ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Tamme Stadium
Referee: G. Osomkov
Tammeka
Live Timeline
Kuressaare
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
M. Sambe
Tammeka
🟨
45'
H. Pedmanson
Tammeka
🔄
57'
A. Visse ↔ A. Kivi
Kuressaare

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.2%
Odds 1.83
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.67
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.2%
1.83
BTTS Yes
75%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.67
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.71
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Tammeka Win 65.2%
Draw 9.4%
Kuressaare Win 25.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tammeka1.61
Kuressaare1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tammeka Tammeka
WWDLW
36 GF / 40 GA
Kuressaare Kuressaare
WLDWL
36 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.96
13
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tammeka Tammeka 26 matches
Kuressaare Kuressaare 28 matches
Tammeka Statistic Kuressaare
12 Wins 8
3 Draws 5
11 Losses 15
36 Goals For 36
40 Goals Against 55
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.96
13 BTTS Yes 16
17 Over 1.5 21
15 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 11
8 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kuressaare having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kuressaare. Kuressaare arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Tammeka Analysis

Tammeka approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 29 points after 20 outings. They have recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a 23:31 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kuressaare Analysis

With 21 points from 22 games and a place of 9, Kuressaare still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 13 defeats with a 22:36 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tammeka won 5 times, Kuressaare won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:17 from Tammeka's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.6%)
H2H summary: Tammeka wins 5, draws 4, Kuressaare wins 6
Last matches: Tammeka
14.08.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
1
0
W
02.08.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
1
5
L
11.07.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
1
5
L
05.07.26
Mei
Tammeka
Laagri
2
1
W
21.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
1
0
W
17.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
30.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
15.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
1
W
08.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
01.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
0
W
25.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Laagri
0
1
L
22.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
18.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
12.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
L
07.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
0
3
L
03.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
2
W
14.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
3
L
08.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
Last matches: Kuressaare
16.08.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
3
2
W
07.08.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
02.08.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
L
19.07.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
0
D
11.07.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
3
L
02.07.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
0
3
L
26.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
16.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
0
0
D
13.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
31.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
1
1
D
20.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
08.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
0
1
L
02.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
25.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
1
2
L
21.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
18.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
07.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
03.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
L
H2H: Tammeka vs Kuressaare
08.05.26
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
14.03.26
H2H
Kuressaare
Tammeka
3
2
L
26.09.25
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
1
L
11.07.25
H2H
Kuressaare
Tammeka
0
2
W
17.06.25
H2H
Kuressaare
Tammeka
2
3
W
22.04.25
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
22.10.24
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
1
W
12.07.24
H2H
Kuressaare
Tammeka
0
0
D
11.05.24
H2H
Kuressaare
Tammeka
0
0
D
13.04.24
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
2
L
01.11.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
1
L
02.09.23
H2H
Kuressaare
Tammeka
1
1
D
31.07.23
H2H
Kuressaare
Tammeka
3
1
L
27.05.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
0
D
20.01.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
3
L
Last matches: Tammeka
05.07.26
Mei
Tammeka
Laagri
2
1
W
21.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
1
0
W
13.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
30.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
15.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
1
W
08.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
12.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
L
03.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
08.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
15.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Viimsi
2
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Tallinna Kalev
0
3
L
H2H at home: Tammeka
08.05.26
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
26.09.25
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
1
L
22.04.25
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
22.10.24
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
1
W
13.04.24
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
2
L
01.11.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
1
L
27.05.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
0
D
20.01.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
3
L
Last matches: Kuressaare
16.08.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
3
2
W
02.08.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
L
11.07.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
3
L
26.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
13.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
31.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
1
1
D
08.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
0
1
L
25.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
1
2
L
18.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
1
W
07.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
21.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
4
L
08.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Vaprus
2
9
L
24.01.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Viimsi
2
3
L
H2H away: Kuressaare
08.05.26
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
L
26.09.25
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
1
W
22.04.25
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
L
22.10.24
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
1
L
13.04.24
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
2
W
01.11.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
1
W
27.05.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
0
D
20.01.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
3
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 3.50
Home 1.83
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.30
Home 2.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.62
Home 2.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.5 1.67
Over 3.5 2.62
Over 4.5 4.50
Over 5.5 8.00
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 17.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.5 2.15
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.72
Draw 3.56
Home 1.82
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.36
Draw 2.21
Home 2.37
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.82
Draw 2.64
Home 2.15
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.08
Over 1.5 1.16
Over 1.75 1.20
Over 2.0 1.26
Over 2.25 1.46
Over 2.5 1.64
Over 2.75 1.76
Over 3.0 2.00
Over 3.25 2.31
Over 3.5 2.52
Over 3.75 2.97
Over 4.0 3.86
Over 4.25 4.20
Over 4.5 4.55
Over 4.75 5.69
Over 5.0 7.90
Over 5.5 8.50
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 17.00
Under 0.5 11.80
Under 1.0 8.80
Under 1.25 5.65
Under 1.5 4.10
Under 1.75 3.68
Under 2.0 3.20
Under 2.25 2.52
Under 2.5 2.12
Under 2.75 1.86
Under 3.0 1.65
Under 3.25 1.54
Under 3.5 1.41
Under 3.75 1.30
Under 4.0 1.18
Under 4.25 1.15
Under 4.5 1.13
Under 4.75 1.08
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 3.60
Home 1.82
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.95
Draw 2.40
Home 2.35
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.70
Home 2.18
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.16
Over 2.5 1.60
Over 3.0 2.00
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 4.5 4.40
Under 1.5 4.10
Under 2.5 2.15
Under 3.0 1.70
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.5 1.14

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 5 1 61:18 43 56
W W W D W
2 23 13 5 5 43:18 25 44
W W W D W
3 21 13 0 8 42:24 18 39
L W L W W
4 22 10 6 6 34:29 5 36
D W L W D
5 20 9 2 9 23:31 -8 29
W L L W W
6 22 8 3 11 30:42 -12 27
L D L W L
7 23 8 1 14 40:54 -14 25
L L L W W
8 23 8 1 14 33:40 -7 25
L L L W W
9 23 7 3 13 25:38 -13 24
W W L D L
10 24 5 2 17 18:55 -37 17
L D L W W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga