FINLAND YKKöNEN
--.--.---- --:--
Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass
Tampere United
Match Timeline
TPV
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
31'
T. Toijala
TPV
🟨
49'
J. Venemies
TPV
🔄
59'
L. Kyllonen ↔ L. Kesti
Tampere United
🔄
59'
N. Hasa ↔ J. Enbuska
Tampere United
🔄
62'
T. Ylinen ↔ A. Kujala
TPV
🔄
62'
R. Kostiainen ↔ O. Rattari
TPV
🟨
66'
T. Toijala
TPV
67'
J. Rantala
Tampere United
🔄
77'
M. Akbal ↔ S. Sipila
TPV
🟨
84'
K. Kylen
TPV
🔄
85'
R. Vaisanen ↔ J. Alapera
Tampere United
🔄
85'
T. Ozcelik ↔ J. Rantanen
Tampere United
🔄
90+3'
J. Heikkinen ↔ J. Georg
Tampere United

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.9%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tampere United Win 75.9%
Draw 4.2%
TPV Win 19.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tampere United2.01
TPV1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tampere United Tampere United
WWDLW
47 GF / 22 GA
TPV TPV
WLDWL
38 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
2.04
Average Goals Scored
1.58
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.96
5
BTTS Yes
16
12
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tampere United Tampere United 23 matches
TPV TPV 24 matches
Tampere United Statistic TPV
13 Wins 7
5 Draws 6
5 Losses 11
47 Goals For 38
22 Goals Against 47
2.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 1.96
5 BTTS Yes 16
15 Over 1.5 20
12 Over 2.5 17
10 Over 3.5 13
14 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Tampere United's more proactive style and TPV's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward TPV having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Tampere United arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 39 points compared to TPV in 10 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors TPV.

Tampere United Analysis

Tampere United come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 39 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 41:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

TPV Analysis

From their first 18 matches, TPV have collected 19 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, while the 27:36 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Tampere United won 4 times, TPV won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:21 from Tampere United's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: Tampere United wins 4, draws 2, TPV wins 7

Lineups

TPV
Formation
Tampere United
M. Syrjala
M. Syrjala
B. Ozcelik
B. Ozcelik
R. Kostiainen
R. Kostiainen
J. Yli-Rajala
J. Yli-Rajala
M. Akbal
M. Akbal
J. Venemies
J. Venemies
J. Mattila
J. Mattila
S. Pitkakoski
S. Pitkakoski
T. Toijala
T. Toijala
K. Kylen
K. Kylen
T. Ylinen
T. Ylinen
S. Pakkanen
S. Pakkanen
J. Laitinen
J. Laitinen
N. Hasa
N. Hasa
R. Lehtonen
R. Lehtonen
J. Huhtala
J. Huhtala
T. Ozcelik
T. Ozcelik
J. Rantala
J. Rantala
L. Bradbury
L. Bradbury
R. Vaisanen
R. Vaisanen
L. Kyllonen
L. Kyllonen
J. Heikkinen
J. Heikkinen
TPV 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
23
M. Syrjala
8
B. Ozcelik
11
R. Kostiainen
↓ 62'
17
J. Yli-Rajala
19
M. Akbal
↓ 77'
22
J. Venemies
🟨 49'
25
J. Mattila
26
S. Pitkakoski
27
T. Toijala
⚽ 31' 🟨 66'
33
K. Kylen
🟨 84'
56
T. Ylinen
↓ 62'
Substitutes
12
N. Pienmunne
2
A. Rantanen
7
A. Kujala
↑ 62'
9
E. Maentakanen
13
V. Puustinen
15
E. Bullock
20
L. Jadama
24
O. Rattari
↑ 62'
34
S. Sipila
↑ 77'
Tampere United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
25
S. Pakkanen
5
J. Laitinen
6
N. Hasa
↓ 59'
8
R. Lehtonen
9
J. Huhtala
10
T. Ozcelik
↓ 85'
15
J. Rantala
⚽ 67'
19
L. Bradbury
22
R. Vaisanen
↓ 85'
23
L. Kyllonen
↓ 59'
30
J. Heikkinen
↓ 90+3'
Substitutes
1
J. Immonen
2
J. Alapera
↑ 85'
7
J. Georg
↑ 90+3'
11
J. Rantanen
↑ 85'
17
L. Kesti
↑ 59'
20
A. Hamalainen
21
J. Enbuska
↑ 59'
Last matches: Tampere United
22.08.26
Ykk
Tampere United
Rops
4
0
W
11.08.26
Ykk
Tampere United
JJK
0
0
D
05.08.26
Ykk
Tampere United
KPV-j
6
0
W
31.07.26
Ykk
Tampere United
PKKU
4
4
D
24.07.26
Ykk
Tampere United
Inter Turku II
2
2
D
18.07.26
Ykk
Tampere United
VJS
1
0
W
10.07.26
Ykk
Tampere United
SalPa
0
1
L
04.07.26
Ykk
Tampere United
KuPS Akatemia
3
2
W
25.06.26
Ykk
Tampere United
FC jazz
1
0
W
11.06.26
Ykk
Tampere United
OLS
3
0
W
06.06.26
Ykk
Tampere United
Rops
1
0
W
29.05.26
Ykk
Tampere United
TPV
3
0
W
22.05.26
Ykk
Tampere United
JJK
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ykk
Tampere United
KPV-j
6
0
W
09.05.26
Ykk
Tampere United
PKKU
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ykk
Tampere United
Inter Turku II
2
0
W
24.04.26
Ykk
Tampere United
VJS
0
4
L
18.04.26
Ykk
Tampere United
KuPS Akatemia
4
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
Tampere United
SalPa
0
2
L
02.04.26
Ykk
Tampere United
FC jazz
4
0
W
Last matches: TPV
22.08.26
Ykk
TPV
Inter Turku II
1
0
W
11.08.26
Ykk
TPV
SalPa
1
1
D
05.08.26
Ykk
TPV
OLS
2
4
L
01.08.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
6
3
W
24.07.26
Ykk
TPV
FC jazz
0
4
L
18.07.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
3
1
W
11.07.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
3
1
W
05.07.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
0
W
29.06.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ykk
TPV
PKKU
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
TPV
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Tampere United
0
3
L
23.05.26
Ykk
TPV
SalPa
2
4
L
16.05.26
Ykk
TPV
OLS
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ykk
TPV
FC jazz
0
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
3
1
W
H2H: Tampere United vs TPV
15.08.26
H2H
Tampere United
TPV
1
1
D
29.05.26
H2H
TPV
Tampere United
0
3
W
15.04.26
H2H
TPV
Tampere United
0
2
W
22.02.26
H2H
Tampere United
TPV
2
4
L
13.09.24
H2H
TPV
Tampere United
1
5
W
02.07.24
H2H
TPV
Tampere United
0
0
D
30.04.24
H2H
Tampere United
TPV
1
2
L
11.03.23
H2H
TPV
Tampere United
0
3
W
26.01.20
H2H
TPV
Tampere United
3
0
L
16.08.18
H2H
Tampere United
TPV
0
1
L
31.05.18
H2H
TPV
Tampere United
2
0
L
03.08.17
H2H
TPV
Tampere United
4
0
L
17.05.17
H2H
Tampere United
TPV
1
3
L
Last matches: Tampere United
22.08.26
Ykk
Tampere United
Rops
4
0
W
05.08.26
Ykk
Tampere United
KPV-j
6
0
W
24.07.26
Ykk
Tampere United
Inter Turku II
2
2
D
10.07.26
Ykk
Tampere United
SalPa
0
1
L
11.06.26
Ykk
Tampere United
OLS
3
0
W
22.05.26
Ykk
Tampere United
JJK
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ykk
Tampere United
PKKU
0
0
D
24.04.26
Ykk
Tampere United
VJS
0
4
L
18.04.26
Ykk
Tampere United
KuPS Akatemia
4
0
W
02.04.26
Ykk
Tampere United
FC jazz
4
0
W
22.02.26
Fri
Tampere United
TPV
2
4
L
08.02.26
Fri
Tampere United
Haka
0
2
L
25.01.26
Fri
Tampere United
FC jazz
4
1
W
18.01.26
Fri
Tampere United
Inter Turku II
0
0
D
H2H at home: Tampere United
15.08.26
H2H
Tampere United
TPV
1
1
D
22.02.26
H2H
Tampere United
TPV
2
4
L
30.04.24
H2H
Tampere United
TPV
1
2
L
16.08.18
H2H
Tampere United
TPV
0
1
L
17.05.17
H2H
Tampere United
TPV
1
3
L
Last matches: TPV
22.08.26
Ykk
TPV
Inter Turku II
1
0
W
05.08.26
Ykk
TPV
OLS
2
4
L
24.07.26
Ykk
TPV
FC jazz
0
4
L
11.07.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
3
1
W
29.06.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ykk
TPV
PKKU
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ykk
TPV
SalPa
2
4
L
09.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
0
1
L
24.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
TPV
JäPS
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fri
TPV
Haka
1
3
L
22.02.26
Fri
TPV
Tampere United
4
2
W
H2H away: TPV
15.08.26
H2H
Tampere United
TPV
1
1
D
22.02.26
H2H
Tampere United
TPV
2
4
W
30.04.24
H2H
Tampere United
TPV
1
2
W
16.08.18
H2H
Tampere United
TPV
0
1
W
17.05.17
H2H
Tampere United
TPV
1
3
W

Standings

Group Stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 5 3 46:16 30 44
W D D W D
2 21 10 7 4 45:32 13 37
L D W D L
3 21 9 6 6 38:34 4 33
W L D W L
4 21 8 8 5 38:30 8 32
D D W D D
5 21 7 10 4 38:29 9 31
D D W D D
6 21 8 7 6 41:34 7 31
L D D W W
7 21 8 6 7 30:29 1 30
D W D D D
8 21 7 7 7 47:41 6 28
D D D L L
9
TPV Away
21 6 6 9 30:38 -8 24
W D D L W
10 21 5 5 11 32:49 -17 20
L L L W D
11 21 3 6 12 36:48 -12 15
W D L L D
12 21 4 3 14 23:64 -41 15
L W L L W