SENEGAL LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 52%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
52%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
70.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Teungueth Win 64.3%
Draw 16.6%
HLM Win 19.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Teungueth0.75
HLM0.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Teungueth Teungueth
WWDLW
16 GF / 6 GA
HLM HLM
WLDWL
13 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
0.7
Average Goals Scored
0.57
0.26
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
3
BTTS Yes
7
2
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Teungueth Teungueth 23 matches
HLM HLM 23 matches
Teungueth Statistic HLM
9 Wins 3
12 Draws 15
2 Losses 5
16 Goals For 13
6 Goals Against 19
0.7 Avg Goals Scored 0.57
0.26 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
3 BTTS Yes 7
6 Over 1.5 10
2 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 2
18 Clean Sheets 12
12 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Teungueth's more proactive style and HLM's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward HLM having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward HLM. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Teungueth arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 39 points compared to HLM in 12 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Teungueth Analysis

Teungueth come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 39 points after 23 matches. With 9 wins, 12 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 15:6, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

HLM Analysis

So far, HLM have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 24 points from 23 matches. The record of 3 wins, 15 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 12:18 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Teungueth won 3 times, HLM won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:1 from Teungueth's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.4%)
H2H summary: Teungueth wins 3, draws 1, HLM wins 0
Last matches: Teungueth
04.06.26
Lig
Teungueth
Guédiawaye
1
0
W
22.05.26
Lig
Teungueth
DSC
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Teungueth
Stade de Mbour
2
0
W
13.05.26
Lig
Teungueth
Wally Daan
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Teungueth
AJEL
0
0
D
03.05.26
Lig
Teungueth
Ouakam
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Teungueth
AS Camberene
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Teungueth
Casa Sport
0
0
D
29.03.26
Lig
Teungueth
Jaraaf
1
0
W
25.03.26
Lig
Teungueth
Pikine
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Teungueth
Sonacos
2
2
D
07.03.26
Lig
Teungueth
Génération Foot
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Teungueth
La Linguère
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Teungueth
Gorée
1
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Teungueth
Guédiawaye
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
Teungueth
DSC
2
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Teungueth
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
25.01.26
Lig
Teungueth
Wally Daan
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Teungueth
AJEL
2
0
W
07.01.26
Lig
Teungueth
Ouakam
0
0
D
Last matches: HLM
04.06.26
Lig
HLM
Pikine
2
1
W
22.05.26
Lig
HLM
Sonacos
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
HLM
Génération Foot
0
1
L
13.05.26
Lig
HLM
La Linguère
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
HLM
Gorée
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
HLM
Guédiawaye
2
1
W
20.04.26
Lig
HLM
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
HLM
Wally Daan
1
2
L
29.03.26
Lig
HLM
AJEL
3
0
W
25.03.26
Lig
HLM
Ouakam
0
1
L
15.03.26
Lig
HLM
DSC
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
HLM
AS Camberene
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
HLM
Casa Sport
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
HLM
Jaraaf
0
0
D
15.02.26
Lig
HLM
Pikine
0
0
D
09.02.26
Lig
HLM
Sonacos
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
HLM
Génération Foot
0
3
L
25.01.26
Lig
HLM
La Linguère
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
HLM
Gorée
0
5
L
07.01.26
Lig
HLM
Guédiawaye
1
0
W
H2H: Teungueth vs HLM
25.04.26
H2H
Teungueth
HLM
1
0
W
28.12.25
H2H
HLM
Teungueth
0
0
D
02.03.25
H2H
HLM
Teungueth
0
2
W
19.10.24
H2H
Teungueth
HLM
2
1
W
Last matches: Teungueth
17.05.26
Lig
Teungueth
Stade de Mbour
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Teungueth
AJEL
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Teungueth
Casa Sport
0
0
D
29.03.26
Lig
Teungueth
Jaraaf
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Teungueth
Sonacos
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Teungueth
La Linguère
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lig
Teungueth
Guédiawaye
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
Teungueth
DSC
2
0
W
25.01.26
Lig
Teungueth
Wally Daan
0
0
D
07.01.26
Lig
Teungueth
Ouakam
0
0
D
20.12.25
Lig
Teungueth
AS Camberene
1
0
W
30.11.25
Lig
Teungueth
Pikine
0
0
D
16.11.25
Lig
Teungueth
Génération Foot
1
0
W
01.11.25
Lig
Teungueth
Gorée
0
0
D
H2H at home: Teungueth
25.04.26
H2H
Teungueth
HLM
1
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
Teungueth
HLM
2
1
W
Last matches: HLM
22.05.26
Lig
HLM
Sonacos
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
HLM
Gorée
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
HLM
Wally Daan
1
2
L
25.03.26
Lig
HLM
Ouakam
0
1
L
15.03.26
Lig
HLM
DSC
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
HLM
Casa Sport
0
0
D
15.02.26
Lig
HLM
Pikine
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
HLM
Génération Foot
0
3
L
25.01.26
Lig
HLM
La Linguère
0
0
D
07.01.26
Lig
HLM
Guédiawaye
1
0
W
21.12.25
Lig
HLM
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
07.12.25
Lig
HLM
AJEL
1
1
D
16.11.25
Lig
HLM
AS Camberene
0
0
D
02.11.25
Lig
HLM
Jaraaf
1
1
D
H2H away: HLM
25.04.26
H2H
Teungueth
HLM
1
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
Teungueth
HLM
2
1
L

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11
HLM Away
30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
?
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation