JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
24.05.2026 05:00
Ajinomoto Stadium
Referee: Y. Araki
Tokyo Verdy
Match Timeline
Yokohama F. Marinos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
25'
T. Kondo · Assist: J. Amano
Yokohama F. Marinos
⚽
36'
K. Tanimura · Assist: T. Kondo
Yokohama F. Marinos
⚽
45'
Yuri Araujo · Assist: T. Kondo
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
46'
D. Fukazawa ↔ Y. Arai
Tokyo Verdy
⚽
46'
K. Tanimura · Assist: J. Amano
Yokohama F. Marinos
⚽
59'
Yuri Araujo · Assist: T. Kondo
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
61'
Y. Matsuhashi ↔ Y. Uchida
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
61'
Y. Fukuda ↔ S. Nakayama
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
61'
Yuri Araujo ↔ J. Croux
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
61'
R. Kato ↔ K. Sekitomi
Yokohama F. Marinos
🟨
67'
Kaina Tanimura
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
67'
K. Saito ↔ R. Shirai
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
74'
K. Watanabe ↔ T. Kimura
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
80'
R. Hirakawa ↔ S. Teranuma
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
80'
T. Kondo ↔ Tevis
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
80'
J. Amano ↔ A. Higuchi
Yokohama F. Marinos
🟨
90+2'
Tevis
Yokohama F. Marinos
⚽
90'
Tevis · Assist: A. Higuchi
Yokohama F. Marinos

Tokyo Verdy vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Tokyo Verdy Win 49.7%
Draw 10.3%
Yokohama F. Marinos Win 40%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tokyo Verdy1.33
Yokohama F. Marinos1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
WWDLW
22 GF / 29 GA
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
WLDWL
22 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
9
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
9
2.94
Shots on Goal
3.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 20 matches
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 18 matches
Tokyo Verdy Statistic Yokohama F. Marinos
7 Wins 5
4 Draws 2
9 Losses 11
22 Goals For 22
29 Goals Against 30
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
9 BTTS Yes 8
13 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 8
2.94 Shots On Goal 3.06
9.76 Total Shots 11.12
4.12 Corners 4.47
41.4% Ball Possession 46.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Tokyo Verdy's more proactive style and Yokohama F. Marinos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Yokohama F. Marinos. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Yokohama F. Marinos having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Tokyo Verdy arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 28 points compared to Yokohama F. Marinos in 9 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Tokyo Verdy Analysis

Tokyo Verdy approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 28 points from 17 matches. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 22:20 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on I. Someno (4 goals), T. Yoshida (4 goals), H. Yamamoto (2 goals), with creative support from K. Morita (3 assists), I. Someno (2 assists), Y. Arai (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Yokohama F. Marinos Analysis

With 17 points from 17 games and a place of 9, Yokohama F. Marinos still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 22:31, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through K. Tanimura (7 goals), J. Amano (4 goals), D. Tono (3 goals), with creative support from J. Croux (4 assists), K. Tanimura (2 assists), J. Amano (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Tokyo Verdy won 2 times, Yokohama F. Marinos won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:16 from Tokyo Verdy's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.7%)
Predicted formations: Tokyo Verdy 3-4-2-1 / Yokohama F. Marinos 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Tokyo Verdy wins 2, draws 1, Yokohama F. Marinos wins 4

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6 18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)