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MEXICO › LIGA MX
--.--.---- --:--
Toluca
FT
6 - 2
Monterrey
Estadio Nemesio Díez
Referee: César Ramos Palazuelos, Mexico
Toluca
Match Timeline
Monterrey
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
G. Berterame
Monterrey
⚽
23'
J. Angulo · Assist: S. Simon
Toluca
⚽
25'
Paulinho · Assist: A. Vega
Toluca
⚽
34'
N. Castro · Assist: F. Romero
Toluca
⚽
39'
O. Torres · Assist: E. Aguirre
Monterrey
⚽
40'
Paulinho · Assist: M. Ruiz
Toluca
🔄
46'
E. Aguirre ↔ R. Chavez
Monterrey
🔄
46'
J. Corona ↔ V. Guzman
Monterrey
🔄
46'
S. Medina ↔ A. Martial
Monterrey
⚽
52'
Paulinho · Assist: A. Vega
Toluca
⚽
62'
N. Castro · Assist: J. Angulo
Toluca
🔄
64'
S. Simon ↔ D. Barbosa
Toluca
🔄
64'
J. Angulo ↔ J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
Toluca
🔄
74'
S. Canales ↔ L. Ocampos
Monterrey
🔄
77'
M. Ruiz ↔ H. Herrera
Toluca
🔄
77'
Paulinho ↔ R. Morales
Toluca
🔄
85'
F. Romero ↔ F. Arce
Toluca
🔄
85'
G. Berterame ↔ R. de la Rosa
Monterrey
🟨
87'
Jesús Gallardo
Toluca
🟨
90+4'
Sergio Ramos
Monterrey

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Monterrey Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca1.95
Monterrey1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca Toluca
WWDLW
22 GF / 11 GA
Monterrey Monterrey
WLDWL
20 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
2.44
Average Goals Scored
2.22
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
6
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
7
5.89
Shots on Goal
5.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toluca Toluca 9 matches
Monterrey Monterrey 9 matches
Toluca Statistic Monterrey
6 Wins 7
1 Draws 1
2 Losses 1
22 Goals For 20
11 Goals Against 11
2.44 Avg Goals Scored 2.22
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
6 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 1
5.89 Shots On Goal 5.78
17.67 Total Shots 14.44
5.33 Corners 4.89
54.2% Ball Possession 57.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 6 times, Monterrey won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:20 from Toluca's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / Monterrey 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 6, draws 4, Monterrey wins 5
Stats
Toluca Toluca
Monterrey Monterrey
Shots on Goal
13
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
1
6 Corner Kicks 2
11 Fouls 4
2 Offsides 3
47% Ball Possession 53%
24 Total Shots 16
13 Shots on Goal 7
7 Shots off Goal 8
4 Blocked Shots 1
16 Shots insidebox 12
8 Shots outsidebox 4
5 Goalkeeper Saves 6
452 Total passes 508
390 Passes accurate 455
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Toluca
Formation
Monterrey
H. Gonzalez
H. Gonzalez
S. Simon
🎯 ↓
S. Simon
A. Briseno
A. Briseno
F. Pereira
F. Pereira
J. Gallardo
J. Gallardo
F. Romero
🎯 ↓
F. Romero
M. Ruiz
🎯 ↓
M. Ruiz
J. Angulo
⚽ 🎯 ↓
J. Angulo
N. Castro
⚽ 2
N. Castro
A. Vega
🎯
A. Vega
Paulinho
⚽ 3 ↓
Paulinho
S. Mele
S. Mele
S. Medina
↓
S. Medina
S. Ramos
S. Ramos
L. Reyes
L. Reyes
E. Aguirre
🎯 ↓
E. Aguirre
F. Ambriz
F. Ambriz
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
O. Torres
⚽
O. Torres
J. Corona
↓
J. Corona
S. Canales
↓
S. Canales
G. Berterame
⚽ ↓
G. Berterame
Toluca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
H. Gonzalez
G
19
S. Simon
🎯 23' ↓ 64'
D
3
A. Briseno
D
6
F. Pereira
D
20
J. Gallardo
🟨 87'
D
5
F. Romero
🎯 34' ↓ 85'
M
14
M. Ruiz
🎯 40' ↓ 77'
M
10
J. Angulo
⚽ 23' 🎯 62' ↓ 64'
M
8
N. Castro
⚽ 34' ⚽ 62'
M
9
A. Vega
🎯 25' 🎯 52'
M
26
Paulinho
⚽ 25' ⚽ 40' ⚽ 52' ↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
22
L. Garcia
G
2
D. Barbosa
↑ 64'
D
17
M. Isais
D
206
E. Orta
7
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
↑ 64'
M
16
H. Herrera
↑ 77'
M
24
F. Arce
↑ 85'
M
33
V. Arteaga
M
31
R. Morales
↑ 77'
F
207
J. Arroyo
Monterrey 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
25
S. Mele
G
33
S. Medina
↓ 46'
D
93
S. Ramos
🟨 90+4'
D
21
L. Reyes
D
14
E. Aguirre
🎯 39' ↓ 46'
M
5
F. Ambriz
M
30
J. Rodriguez
M
8
O. Torres
⚽ 39'
M
17
J. Corona
↓ 46'
F
10
S. Canales
↓ 74'
F
7
G. Berterame
⚽ 10' ↓ 85'
F
Substitutes
22
L. Cardenas
G
2
R. Chavez
↑ 46'
D
3
G. Arteaga
D
4
V. Guzman
↑ 46'
D
15
H. Moreno
D
23
L. Sanchez
D
29
L. Ocampos
↑ 74'
M
31
M. Rodriguez
M
9
A. Martial
↑ 46'
F
27
R. de la Rosa
↑ 85'
F
Last matches: Toluca
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
Last matches: Monterrey
16.08.26
Lig
Monterrey
FC Juarez
6
1
W
02.08.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atlas
2
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Monterrey
Necaxa
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
3
2
W
04.07.26
Fri
Monterrey
Atlante FC
1
1
D
21.06.26
Fri
Monterrey
Cancún
4
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
0
3
L
22.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Puebla
2
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atlas
0
0
D
04.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atletico San Luis
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Guadalajara Chivas
2
3
L
18.03.26
CON
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
FC Juarez
2
2
D
11.03.26
CON
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
05.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Club Queretaro
4
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
0
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
Leon
1
0
W
H2H: Toluca vs Monterrey
11.01.26
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
0
1
W
07.12.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
W
04.12.25
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
1
0
L
25.09.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
6
2
W
11.05.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
2
1
W
08.05.25
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
3
2
L
19.01.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
1
D
01.09.24
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
1
2
W
19.02.24
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
0
0
D
31.08.23
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
W
06.02.23
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
2
1
L
18.08.22
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
1
D
07.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
2
2
D
23.09.21
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
2
0
L
11.04.21
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
2
L
Last matches: Toluca
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Tijuana
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
15.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
15.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
07.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
W
30.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Club America
2
0
W
27.10.25
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
H2H at home: Toluca
07.12.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
W
25.09.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
6
2
W
11.05.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
2
1
W
19.01.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
1
D
31.08.23
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
W
18.08.22
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
1
D
07.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
2
2
D
11.04.21
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
2
L
Last matches: Monterrey
02.08.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atlas
2
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Monterrey
Necaxa
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Monterrey
Atlante FC
1
1
D
21.06.26
Fri
Monterrey
Cancún
4
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
0
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atlas
0
0
D
18.03.26
CON
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
FC Juarez
2
2
D
08.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
Club America
0
1
L
05.02.26
CON
Monterrey
Xelajú
1
1
D
17.01.26
Lig
Monterrey
Mazatlán
5
1
W
14.01.26
Lig
Monterrey
Necaxa
2
0
W
05.01.26
Fri
Monterrey
Atlas
2
1
W
04.01.26
Fri
Monterrey
Leones Negros UDG
3
0
W
07.12.25
Lig
Monterrey
Toluca
2
3
L
29.11.25
Lig
Monterrey
Club America
1
2
L
08.11.25
Lig
Monterrey
Guadalajara Chivas
2
4
L
26.10.25
Lig
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
0
2
L
H2H away: Monterrey
07.12.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
L
25.09.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
6
2
L
11.05.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
2
1
L
19.01.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
1
D
31.08.23
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
L
18.08.22
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
1
D
07.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
2
2
D
11.04.21
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
2
W

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2
Guadalajara Chivas
17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3
Cruz Azul
17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4
CF Pachuca
17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5
Toluca Home
17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6
Atlas
17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7
Tigres UANL
17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8
Club America
17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9
Club Tijuana
17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10
Leon
17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11
Club Queretaro
17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12
FC Juarez
17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13
Monterrey Away
17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14
Atletico San Luis
17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15
Necaxa
17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16
Mazatlán
17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17
Puebla
17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18
Santos Laguna
17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs