Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Croatia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Spain Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Croatia0.93
Spain1.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Croatia
WWDLW
11 GF / 14 GA
Spain
WLDWL
15 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
0.25
6
BTTS Yes
2
6
Over 2.5
4
3.13
Shots on Goal
5.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Croatia
8 matches
Spain
8 matches
| Croatia | Statistic | Spain |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 0 | Draws | 3 |
| 4 | Losses | 0 |
| 11 | Goals For | 15 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 2 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.25 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.13 | Shots On Goal | 5.5 |
| 8.63 | Total Shots | 16.25 |
| 3.13 | Corners | 6.63 |
| 46.6% | Ball Possession | 58.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Croatia won 2 times, Spain won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:18 from Croatia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.71 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Croatia 4-2-3-1 / Spain 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Croatia wins 2, draws 1, Spain wins 4
Last matches: Croatia
02.07.26
Wor
Croatia
Portugal
1
2
L
27.06.26
Wor
Croatia
Ghana
2
1
W
23.06.26
Wor
Croatia
Panama
1
0
W
17.06.26
Wor
Croatia
England
2
4
L
07.06.26
Fri
Croatia
Slovenia
2
1
W
02.06.26
Fri
Croatia
Belgium
0
2
L
01.04.26
Fri
Croatia
Brazil
1
3
L
26.03.26
Fri
Croatia
Colombia
2
1
W
17.11.25
Wor
Croatia
Montenegro
3
2
W
14.11.25
Wor
Croatia
Faroe Islands
3
1
W
12.10.25
Wor
Croatia
Gibraltar
3
0
W
09.10.25
Wor
Croatia
Czechia
0
0
D
08.09.25
Wor
Croatia
Montenegro
4
0
W
05.09.25
Wor
Croatia
Faroe Islands
1
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Croatia
Czechia
5
1
W
06.06.25
Wor
Croatia
Gibraltar
7
0
W
23.03.25
UEF
Croatia
France
0
2
L
20.03.25
UEF
Croatia
France
2
0
W
18.11.24
UEF
Croatia
Portugal
1
1
D
15.11.24
UEF
Croatia
Scotland
0
1
L
Last matches: Spain
02.07.26
Wor
Spain
Austria
3
0
W
27.06.26
Wor
Spain
Uruguay
1
0
W
21.06.26
Wor
Spain
Saudi Arabia
4
0
W
15.06.26
Wor
Spain
Cape Verde Islands
0
0
D
09.06.26
Fri
Spain
Peru
3
1
W
04.06.26
Fri
Spain
Iraq
1
1
D
31.03.26
Fri
Spain
Egypt
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
Spain
Serbia
3
0
W
18.11.25
Wor
Spain
Türkiye
2
2
D
15.11.25
Wor
Spain
Georgia
4
0
W
14.10.25
Wor
Spain
Bulgaria
4
0
W
11.10.25
Wor
Spain
Georgia
2
0
W
07.09.25
Wor
Spain
Türkiye
6
0
W
04.09.25
Wor
Spain
Bulgaria
3
0
W
08.06.25
UEF
Spain
Portugal
2
2
D
05.06.25
UEF
Spain
France
5
4
W
23.03.25
UEF
Spain
Netherlands
3
3
D
20.03.25
UEF
Spain
Netherlands
2
2
D
18.11.24
UEF
Spain
Switzerland
3
2
W
15.11.24
UEF
Spain
Denmark
2
1
W
H2H: Croatia vs Spain
15.06.24
H2H
Spain
Croatia
3
0
L
18.06.23
H2H
Croatia
Spain
0
0
D
28.06.21
H2H
Croatia
Spain
3
5
L
15.11.18
H2H
Croatia
Spain
3
2
W
11.09.18
H2H
Spain
Croatia
6
0
L
21.06.16
H2H
Croatia
Spain
2
1
W
18.06.12
H2H
Croatia
Spain
0
1
L
Last matches: Croatia
27.06.26
Wor
Croatia
Ghana
2
1
W
07.06.26
Fri
Croatia
Slovenia
2
1
W
02.06.26
Fri
Croatia
Belgium
0
2
L
14.11.25
Wor
Croatia
Faroe Islands
3
1
W
12.10.25
Wor
Croatia
Gibraltar
3
0
W
08.09.25
Wor
Croatia
Montenegro
4
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Croatia
Czechia
5
1
W
20.03.25
UEF
Croatia
France
2
0
W
18.11.24
UEF
Croatia
Portugal
1
1
D
12.10.24
UEF
Croatia
Scotland
2
1
W
08.09.24
UEF
Croatia
Poland
1
0
W
H2H at home: Croatia
18.06.23
H2H
Croatia
Spain
0
0
D
28.06.21
H2H
Croatia
Spain
3
5
L
15.11.18
H2H
Croatia
Spain
3
2
W
21.06.16
H2H
Croatia
Spain
2
1
W
18.06.12
H2H
Croatia
Spain
0
1
L
Last matches: Spain
27.06.26
Wor
Spain
Uruguay
1
0
W
09.06.26
Fri
Spain
Peru
3
1
W
15.11.25
Wor
Spain
Georgia
4
0
W
07.09.25
Wor
Spain
Türkiye
6
0
W
04.09.25
Wor
Spain
Bulgaria
3
0
W
08.06.25
UEF
Spain
Portugal
2
2
D
20.03.25
UEF
Spain
Netherlands
2
2
D
15.11.24
UEF
Spain
Denmark
2
1
W
08.09.24
UEF
Spain
Switzerland
4
1
W
05.09.24
UEF
Spain
Serbia
0
0
D
H2H away: Spain
18.06.23
H2H
Croatia
Spain
0
0
D
28.06.21
H2H
Croatia
Spain
3
5
W
15.11.18
H2H
Croatia
Spain
3
2
L
21.06.16
H2H
Croatia
Spain
2
1
L
18.06.12
H2H
Croatia
Spain
0
1
W