Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Tigres UANL Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tigres UANL1.25
Toluca1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tigres UANL
WWDLW
22 GF / 13 GA
Toluca
WLDWL
33 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
2.2
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
6
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Tigres UANL
15 matches
Toluca
15 matches
| Tigres UANL | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 9 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 3 | Losses | 1 |
| 22 | Goals For | 33 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.2 |
| 0.87 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.93 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tigres UANL won 5 times, Toluca won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:24 from Tigres UANL's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1 / Toluca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Tigres UANL wins 5, draws 4, Toluca wins 6
Last matches: Tigres UANL
22.08.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atlante FC
2
0
W
16.08.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atlas
1
2
L
01.08.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Queretaro
2
3
L
26.07.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atletico San Luis
2
2
D
17.07.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
1
3
L
31.05.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
06.05.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
3
1
W
29.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Mazatlán
5
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atlas
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Necaxa
1
1
D
16.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
1
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
4
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
2
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
Tigres UANL
Club America
1
1
D
23.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
FC Juarez
1
2
L
20.03.26
CON
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
5
1
W
Last matches: Toluca
22.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
H2H: Tigres UANL vs Toluca
31.05.26
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
18.01.26
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
0
0
D
15.12.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
L
12.12.25
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
0
W
27.07.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
4
W
18.05.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
0
L
15.05.25
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
1
D
02.02.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
0
L
07.11.24
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
2
1
W
02.03.24
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
L
05.10.23
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
2
2
D
14.05.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
1
L
12.05.23
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
4
1
W
02.04.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
2
L
08.09.22
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
3
1
W
Last matches: Tigres UANL
22.08.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atlante FC
2
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atletico San Luis
2
2
D
06.05.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
3
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Mazatlán
5
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
4
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
2
0
W
20.03.26
CON
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
5
1
W
15.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Monterrey
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
11.02.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Forge
4
1
W
07.02.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Santos Laguna
5
1
W
18.01.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Toluca
0
0
D
15.01.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
12.12.25
Lig
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
0
W
07.12.25
Lig
Tigres UANL
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
30.11.25
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
5
0
W
08.11.25
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atletico San Luis
3
1
W
25.10.25
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
2
0
W
H2H at home: Tigres UANL
18.01.26
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
0
0
D
12.12.25
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
0
W
15.05.25
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
1
D
07.11.24
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
2
1
W
05.10.23
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
2
2
D
12.05.23
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
4
1
W
08.09.22
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
3
1
W
Last matches: Toluca
22.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
04.03.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
2
W
22.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Puebla
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
W
12.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
04.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
0
1
L
H2H away: Toluca
18.01.26
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
0
0
D
12.12.25
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
0
L
15.05.25
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
1
D
07.11.24
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
2
1
L
05.10.23
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
2
2
D
12.05.23
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
4
1
L
08.09.22
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
3
1
L
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39:12 | 27 | 42 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Toluca
Away
|
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 35 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 3 |
Tigres UANL
Home
|
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 31 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 31 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 30 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:25 | -1 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 27 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 18 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22:36 | -14 | 17 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 15 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 14 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 14 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13:31 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
Final Series
Final Series Play-offs