Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Monterrey Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca1.94
Monterrey1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca
WWDLW
45 GF / 24 GA
Monterrey
WLDWL
32 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
2.37
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
11
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
9
6.47
Shots on Goal
6.23
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toluca
19 matches
Monterrey
17 matches
| Toluca | Statistic | Monterrey |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 5 | Losses | 5 |
| 45 | Goals For | 32 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 2.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 6.47 | Shots On Goal | 6.23 |
| 18.18 | Total Shots | 17.23 |
| 5.06 | Corners | 5.77 |
| 58.4% | Ball Possession | 57% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 6 times, Monterrey won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:20 from Toluca's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / Monterrey 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 6, draws 4, Monterrey wins 5
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toluca
Home
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 20 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 20 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 18 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 17 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:17 | -1 | 17 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 16 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Monterrey
Away
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 13 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 12 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 11 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7:25 | -18 | 3 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)