06.10.2026 18:45

Croatia vs Spain Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Croatia Win 40.6%
Draw 9.4%
Spain Win 50%
Expected Goals (xG)
Croatia1.01
Spain1.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Croatia Croatia
WWDLW
14 GF / 19 GA
Spain Spain
WLDWL
28 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
2
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.43
8
BTTS Yes
5
8
Over 2.5
7
3.2
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Croatia Croatia 10 matches
Spain Spain 14 matches
Croatia Statistic Spain
5 Wins 11
0 Draws 3
5 Losses 0
14 Goals For 28
19 Goals Against 6
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.43
8 BTTS Yes 5
9 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 9
1 Failed To Score 2
3.2 Shots On Goal 6
9 Total Shots 15.93
3.3 Corners 6
46.5% Ball Possession 59.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Croatia won 2 times, Spain won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:18 from Croatia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.71 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.6%)
Predicted formations: Croatia 4-2-3-1 / Spain 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Croatia wins 2, draws 1, Spain wins 4

Standings

League A - Group C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Spain Away
1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
3 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
4 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
Play Offs: Quarter-finals
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation