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MEXICO › LIGA MX
--.--.---- --:--
Toluca
FT
3 - 2
Monterrey
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Referee: Luis Santander, Mexico
Toluca
Match Timeline
Monterrey
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
19'
F. Pereira · Assist: Helinho
Toluca
⚽
43'
Paulinho · Assist: N. Castro
Toluca
🔄
46'
F. Ambriz ↔ I. Fimbres
Monterrey
🔄
46'
L. Reyes ↔ A. Martial
Monterrey
⚽
51'
Helinho
Toluca
VAR
56'
Anthony Martial
Monterrey
⚽
58'
S. Ramos
Monterrey
🔄
59'
O. Torres ↔ E. Aguirre
Monterrey
🔄
59'
R. Chavez ↔ R. de la Rosa
Monterrey
🔄
62'
Helinho ↔ A. Briseno
Toluca
🔄
72'
J. Angulo ↔ R. Morales
Toluca
⚽
75'
R. de la Rosa
Monterrey
🔄
78'
J. Rodriguez ↔ L. Ocampos
Monterrey
🔄
84'
Paulinho ↔ D. Barbosa
Toluca
🟨
89'
Franco Romero
Toluca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Monterrey Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca1.97
Monterrey1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca Toluca
WWDLW
45 GF / 20 GA
Monterrey Monterrey
WLDWL
37 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
2.25
Average Goals Scored
1.85
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
11
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
12
5.8
Shots on Goal
5.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toluca Toluca 20 matches
Monterrey Monterrey 20 matches
Toluca Statistic Monterrey
12 Wins 11
5 Draws 4
3 Losses 5
45 Goals For 37
20 Goals Against 31
2.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
11 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 16
12 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 2
5.8 Shots On Goal 5.2
17.4 Total Shots 13
5.5 Corners 3.85
55.2% Ball Possession 55.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 6 times, Monterrey won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:20 from Toluca's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / Monterrey 5-3-2
H2H summary: Toluca wins 6, draws 4, Monterrey wins 5
Stats
Toluca Toluca
Monterrey Monterrey
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 2
15 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 4
4 Shots outsidebox 8
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
388 Total passes 386
332 Passes accurate 323
2.06 expected_goals 1.75
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Toluca
Formation
Monterrey
H. Gonzalez
H. Gonzalez
S. Simon
S. Simon
E. del Villar
E. del Villar
F. Pereira
⚽
F. Pereira
J. Gallardo
J. Gallardo
M. Ruiz
M. Ruiz
F. Romero
F. Romero
Helinho
⚽ 🎯 ↓
Helinho
J. Angulo
↓
J. Angulo
N. Castro
🎯
N. Castro
Paulinho
⚽ ↓
Paulinho
L. Cardenas
L. Cardenas
R. Chavez
↓
R. Chavez
S. Medina
S. Medina
S. Ramos
⚽
S. Ramos
L. Reyes
↓
L. Reyes
G. Arteaga
G. Arteaga
O. Torres
↓
O. Torres
J. Rodriguez
↓
J. Rodriguez
F. Ambriz
↓
F. Ambriz
S. Canales
S. Canales
G. Berterame
G. Berterame
Toluca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
H. Gonzalez
G
19
S. Simon
D
25
E. del Villar
D
6
F. Pereira
⚽ 19'
D
20
J. Gallardo
D
14
M. Ruiz
M
5
F. Romero
🟨 89'
M
11
Helinho
⚽ 51' 🎯 19' ↓ 62'
M
10
J. Angulo
↓ 72'
M
8
N. Castro
🎯 43'
M
26
Paulinho
⚽ 43' ↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
22
L. Garcia
G
2
D. Barbosa
↑ 84'
D
3
A. Briseno
↑ 62'
D
17
M. Isais
D
35
A. Alvarez
D
7
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
M
16
H. Herrera
M
24
F. Arce
M
23
O. Virgen
F
31
R. Morales
↑ 72'
F
Monterrey 5-3-2
Starting XI
22
L. Cardenas
G
2
R. Chavez
↓ 59'
D
33
S. Medina
D
93
S. Ramos
⚽ 58'
D
21
L. Reyes
↓ 46'
D
3
G. Arteaga
D
8
O. Torres
↓ 59'
M
30
J. Rodriguez
↓ 78'
M
5
F. Ambriz
↓ 46'
M
10
S. Canales
F
7
G. Berterame
F
Substitutes
25
S. Mele
G
4
V. Guzman
D
13
C. Salcedo
D
15
H. Moreno
D
14
E. Aguirre
↑ 59'
M
29
L. Ocampos
↑ 78'
M
35
I. Fimbres
↑ 46'
M
9
A. Martial
↑ 46'
F
27
R. de la Rosa
⚽ 75' ↑ 59'
F
192
J. Moxica
F
Last matches: Toluca
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
Last matches: Monterrey
16.08.26
Lig
Monterrey
FC Juarez
6
1
W
02.08.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atlas
2
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Monterrey
Necaxa
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
3
2
W
04.07.26
Fri
Monterrey
Atlante FC
1
1
D
21.06.26
Fri
Monterrey
Cancún
4
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
0
3
L
22.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Puebla
2
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atlas
0
0
D
04.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atletico San Luis
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Guadalajara Chivas
2
3
L
18.03.26
CON
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
FC Juarez
2
2
D
11.03.26
CON
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
05.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Club Queretaro
4
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
0
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
Leon
1
0
W
H2H: Toluca vs Monterrey
11.01.26
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
0
1
W
07.12.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
W
04.12.25
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
1
0
L
25.09.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
6
2
W
11.05.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
2
1
W
08.05.25
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
3
2
L
19.01.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
1
D
01.09.24
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
1
2
W
19.02.24
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
0
0
D
31.08.23
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
W
06.02.23
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
2
1
L
18.08.22
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
1
D
07.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
2
2
D
23.09.21
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
2
0
L
11.04.21
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
2
L
Last matches: Toluca
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Tijuana
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
15.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
15.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
30.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Club America
2
0
W
27.10.25
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
18.10.25
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
4
0
W
H2H at home: Toluca
07.12.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
W
25.09.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
6
2
W
11.05.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
2
1
W
19.01.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
1
D
31.08.23
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
W
18.08.22
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
1
D
07.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
2
2
D
11.04.21
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
2
L
Last matches: Monterrey
02.08.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atlas
2
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Monterrey
Necaxa
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Monterrey
Atlante FC
1
1
D
21.06.26
Fri
Monterrey
Cancún
4
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
0
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atlas
0
0
D
18.03.26
CON
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
FC Juarez
2
2
D
08.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
Club America
0
1
L
05.02.26
CON
Monterrey
Xelajú
1
1
D
17.01.26
Lig
Monterrey
Mazatlán
5
1
W
14.01.26
Lig
Monterrey
Necaxa
2
0
W
05.01.26
Fri
Monterrey
Atlas
2
1
W
04.01.26
Fri
Monterrey
Leones Negros UDG
3
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Monterrey
Club America
1
2
L
08.11.25
Lig
Monterrey
Guadalajara Chivas
2
4
L
26.10.25
Lig
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
0
2
L
06.10.25
Lig
Monterrey
Club Tijuana
2
2
D
H2H away: Monterrey
07.12.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
L
25.09.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
6
2
L
11.05.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
2
1
L
19.01.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
1
D
31.08.23
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
L
18.08.22
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
1
D
07.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
2
2
D
11.04.21
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
2
W

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2
Guadalajara Chivas
17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3
Cruz Azul
17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4
CF Pachuca
17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5
Toluca Home
17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6
Atlas
17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7
Tigres UANL
17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8
Club America
17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9
Club Tijuana
17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10
Leon
17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11
Club Queretaro
17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12
FC Juarez
17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13
Monterrey Away
17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14
Atletico San Luis
17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15
Necaxa
17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16
Mazatlán
17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17
Puebla
17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18
Santos Laguna
17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs