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26.09.2026 16:30
Heliodoro Rodríguez López
Referee: Olatz Rivera Olmedo, Spain
Tenerife
Match Timeline
Cadiz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Marc-Olivier Doué
Cadiz
🟨
8'
Javi Castro
Cadiz
⚽
25'
Enric
Tenerife
🔄
56'
Jandro ↔ D. A. Zarate Hidalgo
Cadiz
🔄
56'
B. Vazquez ↔ E. Aghama
Cadiz
🔄
59'
G. Valentin ↔ D. Fernandez
Tenerife
🔄
59'
M. Pecar ↔ I. Chapela
Tenerife
🔄
70'
V. Moreno ↔ C. Gomis
Tenerife
🔄
70'
A. Cordero ↔ Izeta
Cadiz
⚽
74'
V. Kopotun · Assist: I. Sanchez
Cadiz
🔄
81'
Fabricio ↔ M. Pitton
Tenerife
🔄
81'
Enric ↔ J. de Miguel
Tenerife
🔄
83'
M. Doue ↔ D. Rodriguez
Cadiz
🔄
83'
V. Kopotun ↔ A. Pascual
Cadiz
🟨
86'
Sergio Arribas
Cadiz
🟨
88'
Dani Fernández
Tenerife
🟨
90+2'
Alvaro Garcia-Pascual
Cadiz

Tenerife vs Cadiz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Tenerife Win 62.9%
Draw 4.3%
Cadiz Win 32.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tenerife1.7
Cadiz1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tenerife Tenerife
WWDLW
22 GF / 14 GA
Cadiz Cadiz
WLDWL
20 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
5
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
8
3.17
Shots on Goal
3.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tenerife Tenerife 12 matches
Cadiz Cadiz 14 matches
Tenerife Statistic Cadiz
6 Wins 2
3 Draws 4
3 Losses 8
22 Goals For 20
14 Goals Against 21
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
5 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 4
3.17 Shots On Goal 3.17
10.17 Total Shots 10.33
3.83 Corners 4.33
41.2% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Tenerife's more proactive style and Cadiz's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cadiz. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tenerife expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Cadiz in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cadiz having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Tenerife arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 10 points compared to Cadiz in 20 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Tenerife Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 10 points from 5 games, Tenerife bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 7:3, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Enric Gallego (3 goals), Fabricio (1 goals), Jesús Álvarez (1 goals), with creative support from Nacho Gil (1 assists), A. Krdžalić (1 assists), Gerard Valentín (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Cadiz Analysis

Cadiz approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 3 points from 5 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 5:7 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Javi Castro (1 goals), Urko Izeta (1 goals), with creative support from Antonio Cordero (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Tenerife won 5 times, Cadiz won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from Tenerife's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Tenerife 4-4-2 / Cadiz 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Tenerife wins 5, draws 6, Cadiz wins 3

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 0 2 16:5 11 21
W W W W W
2 9 7 0 2 19:10 9 21
L W W W W
3 9 6 2 1 15:4 11 20
L D W W W
4 9 5 2 2 11:4 7 17
W D L W W
5 9 4 4 1 10:7 3 16
W D D W L
6 9 5 1 3 9:8 1 16
W W L W L
7 9 4 3 2 15:9 6 15
D D W W L
8 9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
L L W W W
9 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
W L W L W
10 9 4 2 3 14:13 1 14
W W L L D
11 9 3 3 3 13:11 2 12
W D W D L
12 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D L D L W
13 9 3 2 4 14:15 -1 11
W L D L L
14 9 3 2 4 10:11 -1 11
W W L L W
15 9 3 2 4 13:16 -3 11
L D L L W
16 9 3 2 4 6:14 -8 11
L L L W L
17 9 3 1 5 13:15 -2 10
W D W L L
18 9 3 0 6 14:20 -6 9
L W L W L
19 9 2 2 5 12:17 -5 8
L L L L W
20
Cadiz Away
9 1 4 4 11:11 0 7
L W D L L
21 9 1 2 6 8:20 -12 5
L D W D L
22 9 0 1 8 5:20 -15 1
L L L L D
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation