KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Talanta Win 79.9%
Draw 0%
Nzoia Sugar Win 20.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Talanta1.12
Nzoia Sugar0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Talanta Talanta
WWDLW
42 GF / 34 GA
Nzoia Sugar Nzoia Sugar
WLDWL
33 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
14
BTTS Yes
11
15
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Talanta Talanta 34 matches
Nzoia Sugar Nzoia Sugar 34 matches
Talanta Statistic Nzoia Sugar
14 Wins 10
9 Draws 14
11 Losses 10
42 Goals For 33
34 Goals Against 32
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
14 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 18
15 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 8
15 Clean Sheets 15
12 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nzoia Sugar having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Nzoia Sugar arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nzoia Sugar. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Talanta Analysis

Talanta sit 8 with 51 points after 34 league matches. The record of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 42:34 goal balance, points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Nzoia Sugar Analysis

Nzoia Sugar sit 11 with 44 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 10 wins, 14 draws, and 10 defeats with a 33:32 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Talanta won 2 times, Nzoia Sugar won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:6 from Talanta's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Talanta wins 2, draws 5, Nzoia Sugar wins 1