NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
10.05.2026 14:45
BUKO Stadion
Referee: S. Gozubuyuk
Telstar
Match Timeline
Heracles
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
Mimeirhel Benita
Heracles
🟨
45'
Luka Kulenović
Heracles
🔄
46'
C. Hatenboer ↔ J. Ritmeester van de Kamp
Telstar
🟨
52'
Tristan van Gilst
Heracles
🔄
66'
S. Hetli ↔ K. Tejan
Telstar
🔄
66'
M. te Wierik ↔ S. Cestic
Heracles
🔄
67'
R. Bozinovski ↔ T. Bruns
Heracles
🔄
67'
M. Engels ↔ E. Ahlstrand
Heracles
70'
G. Offerhaus
Telstar
72'
T. Noslin · Assist: P. Brouwer
Telstar
77'
J. Hardeveld · Assist: T. Noslin
Telstar
🔄
80'
↔ N. Rossen
Telstar
🔄
80'
T. Noslin ↔ A. Lechkar
Telstar
🔄
80'
S. van Duijn ↔ J. Seedorf
Telstar
🟨
82'
Kay Tejan
Telstar
🔄
85'
D. Koswal ↔ R. Oudsten
Telstar
🟥
90+2'
Luka Kulenović
Heracles
VAR
90+2'
Luka Kulenović
Heracles

Telstar vs Heracles Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Telstar Win 100%
Draw 0%
Heracles Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Telstar1.83
Heracles1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Telstar Telstar
WWDLW
44 GF / 54 GA
Heracles Heracles
WLDWL
34 GF / 80 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.69
Average Goals Conceded
2.5
21
BTTS Yes
16
18
Over 2.5
22
4.91
Shots on Goal
3.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Telstar Telstar 32 matches
Heracles Heracles 32 matches
Telstar Statistic Heracles
7 Wins 5
10 Draws 4
15 Losses 23
44 Goals For 34
54 Goals Against 80
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.69 Avg Goals Conceded 2.5
21 BTTS Yes 16
28 Over 1.5 29
18 Over 2.5 22
13 Over 3.5 13
4 Clean Sheets 2
8 Failed To Score 15
4.91 Shots On Goal 3.78
12.97 Total Shots 11.25
4.84 Corners 4.28
44.9% Ball Possession 44.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Heracles arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Heracles. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Telstar expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Heracles in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Heracles having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Telstar Analysis

Telstar approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 31 points from 32 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 44:54, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Ritmeester van de Kamp (7 goals), P. Brouwer (7 goals), J. Hardeveld (5 goals), with creative support from J. Hardeveld (6 assists), P. Brouwer (5 assists), C. Hatenboer (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Heracles Analysis

Heracles approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 19 points from 32 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 23 defeats with a 34:80 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jizz Hornkamp (10 goals), L. Kulenovic (5 goals), Damon Mirani (3 goals), with creative support from Ajdin Hrustić (6 assists), W. Ould Chikh (4 assists), L. Kulenovic (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 14 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Telstar won 1 times, Heracles won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:18 from Telstar's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: Telstar 3-4-2-1 / Heracles 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Telstar 6, Heracles 6
H2H summary: Telstar wins 1, draws 1, Heracles wins 4

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2 34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3 34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4 34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5 34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6 34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7 34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8 34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9 34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12 34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie