ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
09.05.2026 18:30
Estadio Bellavista
Referee: Anthony Diaz, Ecuador
Tecnico Universitario
Match Timeline
Delfin SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
21'
W. Caicedo · Assist: Y. Arce
Tecnico Universitario
⚽
29'
L. Estupinan · Assist: Y. Arce
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
31'
Enzo Rubio
Delfin SC
🟥
39'
Franco Perinciolo
Delfin SC
🔄
46'
J. Anaya ↔ R. Chilla
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
46'
E. Rubio ↔ B. Hernandez
Delfin SC
🔄
63'
M. Chaves ↔ Johan Bocanegra
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
63'
B. Delgado ↔ C. Arteaga
Tecnico Universitario
⚽
70'
Johan Bocanegra
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
71'
L. Castro ↔ I. A. Molinas
Delfin SC
🔄
71'
K. Ushina ↔ T. Ozaeta
Delfin SC
🟨
74'
Thiago Ozaeta
Delfin SC
🔄
74'
Y. Arce ↔ J. Caicedo
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
77'
W. Caicedo ↔ J. Montes
Tecnico Universitario
VAR
81'
Johan Bocanegra
Tecnico Universitario
⚽
81'
C. Arteaga · Assist: Johan Bocanegra
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
83'
Mateo Castano
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
83'
J. L. Castillo Saa ↔ E. Zuniga
Delfin SC
🔄
83'
F. Ayunta ↔ E. Yepez
Delfin SC

Tecnico Universitario vs Delfin SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 72.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 75.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
72.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
75.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
87.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Tecnico Universitario Win 39.1%
Draw 27.9%
Delfin SC Win 33%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tecnico Universitario0.6
Delfin SC0.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
WWDLW
9 GF / 14 GA
Delfin SC Delfin SC
WLDWL
6 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.69
Average Goals Scored
0.46
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
0.46
5
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
0
4.5
Shots on Goal
3.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 13 matches
Delfin SC Delfin SC 13 matches
Tecnico Universitario Statistic Delfin SC
3 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
8 Losses 5
9 Goals For 6
14 Goals Against 6
0.69 Avg Goals Scored 0.46
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 0.46
5 BTTS Yes 1
7 Over 1.5 1
3 Over 2.5 0
0 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 7
4.5 Shots On Goal 3.25
14.08 Total Shots 11.33
5.33 Corners 3.33
44.4% Ball Possession 38.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Delfin SC. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Tecnico Universitario have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tecnico Universitario expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Delfin SC in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Delfin SC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Tecnico Universitario Analysis

With 11 points from 12 games and a place of 15, Tecnico Universitario still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats with a 9:13 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Julian Anaya (3 goals), Cesar Castano (2 goals), M. Cagua (2 goals), with creative support from Cesar Castano (2 assists), Johan Bocanegra (1 assists), Kener Arce (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Delfin SC Analysis

Delfin SC sit 11 with 15 points after 12 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 5:6 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Ayunta (2 goals), E. Mendoza (1 goals), K. Ushina (1 goals), with creative support from F. Ayunta (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.1%)
Predicted formations: Tecnico Universitario 5-4-1 / Delfin SC 5-3-2

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Liga Pro (Relegation Group)