URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.5%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tacuarembo Win 53.5%
Draw 4.8%
CA River Plate Win 41.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tacuarembo1.19
CA River Plate1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tacuarembo Tacuarembo
WWDLW
13 GF / 19 GA
CA River Plate CA River Plate
WLDWL
24 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
7
BTTS Yes
12
3
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tacuarembo Tacuarembo 16 matches
CA River Plate CA River Plate 17 matches
Tacuarembo Statistic CA River Plate
4 Wins 6
5 Draws 4
7 Losses 7
13 Goals For 24
19 Goals Against 30
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
7 BTTS Yes 12
12 Over 1.5 14
3 Over 2.5 10
1 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights CA River Plate's more proactive style and Tacuarembo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring CA River Plate. Tacuarembo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CA River Plate having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Tacuarembo Analysis

Tacuarembo sit 6 with 14 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 8:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

CA River Plate Analysis

CA River Plate come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 17 points after 10 matches. With 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 17:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Tacuarembo won 0 times, CA River Plate won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Tacuarembo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
H2H summary: Tacuarembo wins 0, draws 1, CA River Plate wins 1
Last matches: Tacuarembo
13.07.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
La Luz
0
2
L
05.07.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Cerrito
0
0
D
27.06.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Atenas
0
2
L
20.06.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Paysandu
1
0
W
13.06.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Sportivo Huracan
1
2
L
07.06.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
01.06.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Oriental
0
2
L
24.05.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Colón
2
0
W
17.05.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Fenix
2
1
W
10.05.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Rentistas
1
1
D
26.04.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Uruguay Montevideo
1
1
D
18.04.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Atenas
0
1
L
12.04.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Sportivo Huracan
0
2
L
05.04.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Fenix
2
3
L
29.03.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Cerrito
1
1
D
17.03.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
La Luz
1
1
D
15.11.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Atenas
2
2
D
09.11.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Atenas
1
1
D
25.10.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Uruguay Montevideo
0
0
D
19.10.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Albion FC
2
0
W
Last matches: CA River Plate
18.07.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Uruguay Montevideo
1
1
D
11.07.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
3
2
W
04.07.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Oriental
2
1
W
28.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
La Luz
0
0
D
20.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Colón
1
2
L
14.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Cerrito
6
4
W
06.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Fenix
1
3
L
31.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Atenas
0
2
L
23.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Rentistas
2
1
W
16.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Paysandu
1
0
W
10.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Miramar
1
1
D
26.04.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Paysandu
2
1
W
12.04.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Colón
2
4
L
06.04.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Miramar
0
1
L
28.03.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
0
3
L
23.03.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Rentistas
1
1
D
14.03.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Oriental
1
3
L
08.11.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Wanderers
4
0
W
02.11.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Miramar
1
1
D
26.10.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Danubio
1
0
W
H2H: Tacuarembo vs CA River Plate
26.04.15
H2H
Tacuarembo
CA River Plate
1
3
L
19.10.14
H2H
CA River Plate
Tacuarembo
2
2
D
Last matches: Tacuarembo
05.07.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Cerrito
0
0
D
20.06.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Paysandu
1
0
W
07.06.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
24.05.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Colón
2
0
W
10.05.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Rentistas
1
1
D
12.04.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Sportivo Huracan
0
2
L
29.03.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Cerrito
1
1
D
17.03.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
La Luz
1
1
D
09.11.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Atenas
1
1
D
19.10.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Albion FC
2
0
W
05.10.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Rampla Juniors
3
1
W
20.09.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Central Espanol
0
0
D
30.08.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
La Luz
1
1
D
20.08.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Colón
2
2
D
10.08.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Oriental
1
1
D
03.08.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Uruguay Montevideo
2
0
W
20.07.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Fenix
0
0
D
05.07.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Atenas
1
0
W
22.06.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Artigas
2
0
W
15.06.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Rentistas
2
1
W
H2H at home: Tacuarembo
26.04.15
H2H
Tacuarembo
CA River Plate
1
3
L
Last matches: CA River Plate
18.07.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Uruguay Montevideo
1
1
D
04.07.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Oriental
2
1
W
20.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Colón
1
2
L
06.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Fenix
1
3
L
23.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Rentistas
2
1
W
10.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Miramar
1
1
D
12.04.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Colón
2
4
L
06.04.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Miramar
0
1
L
28.03.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
0
3
L
08.11.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Wanderers
4
0
W
26.10.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Danubio
1
0
W
12.10.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Juventud
2
1
W
28.09.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
06.09.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Boston River
0
2
L
24.08.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Penarol
0
2
L
11.08.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
H2H away: CA River Plate
26.04.15
H2H
Tacuarembo
CA River Plate
1
3
W

Standings

Segunda Division: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 18:11 7 19
L D W W W
2 10 5 3 2 15:13 2 18
W D W L L
3 10 5 2 3 17:16 1 17
W W D L W
4 10 4 3 3 10:9 1 15
W W D W D
5 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W L W W L
6 10 4 2 4 8:10 -2 14
L D L W L
7 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
L W L D D
8 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
L D W L W
9 10 3 4 3 8:8 0 13
W L D W L
10 10 4 1 5 10:11 -1 13
L W L L W
11 10 2 6 2 15:13 2 12
D L D D W
12 10 3 3 4 8:12 -4 12
L L L W W
13 10 3 1 6 12:15 -3 10
W W L L L
14 10 2 2 6 10:15 -5 8
D L W L L
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura)