09.04.2026 03:00
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Referee: H. Said Martinez
Toluca
Match Timeline
Los Angeles Galaxy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
N. Castro · Assist: F. Pereira
Toluca
🟨
36'
Edwin Cerrillo
Los Angeles Galaxy
43'
Paulinho · Assist: J. Angulo
Toluca
🔄
45+1'
F. Pereira ↔ Luan
Toluca
🔄
58'
E. Wynder ↔ M. Reus
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
59'
H. Miller ↔ J. Haak
Los Angeles Galaxy
66'
Gabriel Pec · Assist: M. Reus
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
70'
Helinho ↔ E. del Villar
Toluca
🔄
72'
J. Nelson ↔ J. Aude
Los Angeles Galaxy
73'
Paulinho
Toluca
77'
M. Reus · Assist: J. Aude
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
80'
M. Yamane ↔ M. Cuevas
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
80'
E. Thommy ↔ L. Sanabria
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
84'
S. Simon ↔ D. Barbosa
Toluca
🔄
84'
J. Gallardo ↔ M. Isais
Toluca
🔄
84'
A. Vega ↔ F. Rossi
Toluca
85'
Paulinho
Toluca
🟨
89'
Bruno Méndez
Toluca

Toluca vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Los Angeles Galaxy Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca2.25
Los Angeles Galaxy1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca Toluca
WWDLW
6 GF / 3 GA
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
WLDWL
30 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
1
BTTS Yes
9
2
Over 2.5
10
8.5
Shots on Goal
6.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toluca Toluca 2 matches
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 16 matches
Toluca Statistic Los Angeles Galaxy
1 Wins 7
0 Draws 5
1 Losses 4
6 Goals For 30
3 Goals Against 18
3 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
1 BTTS Yes 9
2 Over 1.5 14
2 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 7
0 Failed To Score 1
8.5 Shots On Goal 6.8
23.5 Total Shots 16.9
4.5 Corners 7.1
61% Ball Possession 60.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 3 times, Los Angeles Galaxy won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:4 from Toluca's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.67 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Toluca 4-1-3-2 / Los Angeles Galaxy 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 3, draws 0, Los Angeles Galaxy wins 0