Toluca
Match Timeline
Monterrey
Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Monterrey Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca1.95
Monterrey1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca
WWDLW
22 GF / 11 GA
Monterrey
WLDWL
20 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
2.44
Average Goals Scored
2.22
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
6
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
7
5.89
Shots on Goal
5.78
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toluca
9 matches
Monterrey
9 matches
| Toluca | Statistic | Monterrey |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 7 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 1 |
| 22 | Goals For | 20 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 2.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.22 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 5.89 | Shots On Goal | 5.78 |
| 17.67 | Total Shots | 14.44 |
| 5.33 | Corners | 4.89 |
| 54.2% | Ball Possession | 57.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 6 times, Monterrey won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:20 from Toluca's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / Monterrey 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 6, draws 4, Monterrey wins 5
Standings
Liga MX, Clausura 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
Toluca
Home
|
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 |
Monterrey
Away
|
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
Playoffs