MACEDONIA FIRST LEAGUE
03.05.2026 14:00
Tikveš
Match Timeline
Aresimi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
11'
X. Abdulla ↔ A. Gafuri
Aresimi
🟥
19'
F. Camara
Tikveš
24'
B. Ramadani
Tikveš
29'
M. Goni
Aresimi
🟨
43'
R. Selmani
Aresimi
🔄
60'
N. Sylla ↔ A. Varelovski
Tikveš
🔄
68'
R. Selmani ↔ M. Huric
Aresimi
🔄
79'
M. Guel ↔ K. Ackovski
Tikveš
🟨
85'
K. Stojkoski
Tikveš
🟨
85'
D. Mojsov
Tikveš
🟨
85'
X. Avduli
Aresimi
🟨
85'
M. Dardhishta
Aresimi
🔄
88'
E. Lawal ↔ D. Milovanovikj
Tikveš
🔄
88'
M. Todorov ↔ I. Fall
Tikveš
🔄
88'
A. Ramadani ↔ S. Mustafa
Aresimi
🔄
88'
S. Olatunbosun ↔ A. Aliti
Aresimi

Tikveš vs Aresimi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tikveš Win 78%
Draw 8.1%
Aresimi Win 14%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tikveš1.72
Aresimi1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tikveš Tikveš
WWDLW
49 GF / 42 GA
Aresimi Aresimi
WLDWL
46 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.59
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
10
BTTS Yes
15
18
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tikveš Tikveš 29 matches
Aresimi Aresimi 29 matches
Tikveš Statistic Aresimi
12 Wins 11
4 Draws 5
13 Losses 13
49 Goals For 46
42 Goals Against 51
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
10 BTTS Yes 15
19 Over 1.5 22
18 Over 2.5 18
12 Over 3.5 13
12 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0.5
0 Total Shots 1.75
0 Corners 0.25
0% Ball Possession 11.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Tikveš's more proactive style and Aresimi's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Aresimi. Tikveš have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Aresimi having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Tikveš Analysis

Tikveš approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 40 points from 29 matches. The overall return of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 13 defeats with a 49:42 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Stojanov (8 goals), B. Sadik (7 goals), I. Ivanovski (6 goals), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Aresimi Analysis

Aresimi are currently 7 in the standings with 38 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 46:51 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Shefiti (11 goals), A. Taipi (6 goals), A. Besagic (5 goals), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Tikveš won 3 times, Aresimi won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:7 from Tikveš's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
H2H summary: Tikveš wins 3, draws 1, Aresimi wins 1

Standings

1. MFL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 26 5 2 80:21 59 83
W W W W W
2 33 23 5 5 67:30 37 74
L W W D L
3 33 19 5 9 68:28 40 62
L L L L W
4 33 16 5 12 59:36 23 53
L L L D L
5 33 14 6 13 59:47 12 48
W D W D L
6 33 13 7 13 50:53 -3 46
W W D D W
7 33 11 9 13 40:54 -14 42
L D D L W
8 33 10 10 13 41:42 -1 40
D W D W D
9 33 10 10 13 46:56 -10 40
L W L D W
10 33 9 7 17 42:57 -15 34
W D L W W
11 33 9 6 18 45:58 -13 33
L W D D L
12 33 0 1 32 15:130 -115 1
L L L L L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation