SENEGAL LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 80.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 97.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
80.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
97.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Teungueth Win 51.9%
Draw 10.3%
Stade de Mbour Win 37.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Teungueth0.65
Stade de Mbour0.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Teungueth Teungueth
WWDLW
18 GF / 6 GA
Stade de Mbour Stade de Mbour
WLDWL
18 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
0.67
0.22
Average Goals Conceded
0.63
3
BTTS Yes
8
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Teungueth Teungueth 27 matches
Stade de Mbour Stade de Mbour 27 matches
Teungueth Statistic Stade de Mbour
11 Wins 5
14 Draws 17
2 Losses 5
18 Goals For 18
6 Goals Against 17
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
0.22 Avg Goals Conceded 0.63
3 BTTS Yes 8
6 Over 1.5 13
2 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
22 Clean Sheets 15
14 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Teungueth's more proactive style and Stade de Mbour's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Stade de Mbour. Teungueth arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 44 points compared to Stade de Mbour in 10 on 29, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Stade de Mbour having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Teungueth Analysis

Placed 2 with 44 points from 26 outings, Teungueth continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 10 wins, 14 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 17:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Stade de Mbour Analysis

Stade de Mbour are currently 10 in the standings with 29 points from 26 matches. The record of 4 wins, 17 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 16:17 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Teungueth won 7 times, Stade de Mbour won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:9 from Teungueth's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.7%)
H2H summary: Teungueth wins 7, draws 5, Stade de Mbour wins 3

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
?
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation