ECUADOR LIGA PRO
20.09.2026 18:30
Estadio Bellavista
Referee: P. Parra

Tecnico Universitario vs Delfin SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71%
Odds 1.98
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.51
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71%
1.98
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
2.51
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.7%
1.23
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Tecnico Universitario Win 71%
Draw 10.1%
Delfin SC Win 19%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tecnico Universitario0.94
Delfin SC0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
WWDLW
28 GF / 43 GA
Delfin SC Delfin SC
WLDWL
20 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
0.65
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1
12
BTTS Yes
10
14
Over 2.5
7
3.77
Shots on Goal
3.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 31 matches
Delfin SC Delfin SC 31 matches
Tecnico Universitario Statistic Delfin SC
10 Wins 8
2 Draws 7
19 Losses 16
28 Goals For 20
43 Goals Against 31
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 0.65
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1
12 BTTS Yes 10
19 Over 1.5 11
14 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 9
13 Failed To Score 14
3.77 Shots On Goal 3.07
11.77 Total Shots 10.33
4.6 Corners 3.4
40.3% Ball Possession 38.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Delfin SC. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Tecnico Universitario Analysis

With 32 points from 30 games and a place of 14, Tecnico Universitario still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 2 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 28:42 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Anaya (4 goals), J. Bocanegra (3 goals), C. Castaño (3 goals), with creative support from J. Bocanegra (3 assists), L. Estupiñán (3 assists), C. Castaño (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Delfin SC Analysis

With 28 points from 30 games and a place of 15, Delfin SC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 16 defeats with a 19:31 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Mendoza (3 goals), K. Ushiña (2 goals), T. Ozaeta (1 goals), with creative support from K. Ushiña (2 assists), T. Ozaeta (2 assists), E. Mendoza (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Tecnico Universitario won 2 times, Delfin SC won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Tecnico Universitario's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
Predicted formations: Tecnico Universitario 4-4-2 / Delfin SC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Tecnico Universitario wins 2, draws 0, Delfin SC wins 3

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W W L W W
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
L D D D W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
W L W D L
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
D L D W L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
D W L L W
10 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
11 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 36
L L W D W
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs