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12.10.2026 19:00
Heliodoro Rodríguez López
Referee: Daniel Palencia Caballero
Tenerife
Live Timeline
Girona
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
Yaser Asprilla
Girona
🟨
21'
David Rodríguez Ramos
Tenerife
🟨
23'
Izan González
Girona
🟨
24'
Fabricio Assis de Souza Barbosa
Tenerife
⚽
26'
Enric Gallego · Assist: Nacho Gil
Tenerife

Tenerife vs Girona Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.8%
Odds 2.66
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.23
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.8%
2.66 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.23 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.5%
1.44 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Tenerife Win 38%
Draw 12.2%
Girona Win 49.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tenerife1.65
Girona1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tenerife Tenerife
WWDLW
25 GF / 18 GA
Girona Girona
WLDWL
24 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
7
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
8
3
Shots on Goal
5.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tenerife Tenerife 14 matches
Girona Girona 14 matches
Tenerife Statistic Girona
6 Wins 5
4 Draws 5
4 Losses 4
25 Goals For 24
18 Goals Against 20
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
7 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 2
3 Shots On Goal 5.13
10.13 Total Shots 15.13
4 Corners 4
41.3% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Girona's more proactive style and Tenerife's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tenerife expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Girona in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Girona having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Girona. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Girona carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 14 points while Tenerife sit 12 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Tenerife Analysis

So far, Tenerife have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 11 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 10:12 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Enric Gallego (4 goals), Iván Chapela (1 goals), C. Gomis (1 goals), with creative support from Iván Chapela (1 assists), Nacho Gil (1 assists), Fabricio (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Girona Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 14 points from 8 games, Girona bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a 14:8 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Y. Asprilla (3 goals), Abel Ruiz (2 goals), Carles Pérez (2 goals), with creative support from Álex Moreno (2 assists), Abel Ruiz (1 assists), Carles Pérez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Tenerife won 4 times, Girona won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:10 from Tenerife's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.8%)
Predicted formations: Tenerife 4-4-2 / Girona 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Tenerife wins 4, draws 3, Girona wins 3

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 18:7 11 21
W W W W W
2 9 7 0 2 16:5 11 21
W W W W W
3 9 6 2 1 15:4 11 20
L D W W W
4 9 5 2 2 11:4 7 17
W D L W W
5 9 4 4 1 10:7 3 16
W D D W L
6 9 5 1 3 9:8 1 16
W W L W L
7 8 4 2 2 14:8 6 14
D W W L W
8 8 4 2 2 12:9 3 14
L W W W D
9 9 3 3 3 13:11 2 12
W D W D L
10 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
W L L D L
11 8 3 2 3 8:8 0 11
L W L W D
12 9 3 2 4 14:15 -1 11
W L D L L
13 9 3 2 4 10:11 -1 11
W W L L W
14 8 3 2 3 10:12 -2 11
L D L W D
15 9 3 2 4 13:16 -3 11
L D L L W
16 9 3 2 4 6:14 -8 11
L L L W L
17 9 3 1 5 13:15 -2 10
W D W L L
18 9 3 0 6 14:20 -6 9
L W L W L
19 9 2 2 5 12:17 -5 8
L L L L W
20 9 1 4 4 11:11 0 7
L W D L L
21 9 1 2 6 8:20 -12 5
L D W D L
22 9 0 1 8 5:20 -15 1
L L L L D
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation