NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
--.--.---- --:--
BUKO Stadion
Referee: E. Blank
Telstar
Match Timeline
Sparta Rotterdam
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
31'
M. Zonneveld · Assist: M. van Bergen
Sparta Rotterdam
33'
J. Hardeveld · Assist: P. Brouwer
Telstar
🔄
70'
T. Noslin ↔ J. Ritmeester van de Kamp
Telstar
72'
S. van Duijn · Assist: T. Owusu
Telstar
78'
S. van Duijn · Assist: C. Hatenboer
Telstar
🔄
79'
M. Zonneveld ↔ S. Mito
Sparta Rotterdam
🔄
79'
J. Baas ↔ C. Terho
Sparta Rotterdam
🟨
83'
Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp
Telstar
🟨
85'
Patrick Brouwer
Telstar
🔄
87'
T. Owusu ↔ S. Hetli
Telstar
🔄
87'
S. van Duijn ↔ J. Seedorf
Telstar
88'
J. Seedorf · Assist: S. Hetli
Telstar
🔄
90+1'
D. Koswal ↔ K. Tejan
Telstar
🔄
90+2'
C. Hatenboer ↔ R. Oudsten
Telstar

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 54.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
54.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Telstar Win 46.9%
Draw 16%
Sparta Rotterdam Win 37.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Telstar1.43
Sparta Rotterdam1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Telstar Telstar
WWDLW
39 GF / 52 GA
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
WLDWL
35 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
19
BTTS Yes
12
17
Over 2.5
14
4.97
Shots on Goal
4.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Telstar Telstar 30 matches
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 30 matches
Telstar Statistic Sparta Rotterdam
6 Wins 12
9 Draws 6
15 Losses 12
39 Goals For 35
52 Goals Against 49
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
19 BTTS Yes 12
26 Over 1.5 22
17 Over 2.5 14
12 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 8
4.97 Shots On Goal 4.6
13.13 Total Shots 12.67
4.97 Corners 4.57
45.4% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sparta Rotterdam. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Telstar expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Sparta Rotterdam in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sparta Rotterdam having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Telstar have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Telstar Analysis

With 27 points from 30 games and a place of 16, Telstar still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 39:52, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Ritmeester van de Kamp (7 goals), P. Brouwer (7 goals), J. Hardeveld (4 goals), with creative support from J. Hardeveld (6 assists), P. Brouwer (4 assists), Guus Offerhaus (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with N. Thorisson unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Sparta Rotterdam Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam sit 10 with 42 points after 30 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, while the 35:49 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Lauritsen (11 goals), J. Kitolano (6 goals), S. Mito (6 goals), with creative support from T. Lauritsen (3 assists), S. Mito (3 assists), P. Clement (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with T. Quintero unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Telstar won 1 times, Sparta Rotterdam won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:7 from Telstar's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
Predicted formations: Telstar 3-4-2-1 / Sparta Rotterdam 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Telstar 3, Sparta Rotterdam 2
H2H summary: Telstar wins 1, draws 3, Sparta Rotterdam wins 3
Stats
Telstar Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
5
6 Corner Kicks 5
14 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 2
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 5
8 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 0
361 Total passes 425
281 Passes accurate 351
1.70 expected_goals 1.04
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Telstar
Formation
Sparta Rotterdam
R. Koeman
R. Koeman
N. Ogidi Nwankwo
N. Ogidi Nwankwo
D. Koswal
D. Koswal
D. Bakker
D. Bakker
T. Noslin
T. Noslin
G. Offerhaus
G. Offerhaus
C. Hatenboer
🎯
C. Hatenboer
J. Hardeveld
J. Hardeveld
T. Owusu
🎯
T. Owusu
P. Brouwer
🎯
P. Brouwer
S. van Duijn
⚽ 2
S. van Duijn
J. Drommel
J. Drommel
L. Martes
L. Martes
M. Young
M. Young
G. Vianello
G. Vianello
M. van Bergen
🎯
M. van Bergen
J. Baas
J. Baas
J. Kitolano
J. Kitolano
A. Santos
A. Santos
V. van Crooij
V. van Crooij
T. Lauritsen
T. Lauritsen
M. Zonneveld
M. Zonneveld
Telstar 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
R. Koeman
G
14
N. Ogidi Nwankwo
D
21
D. Koswal
↓ 90+1'
D
6
D. Bakker
D
11
T. Noslin
↓ 70'
M
4
G. Offerhaus
M
23
C. Hatenboer
🎯 78' ↓ 90+2'
2
J. Hardeveld
⚽ 33'
M
8
T. Owusu
🎯 72' ↓ 87'
F
27
P. Brouwer
🎯 33' 🟨 85'
F
37
S. van Duijn
⚽ 72' ⚽ 78' ↓ 87'
F
Substitutes
20
D. Reiziger
G
13
F. Mulder
19
N. Thorisson
F
5
N. Ogidi Nwankwo
D
39
J. Ritmeester van de Kamp
↑ 70' 🟨 83'
M
7
S. Hetli
🎯 88' ↑ 87'
F
30
K. Tejan
↑ 90+1'
F
9
J. Seedorf
⚽ 88' ↑ 87'
F
28
R. Oudsten
↑ 90+2'
F
Sparta Rotterdam 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
J. Drommel
G
2
L. Martes
D
3
M. Young
D
5
G. Vianello
D
7
M. van Bergen
🎯 31'
M
4
J. Baas
↓ 79'
M
6
J. Kitolano
M
8
A. Santos
M
10
V. van Crooij
F
9
T. Lauritsen
F
11
M. Zonneveld
⚽ 31' ↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
20
F. Bednarek
G
30
P. Kuiper
G
13
J. de Guzman
M
14
B. Martins Indi
D
18
J. Toornstra
M
15
P. van Aanholt
D
17
S. Bakari
D
22
S. Mito
↑ 79'
F
21
A. Roaldsoy
M
16
P. Clement
M
12
S. Sambo
D
19
C. Terho
↑ 79'
F
Last matches: Telstar
17.07.26
Fri
Telstar
De Graafschap
6
3
W
11.07.26
Fri
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
0
1
L
04.07.26
Fri
Telstar
Almere City FC
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ere
Telstar
FC Volendam
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ere
Telstar
Heracles
3
0
W
02.05.26
Ere
Telstar
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ere
Telstar
Utrecht
1
4
L
04.04.26
Ere
Telstar
Groningen
0
2
L
22.03.26
Ere
Telstar
PSV Eindhoven
3
1
W
14.03.26
Ere
Telstar
Heerenveen
0
3
L
08.03.26
Ere
Telstar
Fortuna Sittard
4
1
W
27.02.26
Ere
Telstar
NAC Breda
3
0
W
22.02.26
Ere
Telstar
Feyenoord
1
2
L
15.02.26
Ere
Telstar
Twente
1
1
D
08.02.26
Ere
Telstar
GO Ahead Eagles
1
1
D
31.01.26
Ere
Telstar
PEC Zwolle
1
4
L
25.01.26
Ere
Telstar
AZ Alkmaar
0
1
L
17.01.26
Ere
Telstar
Excelsior
2
2
D
11.01.26
Ere
Telstar
Ajax
2
3
L
20.12.25
Ere
Telstar
NAC Breda
1
0
W
Last matches: Sparta Rotterdam
18.07.26
Fri
Sparta Rotterdam
SV Meppen
2
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Sparta Rotterdam
Telstar
1
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
Sparta Rotterdam
VOC
4
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
Excelsior
2
3
L
10.05.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
Twente
0
4
L
03.05.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
GO Ahead Eagles
2
2
D
11.04.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
PSV Eindhoven
0
2
L
05.04.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
NAC Breda
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
FC Volendam
2
0
W
14.03.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
0
4
L
08.03.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
PEC Zwolle
1
1
D
28.02.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen
1
2
L
22.02.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar
1
3
L
17.02.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
07.02.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
Fortuna Sittard
2
2
D
31.01.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen
2
0
W
25.01.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht
1
0
W
18.01.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
Feyenoord
4
3
W
11.01.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
Heracles
2
0
W
06.01.26
Fri
Sparta Rotterdam
VVV Venlo
5
2
W
H2H: Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam
11.07.26
H2H
Sparta Rotterdam
Telstar
1
0
L
22.04.26
H2H
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
4
1
W
25.10.25
H2H
Sparta Rotterdam
Telstar
1
0
L
13.07.21
H2H
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
0
0
D
18.08.20
H2H
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
0
0
D
25.01.19
H2H
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
1
1
D
26.10.18
H2H
Sparta Rotterdam
Telstar
3
2
L
Last matches: Telstar
10.05.26
Ere
Telstar
Heracles
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
Telstar
Groningen
0
2
L
22.03.26
Ere
Telstar
PSV Eindhoven
3
1
W
27.02.26
Ere
Telstar
NAC Breda
3
0
W
15.02.26
Ere
Telstar
Twente
1
1
D
25.01.26
Ere
Telstar
AZ Alkmaar
0
1
L
11.01.26
Ere
Telstar
Ajax
2
3
L
13.12.25
Ere
Telstar
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
30.11.25
Ere
Telstar
Feyenoord
1
2
L
23.11.25
Ere
Telstar
Utrecht
1
1
D
01.11.25
Ere
Telstar
Excelsior
2
2
D
19.10.25
Ere
Telstar
Heerenveen
2
3
L
28.09.25
Ere
Telstar
GO Ahead Eagles
4
2
W
14.09.25
Ere
Telstar
Fortuna Sittard
1
3
L
23.08.25
Ere
Telstar
FC Volendam
2
2
D
15.08.25
Ere
Telstar
PEC Zwolle
0
2
L
H2H at home: Telstar
22.04.26
H2H
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
4
1
W
13.07.21
H2H
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
0
0
D
18.08.20
H2H
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
0
0
D
25.01.19
H2H
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
1
1
D
Last matches: Sparta Rotterdam
18.07.26
Fri
Sparta Rotterdam
SV Meppen
2
3
L
07.07.26
Fri
Sparta Rotterdam
VOC
4
0
W
10.05.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
Twente
0
4
L
05.04.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
NAC Breda
0
0
D
14.03.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
0
4
L
28.02.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen
1
2
L
22.02.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar
1
3
L
07.02.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
Fortuna Sittard
2
2
D
25.01.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht
1
0
W
18.01.26
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
Feyenoord
4
3
W
06.01.26
Fri
Sparta Rotterdam
VVV Venlo
5
2
W
21.12.25
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
FC Volendam
1
0
W
29.11.25
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
1
3
L
08.11.25
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
PEC Zwolle
0
1
L
19.10.25
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen
2
0
W
27.09.25
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
Heracles
0
3
L
14.09.25
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
Excelsior
1
0
W
23.08.25
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
GO Ahead Eagles
3
0
W
09.08.25
Ere
Sparta Rotterdam
PSV Eindhoven
1
6
L
H2H away: Sparta Rotterdam
22.04.26
H2H
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
4
1
L
13.07.21
H2H
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
0
0
D
18.08.20
H2H
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
0
0
D
25.01.19
H2H
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
1
1
D

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2 34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3 34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4 34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5 34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6 34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7 34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8 34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9 34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12 34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie

Missing Players

Telstar 3 missing
-
A. Lechkar
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
D. Malone
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
G. Alders
Questionable Inactive
OUT
Sparta Rotterdam 2 missing
-
T. Quintero
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
M. Kleijn
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT