX, Clausura 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
Toluca
Home
|
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Puebla
Away
|
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
| 18 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
Playoffs