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MEXICO › LIGA MX
--.--.---- --:--
Toluca
FT
1 - 1
Atlas
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Referee: C. A. Ramos
Toluca
Match Timeline
Atlas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
Diego González
Atlas
🔄
46'
E. Zaldivar ↔ V. H. Rios De Alba
Atlas
🟨
56'
Gaddi Aguirre
Atlas
🔄
59'
P. Perez ↔ Helinho
Toluca
🔄
59'
F. Rossi ↔ Paulinho
Toluca
🟨
65'
Paulinho
Toluca
🔄
65'
S. Cordova ↔ J. Angulo
Toluca
🔄
65'
V. Arteaga ↔ N. Castro
Toluca
🟨
70'
Luan Garcia
Toluca
🟨
70'
Aldo Rocha
Atlas
🔄
79'
A. Rocha ↔ L. Gamboa
Atlas
🔄
85'
S. Aceves ↔ D. Barbosa
Toluca
🔄
89'
A. Gonzalez ↔ E. Aguirre
Atlas
⚽
90'
J. Angulo · Assist: Paulinho
Toluca
⚽
90'
V. H. Rios De Alba · Assist: L. Gamboa
Atlas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atlas Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca1.96
Atlas1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca Toluca
WWDLW
67 GF / 29 GA
Atlas Atlas
WLDWL
37 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
2.03
Average Goals Scored
1.37
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.85
17
BTTS Yes
16
18
Over 2.5
16
5.7
Shots on Goal
3.41

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toluca Toluca 33 matches
Atlas Atlas 27 matches
Toluca Statistic Atlas
21 Wins 9
8 Draws 6
4 Losses 12
67 Goals For 37
29 Goals Against 50
2.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85
17 BTTS Yes 16
23 Over 1.5 22
18 Over 2.5 16
14 Over 3.5 13
13 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 7
5.7 Shots On Goal 3.41
17.39 Total Shots 10.48
5.7 Corners 3.41
55.8% Ball Possession 44.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 6 times, Atlas won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:19 from Toluca's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / Atlas 3-5-2
H2H summary: Toluca wins 6, draws 6, Atlas wins 3
Stats
Toluca Toluca
Atlas Atlas
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
12
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
1
8 Corner Kicks 4
9 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 2
63% Ball Possession 37%
26 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Goal 5
12 Shots off Goal 6
6 Blocked Shots 1
16 Shots insidebox 8
10 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 6
435 Total passes 265
379 Passes accurate 193
2.10 expected_goals 1.05
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Toluca
Formation
Atlas
L. Garcia
L. Garcia
S. Aceves
↓
S. Aceves
Luan
Luan
A. Briseno
A. Briseno
E. del Villar
E. del Villar
V. Arteaga
↓
V. Arteaga
F. Arce
F. Arce
S. Cordova
↓
S. Cordova
A. Vega
A. Vega
P. Perez
↓
P. Perez
F. Rossi
↓
F. Rossi
C. Vargas
C. Vargas
G. Aguirre
G. Aguirre
M. Capasso
M. Capasso
R. Schlegel
R. Schlegel
E. Zaldivar
↓
E. Zaldivar
D. Gonzalez
D. Gonzalez
A. Rocha
↓
A. Rocha
P. Ramirez
P. Ramirez
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
A. Gonzalez
↓
A. Gonzalez
A. Rodriguez
A. Rodriguez
Toluca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
L. Garcia
G
184
S. Aceves
↓ 85'
13
Luan
🟨 70'
D
3
A. Briseno
D
25
E. del Villar
D
33
V. Arteaga
↓ 65'
M
24
F. Arce
M
7
S. Cordova
↓ 65'
M
9
A. Vega
M
15
P. Perez
↓ 59'
M
27
F. Rossi
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
1
H. Gonzalez
G
2
D. Barbosa
↑ 85'
D
11
Helinho
↑ 59'
F
17
M. Isais
D
26
Paulinho
🎯 90' ↑ 59' 🟨 65'
F
10
J. Angulo
⚽ 90' ↑ 65'
M
4
Bruno Mendez
D
29
J. Diaz
M
8
N. Castro
↑ 65'
M
5
F. Romero
M
Atlas 3-5-2
Starting XI
12
C. Vargas
G
13
G. Aguirre
🟨 56'
D
28
M. Capasso
D
21
R. Schlegel
D
6
E. Zaldivar
↓ 46'
M
11
D. Gonzalez
🟨 35'
M
26
A. Rocha
↓ 79' 🟨 70'
M
15
P. Ramirez
M
25
J. Rodriguez
M
58
A. Gonzalez
↓ 89'
F
9
A. Rodriguez
F
Substitutes
22
A. Sanchez
G
19
E. Aguirre
↑ 89'
F
10
G. del Prete
F
4
A. Mora
D
251
L. Gamboa
🎯 90' ↑ 79'
F
203
J. Martin
F
44
R. Pier
D
27
V. H. Rios De Alba
⚽ 90' ↑ 46'
M
192
J. Serrato
M
208
J. Guillen
M
Last matches: Toluca
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
Last matches: Atlas
02.08.26
Lig
Atlas
Monterrey
0
2
L
26.07.26
Lig
Atlas
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
18.07.26
Lig
Atlas
Leon
3
2
W
10.07.26
Fri
Atlas
Puebla
3
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Atlas
Necaxa
0
0
D
01.07.26
Fri
Atlas
Atletico San Luis
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Club America
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Monterrey
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Leon
0
2
L
30.03.26
Fri
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
1
2
L
05.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Club Tijuana
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Atlas
FC Juarez
1
3
L
21.02.26
Lig
Atlas
Atletico San Luis
3
2
W
14.02.26
Lig
Atlas
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
H2H: Toluca vs Atlas
15.03.26
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
01.11.25
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
D
13.04.25
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
2
3
W
28.09.24
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
4
1
W
07.04.24
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
4
1
W
26.08.23
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
D
02.02.23
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
D
10.07.22
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
3
2
W
24.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
2
4
L
21.08.21
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
D
27.02.21
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
0
0
D
14.08.20
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
1
2
W
15.03.20
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
2
3
L
29.01.20
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
3
2
W
23.01.20
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
2
1
L
Last matches: Toluca
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Tijuana
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
15.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
15.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
07.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
W
30.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Club America
2
0
W
27.10.25
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
18.10.25
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
4
0
W
H2H at home: Toluca
15.03.26
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
28.09.24
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
4
1
W
07.04.24
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
4
1
W
10.07.22
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
3
2
W
24.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
2
4
L
27.02.21
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
0
0
D
15.03.20
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
2
3
L
29.01.20
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
3
2
W
Last matches: Atlas
26.07.26
Lig
Atlas
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
18.07.26
Lig
Atlas
Leon
3
2
W
10.05.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Club America
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Leon
0
2
L
28.02.26
Lig
Atlas
FC Juarez
1
3
L
14.02.26
Lig
Atlas
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
17.01.26
Lig
Atlas
Necaxa
1
0
W
14.01.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
0
2
L
08.11.25
Lig
Atlas
Club Tijuana
0
2
L
26.10.25
Lig
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
1
4
L
18.10.25
Lig
Atlas
Atletico San Luis
0
2
L
25.09.25
Lig
Atlas
Tigres UANL
0
2
L
20.09.25
Lig
Atlas
Mazatlán
1
1
D
31.08.25
Lig
Atlas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
17.08.25
Lig
Atlas
Club Queretaro
3
3
D
27.07.25
Lig
Atlas
Monterrey
1
3
L
12.07.25
Lig
Atlas
Puebla
3
2
W
17.04.25
Lig
Atlas
Club Queretaro
2
1
W
H2H away: Atlas
15.03.26
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
28.09.24
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
4
1
L
07.04.24
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
4
1
L
10.07.22
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
3
2
L
24.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
2
4
W
27.02.21
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
0
0
D
15.03.20
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
2
3
W
29.01.20
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
3
2
L

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2
Guadalajara Chivas
17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3
Cruz Azul
17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4
CF Pachuca
17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5
Toluca Home
17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6
Atlas Away
17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7
Tigres UANL
17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8
Club America
17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9
Club Tijuana
17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10
Leon
17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11
Club Queretaro
17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12
FC Juarez
17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13
Monterrey
17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14
Atletico San Luis
17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15
Necaxa
17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16
Mazatlán
17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17
Puebla
17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18
Santos Laguna
17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs