Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Monterrey Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca1.88
Monterrey1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca
WWDLW
34 GF / 16 GA
Monterrey
WLDWL
29 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
2.27
Average Goals Scored
2.07
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
8
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
8
5.77
Shots on Goal
6.3
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toluca
15 matches
Monterrey
14 matches
| Toluca | Statistic | Monterrey |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 7 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 34 | Goals For | 29 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 2.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.07 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 5.77 | Shots On Goal | 6.3 |
| 16.62 | Total Shots | 17.2 |
| 4.54 | Corners | 5.7 |
| 55.3% | Ball Possession | 57.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 6 times, Monterrey won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:20 from Toluca's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / Monterrey 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 6, draws 4, Monterrey wins 5
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 14 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Toluca
Home
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 13 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 13 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 |
Monterrey
Away
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 9 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 8 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 1 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3:21 | -18 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)