ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
20.09.2026 11:30
Tamme Stadium

Tammeka vs Kalju Nomme Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.5%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tammeka Win 61.5%
Draw 5%
Kalju Nomme Win 33.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tammeka1.33
Kalju Nomme1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tammeka Tammeka
WWDLW
49 GF / 47 GA
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme
WLDWL
76 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.85
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
16
BTTS Yes
23
18
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tammeka Tammeka 33 matches
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 41 matches
Tammeka Statistic Kalju Nomme
17 Wins 20
3 Draws 9
13 Losses 12
49 Goals For 76
47 Goals Against 45
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
16 BTTS Yes 23
23 Over 1.5 33
18 Over 2.5 21
12 Over 3.5 12
11 Clean Sheets 14
8 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Kalju Nomme's more proactive style and Tammeka's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kalju Nomme. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Kalju Nomme arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kalju Nomme having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Tammeka Analysis

Tammeka approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 41 points after 26 outings. They have recorded 13 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, with a 33:37 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kalju Nomme Analysis

Kalju Nomme approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 3 with 47 points from 28 matches. Their record of 14 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 49:26, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tammeka won 2 times, Kalju Nomme won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:34 from Tammeka's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
H2H summary: Tammeka wins 2, draws 3, Kalju Nomme wins 10

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 21 5 1 74:20 54 68
W W W W W
2 28 17 1 10 56:37 19 52
W D W W L
3 28 14 5 9 49:26 23 47
W L L L L
4 27 13 6 8 43:35 8 45
L W L W W
5 27 14 2 11 36:38 -2 44
W L W L W
6 28 11 1 16 40:47 -7 34
W L L W W
7 27 10 4 13 37:52 -15 34
L W W D L
8 28 9 1 18 46:65 -19 28
L W L L L
9 28 8 4 16 31:49 -18 28
L L W D L
10 28 5 3 20 21:64 -43 18
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga