12.09.2026 21:15
Estadio Hernando Siles
Referee: R. Mamani
The Strongest
Match Timeline
Real Oruro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
D. Lom · Assist: A. Estacio
The Strongest
🟨
37'
Alex Arancibia
Real Oruro
40'
A. Estacio
The Strongest
🔄
46'
J. P. Gomez ↔ E. Rivera
Real Oruro
🔄
46'
F. Gatti ↔ J. Montenegro
Real Oruro
53'
D. Lom · Assist: G. Sotomayor
The Strongest
69'
A. Estacio · Assist: G. Sotomayor
The Strongest
🔄
71'
A. Estacio ↔ W. Saucedo
The Strongest
🔄
71'
J. Arrascaita ↔ K. F. Salvatierra Flores
The Strongest
🔄
71'
Saavedra ↔ J. Cuellar
The Strongest
🟨
75'
Edwin Rivera
Real Oruro
78'
G. Sotomayor · Assist: J. Cuellar
The Strongest
🔄
79'
D. Lom ↔ C. Roca
The Strongest
🔄
79'
F. Quaglio ↔ K. Adin Chacon Arrascayta
The Strongest
🔄
85'
D. Pinto ↔ J. Ari Cruz
Real Oruro
🔄
85'
L. Corulo ↔ L. Martinez
Real Oruro

The Strongest vs Real Oruro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.2%
Odds 1.24
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.28
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.2%
1.24
BTTS Yes
86%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.28
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
1.60
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.73
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
The Strongest Win 52.2%
Draw 16.9%
Real Oruro Win 31%
Expected Goals (xG)
The Strongest2.05
Real Oruro1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
The Strongest The Strongest
WWDLW
48 GF / 30 GA
Real Oruro Real Oruro
WLDWL
42 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
2.35
17
BTTS Yes
20
16
Over 2.5
19
3
Shots on Goal
2.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

The Strongest The Strongest 26 matches
Real Oruro Real Oruro 23 matches
The Strongest Statistic Real Oruro
15 Wins 8
6 Draws 4
5 Losses 11
48 Goals For 42
30 Goals Against 54
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 2.35
17 BTTS Yes 20
21 Over 1.5 23
16 Over 2.5 19
9 Over 3.5 14
6 Clean Sheets 1
6 Failed To Score 2
3 Shots On Goal 2.56
9.5 Total Shots 7.83
2.9 Corners 2.67
32.8% Ball Possession 24.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around The Strongest's more proactive style and Real Oruro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with The Strongest expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Real Oruro in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Oruro having the stronger overall control. The Strongest arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 33 points compared to Real Oruro in 11 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Real Oruro. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

The Strongest Analysis

The Strongest approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 33 points after 17 outings. With 9 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 29:20, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Darwin Lom (3 goals), Adrián Estacio (1 goals), Gabriel Sotomayor (1 goals), with creative support from Adrián Estacio (2 assists), Gabriel Sotomayor (1 assists), Carmelo Algarañaz (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Real Oruro Analysis

From their first 18 matches, Real Oruro have collected 21 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 32:43 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Adriel Fernandez (2 goals), A. Quiñonez (2 goals), Y. Vallejos (2 goals), with creative support from Adriel Fernandez (2 assists), J. Montenegro (2 assists), A. Quiñonez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, The Strongest won 4 times, Real Oruro won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:7 from The Strongest's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.2%)
Predicted formations: The Strongest 5-4-1 / Real Oruro 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: The Strongest wins 4, draws 1, Real Oruro wins 1

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 6 1 47:13 34 45
W W W D D
2 20 14 3 3 54:22 32 45
W W W W W
3 20 12 6 2 39:22 17 42
W W W W W
4 20 8 8 4 27:14 13 32
W W D L D
5 20 9 3 8 36:27 9 30
W L L D W
6 20 7 9 4 31:27 4 30
L W W D D
7 20 8 5 7 32:39 -7 29
W L D L D
8 20 6 9 5 30:22 8 27
D W L D D
9 20 8 3 9 30:28 2 27
L W W L W
10 20 7 4 9 27:35 -8 25
L L L W L
11 20 6 3 11 32:50 -18 21
L L W D L
12 20 6 2 12 31:45 -14 20
L L W L D
13 20 6 2 12 21:40 -19 20
W L L L L
14 20 5 3 12 26:39 -13 18
D W L W L
15 20 4 4 12 15:39 -24 16
L L L W D
16 20 2 8 10 21:37 -16 14
L L L D D