Login Register
MEXICO › LIGA MX
08.11.2026 01:00
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Monterrey Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca1.84
Monterrey1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca Toluca
WWDLW
49 GF / 30 GA
Monterrey Monterrey
WLDWL
37 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
2.23
Average Goals Scored
1.85
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
14
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
11
6.26
Shots on Goal
5.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toluca Toluca 22 matches
Monterrey Monterrey 20 matches
Toluca Statistic Monterrey
10 Wins 10
5 Draws 5
7 Losses 5
49 Goals For 37
30 Goals Against 25
2.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
14 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 18
16 Over 2.5 11
11 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 2
6.26 Shots On Goal 5.8
17.42 Total Shots 16.07
5.63 Corners 5.53
58.8% Ball Possession 55.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 6 times, Monterrey won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:20 from Toluca's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / Monterrey 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 6, draws 4, Monterrey wins 5

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 3 1 27:14 13 24
W D W D L
2 12 6 3 3 26:16 10 21
D L D L W
3 12 6 3 3 19:18 1 21
W D W D L
4 12 5 5 2 19:12 7 20
D D L D W
5 12 6 2 4 27:21 6 20
W D D L W
6 11 6 2 3 15:13 2 20
L W W D W
8 11 5 2 4 19:16 3 17
W D L W D
9 12 5 1 6 17:16 1 16
W W W W W
10 11 4 4 3 15:14 1 16
D D L D L
11 12 4 4 4 19:20 -1 16
W D L D L
12 12 4 4 4 12:13 -1 16
D D L D L
13 12 3 5 4 14:16 -2 14
D W W L D
14 12 3 4 5 19:16 3 13
L D L D W
15 12 3 4 5 16:21 -5 13
D L W W L
16 12 2 5 5 13:19 -6 11
L L W D L
17 12 2 3 7 15:25 -10 9
L D L L L
18 12 1 1 10 8:31 -23 4
L D L W L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)