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NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE
11.10.2026 12:30
Sportpark Schoonenberg
Referee: Erwin Blank
Telstar
Match Timeline
ADO Den Haag
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
13'
Milan Hokke
ADO Den Haag
⚽
14'
Tyrone Owusu
Telstar
🟨
16'
Jelani Seedorf
Telstar
⚽
16'
Yannick Fereira Eduardo · Assist: Evan Rottier
ADO Den Haag
⚽
25'
Evan Rottier
ADO Den Haag
⚽
37'
Tyrone Owusu · Assist: Noach Shenkman
Telstar
🟨
40'
Alejandro Pozo
ADO Den Haag
🔄
45'
Matěj Šín ↔ Jan Zamburek
ADO Den Haag
🔄
45'
Alejandro Pozo ↔ Othniël Raterink
ADO Den Haag
🔄
58'
Noach Shenkman ↔ Ar'jany Martha
Telstar
🔄
59'
Rui Mendes ↔ Nökkvi Þeyr Þórisson
Telstar
🔄
60'
Jalen Hawkins ↔ Sekou Sylla
ADO Den Haag
🔄
71'
Yannick Fereira Eduardo ↔ Donat Barany
ADO Den Haag
🔄
72'
Patrick Brouwer ↔ Emirhan Demircan
Telstar
🔄
79'
Evan Rottier ↔ Daryl van Mieghem
ADO Den Haag
🟨
85'
Abdelnour Soualhia
Telstar
🔄
89'
Jelani Seedorf ↔ Prince Aning
Telstar

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.7%
Odds 2.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.64
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.7%
2.17 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.64 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.4%
1.14 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Telstar Win 61.7%
Draw 6.4%
ADO Den Haag Win 31.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Telstar1.44
ADO Den Haag1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Telstar Telstar
WWDLW
13 GF / 21 GA
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag
WLDWL
19 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.73
1.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.82
6
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
7
2.14
Shots on Goal
3.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Telstar Telstar 11 matches
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 11 matches
Telstar Statistic ADO Den Haag
2 Wins 3
2 Draws 3
7 Losses 5
13 Goals For 19
21 Goals Against 20
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
1.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.82
6 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 3
2.14 Shots On Goal 3.43
7.86 Total Shots 12
4.14 Corners 4
40.9% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors ADO Den Haag. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Telstar expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and ADO Den Haag in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward ADO Den Haag having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Telstar Analysis

Telstar sit 13 with 5 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 5:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on R. Koeman (2 goals), A. Soualhia (1 goals), P. Brouwer (1 goals), with creative support from A. Soualhia (1 assists), P. Brouwer (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

ADO Den Haag Analysis

With 2 points from 7 games and a place of 17, ADO Den Haag still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 7:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Y. Eduardo (2 goals), E. Rottier (1 goals), N. Thomas (1 goals), with creative support from E. Rottier (2 assists), Y. Eduardo (1 assists), N. Thomas (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Telstar won 3 times, ADO Den Haag won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:13 from Telstar's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Telstar 3-4-2-1 / ADO Den Haag 4-4-2
Missing players: Telstar 0, ADO Den Haag 4
H2H summary: Telstar wins 3, draws 5, ADO Den Haag wins 4

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 2 0 27:7 20 20
W W W W D
2 8 6 1 1 26:10 16 19
W L W W W
3 8 6 1 1 18:8 10 19
L W D W W
4 8 5 2 1 16:8 8 17
D W W W D
5 8 4 3 1 22:10 12 15
D D W W L
6 8 4 2 2 20:14 6 14
W W D D L
7 8 4 2 2 14:15 -1 14
D W L W W
8 8 2 5 1 19:17 2 11
D D D D L
9 8 3 2 3 16:14 2 11
L D L D W
10 8 2 3 3 11:11 0 9
L W D L D
11 8 2 3 3 13:14 -1 9
D D L D L
12 8 2 2 4 11:19 -8 8
W D W D L
13 8 2 2 4 14:25 -11 8
W L W D L
14 8 1 3 4 13:20 -7 6
D L L D L
15 8 1 3 4 7:14 -7 6
D L D L D
16 8 1 1 6 6:21 -15 4
L L L D L
17 8 0 3 5 9:19 -10 3
D D L L D
18 8 0 2 6 7:23 -16 2
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie