ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
19.09.2026 11:30
The Lamb Ground

Tamworth vs Wealdstone Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65.8%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tamworth Win 34.2%
Draw 24.6%
Wealdstone Win 41.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tamworth1.71
Wealdstone1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tamworth Tamworth
WWDLW
29 GF / 34 GA
Wealdstone Wealdstone
WLDWL
18 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
1.38
2.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
14
BTTS Yes
6
14
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tamworth Tamworth 15 matches
Wealdstone Wealdstone 13 matches
Tamworth Statistic Wealdstone
5 Wins 6
4 Draws 2
6 Losses 5
29 Goals For 18
34 Goals Against 18
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
2.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
14 BTTS Yes 6
15 Over 1.5 10
14 Over 2.5 5
11 Over 3.5 5
0 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Wealdstone having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Wealdstone. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Tamworth Analysis

With 5 points from 6 games and a place of 19, Tamworth still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 12:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Wealdstone Analysis

Wealdstone approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 5 points from 6 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 7:11, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Tamworth won 2 times, Wealdstone won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:5 from Tamworth's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.4%)
H2H summary: Tamworth wins 2, draws 1, Wealdstone wins 1

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 17:9 8 17
D W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 18:10 8 16
W W W L D
3 7 4 2 1 17:10 7 14
W D W W L
4 7 4 2 1 12:7 5 14
W W D W D
5 7 4 2 1 14:10 4 14
D W D L W
6 7 4 2 1 9:5 4 14
W W D W D
7 7 4 0 3 11:10 1 12
W W L L L
8 7 4 0 3 10:11 -1 12
L L W W L
9 7 4 0 3 7:8 -1 12
L L L W W
10 7 3 2 2 13:12 1 11
L L W W W
11 7 3 2 2 9:8 1 11
D L D W W
12 7 2 3 2 15:12 3 9
D L W D W
13 7 3 0 4 12:10 2 9
W L W L W
14 7 3 0 4 5:6 -1 9
L W L L L
15 7 3 0 4 8:13 -5 9
L W W W L
16 7 2 2 3 13:14 -1 8
D D L L W
17 7 2 2 3 10:12 -2 8
W L W D L
18 7 2 1 4 10:12 -2 7
W L L W L
19 7 2 1 4 9:11 -2 7
W L D L W
20 7 2 1 4 9:11 -2 7
L D L L W
21 7 1 3 3 10:11 -1 6
D W D L D
22 7 1 2 4 13:19 -6 5
L D L W L
23 7 1 1 5 5:13 -8 4
L D L L L
24 7 0 1 6 7:19 -12 1
L D L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation