NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE
22.04.2026 18:00
BUKO Stadion
Referee: E. Blank
Telstar
Match Timeline
Sparta Rotterdam
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
31'
M. Zonneveld · Assist: M. van Bergen
Sparta Rotterdam
⚽
33'
J. Hardeveld · Assist: P. Brouwer
Telstar
🔄
70'
T. Noslin ↔ J. Ritmeester van de Kamp
Telstar
⚽
72'
S. van Duijn · Assist: T. Owusu
Telstar
⚽
78'
S. van Duijn · Assist: C. Hatenboer
Telstar
🔄
79'
M. Zonneveld ↔ S. Mito
Sparta Rotterdam
🔄
79'
J. Baas ↔ C. Terho
Sparta Rotterdam
🟨
83'
Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp
Telstar
🟨
85'
Patrick Brouwer
Telstar
🔄
87'
T. Owusu ↔ S. Hetli
Telstar
🔄
87'
S. van Duijn ↔ J. Seedorf
Telstar
⚽
88'
J. Seedorf · Assist: S. Hetli
Telstar
🔄
90+1'
D. Koswal ↔ K. Tejan
Telstar
🔄
90+2'
C. Hatenboer ↔ R. Oudsten
Telstar

Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 54.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
54.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.4%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Telstar Win 46.9%
Draw 16%
Sparta Rotterdam Win 37.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Telstar1.43
Sparta Rotterdam1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Telstar Telstar
WWDLW
39 GF / 52 GA
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
WLDWL
35 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
19
BTTS Yes
12
17
Over 2.5
14
4.97
Shots on Goal
4.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Telstar Telstar 30 matches
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 30 matches
Telstar Statistic Sparta Rotterdam
6 Wins 12
9 Draws 6
15 Losses 12
39 Goals For 35
52 Goals Against 49
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
19 BTTS Yes 12
26 Over 1.5 22
17 Over 2.5 14
12 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 8
4.97 Shots On Goal 4.6
13.13 Total Shots 12.67
4.97 Corners 4.57
45.4% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sparta Rotterdam. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Telstar expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Sparta Rotterdam in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sparta Rotterdam having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Telstar have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Telstar Analysis

With 27 points from 30 games and a place of 16, Telstar still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 39:52, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Ritmeester van de Kamp (7 goals), P. Brouwer (7 goals), J. Hardeveld (4 goals), with creative support from J. Hardeveld (6 assists), P. Brouwer (4 assists), Guus Offerhaus (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with N. Thorisson unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Sparta Rotterdam Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam sit 10 with 42 points after 30 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, while the 35:49 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Lauritsen (11 goals), J. Kitolano (6 goals), S. Mito (6 goals), with creative support from T. Lauritsen (3 assists), S. Mito (3 assists), P. Clement (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with T. Quintero unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Telstar won 1 times, Sparta Rotterdam won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:10 from Telstar's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
Predicted formations: Telstar 3-4-2-1 / Sparta Rotterdam 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Telstar 3, Sparta Rotterdam 2
H2H summary: Telstar wins 1, draws 3, Sparta Rotterdam wins 4

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2 34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3 34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4 34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5 34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6 34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7 34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8 34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9 34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12 34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie