Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
70.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
67.5%
|
- |
Sydney
Perth Glory
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sydney
24 matches
Perth Glory
24 matches
| Sydney | Statistic | Perth Glory |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 7 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 9 | Losses | 11 |
| 31 | Goals For | 30 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 5.13 | Shots On Goal | 3.92 |
| 15.29 | Total Shots | 12.13 |
| 4.79 | Corners | 3.75 |
| 53.8% | Ball Possession | 45.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Sydney's more proactive style and Perth Glory's more cautious structure. Perth Glory seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Perth Glory. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Placed 4 with 37 points from 24 outings, Sydney continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 31:23 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Al Hassan Toure (5 goals), B. Kraev (5 goals), T. Quintal (5 goals), with creative support from P. A. Quispe Cordova (4 assists), T. Quintal (3 assists), R. Fraser (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with J. Lolley, A. Grant, M. Tisserand unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Perth Glory are currently 10 in the standings with 27 points from 24 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, while the 30:38 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Nicholas Pennington (6 goals), A. Taggart (5 goals), T. Lawrence (5 goals), with creative support from J. Kucharski (3 assists), A. Taggart (2 assists), T. Lawrence (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without J. Anasmo, C. Cook, T. Lawrence, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sydney won 8 times, Perth Glory won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:10 from Sydney's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Sydney
4
2
7
4
6
2
Lineups
Sydney
Auckland
Sydney
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
Auckland
Sydney
Western Sydney Wanderers
Sydney
Brisbane Roar
Sydney
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
Melbourne City
Sydney
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
Brisbane Roar
Sydney
Auckland
Sydney
Adelaide United
Sydney
Auckland
Sydney
Western Sydney Wanderers
Sydney
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
Macarthur
Sydney
Melbourne City
Perth Glory
Brisbane Roar
Perth Glory
Macarthur
Perth Glory
Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory
Melbourne City
Perth Glory
Wellington Phoenix
Perth Glory
Auckland
Perth Glory
Brisbane Roar
Perth Glory
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Macarthur
Perth Glory
Auckland
Perth Glory
Western Sydney Wanderers
Perth Glory
Brisbane Roar
Perth Glory
Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
Melbourne City
Perth Glory
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
Sydney
Perth Glory
Western Sydney Wanderers
Perth Glory
Macarthur
Sydney
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
Auckland
Sydney
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
Melbourne City
Sydney
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
Brisbane Roar
Sydney
Auckland
Sydney
Adelaide United
Sydney
Western Sydney Wanderers
Sydney
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
Macarthur
Sydney
Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory
Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory
Wellington Phoenix
Perth Glory
Auckland
Perth Glory
Brisbane Roar
Perth Glory
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
Macarthur
Perth Glory
Western Sydney Wanderers
Perth Glory
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
Melbourne City
Perth Glory
Macarthur
Perth Glory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Melbourne City
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 16 | 48 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 42 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 40 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 |
Sydney
Home
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 8 | 39 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 |
Perth Glory
Away
|
26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|