ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
22.08.2026 14:00
Tamme Stadium
Referee: G. Osomkov
Tammeka
Match Timeline
Kuressaare
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
M. Sambe · Assist: Kauan Pereira
Tammeka
🟨
45'
H. Pedmanson
Tammeka
🔄
57'
A. Visse ↔ A. Kivi
Kuressaare
🔄
70'
P. Marin ↔ R. Muur
Tammeka
🔄
70'
H. Pedmanson ↔ T. Lang
Tammeka
🔄
77'
S. Sinilaid ↔ R. Tarkmeel
Kuressaare
🔄
80'
G. Uggeri ↔ L. Ounpuu
Tammeka
🟨
81'
P. Veelma
Tammeka
🟨
89'
R. Saar
Kuressaare
🔄
90'
M. Hydara ↔ M. Vaino
Tammeka

Tammeka vs Kuressaare Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.2%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tammeka Win 65.2%
Draw 9.4%
Kuressaare Win 25.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tammeka1.61
Kuressaare1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tammeka Tammeka
WWDLW
36 GF / 40 GA
Kuressaare Kuressaare
WLDWL
36 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.96
13
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tammeka Tammeka 26 matches
Kuressaare Kuressaare 28 matches
Tammeka Statistic Kuressaare
12 Wins 8
3 Draws 5
11 Losses 15
36 Goals For 36
40 Goals Against 55
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.96
13 BTTS Yes 16
17 Over 1.5 21
15 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 11
8 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kuressaare having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kuressaare. Kuressaare arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Tammeka Analysis

Tammeka approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 29 points after 20 outings. They have recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a 23:31 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kuressaare Analysis

With 21 points from 22 games and a place of 9, Kuressaare still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 13 defeats with a 22:36 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tammeka won 6 times, Kuressaare won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:14 from Tammeka's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.6%)
H2H summary: Tammeka wins 6, draws 4, Kuressaare wins 5

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 22 6 1 81:21 60 72
D W W W W
2 29 18 1 10 59:39 20 55
W W D W W
3 29 15 6 8 48:36 12 51
W W L W L
4 29 15 5 9 52:27 25 50
W W L L L
5 29 14 2 13 37:47 -10 44
L L W L W
6 29 11 2 16 40:47 -7 35
D W L L W
7 29 10 4 15 39:57 -18 34
L L L W W
8 29 8 5 16 31:49 -18 29
D L L W D
9 29 9 1 19 47:68 -21 28
L L W L L
10 29 5 4 20 22:65 -43 19
D L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga