ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
05.09.2026 14:00
County Ground
Swindon Town
Match Timeline
Colchester
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
K. Kouassi · Assist: Moses Sesay
Colchester
🔄
45'
Ollie Clarke ↔ Ben Middlemas
Swindon Town
🔄
45'
Billy Kirkman ↔ Kaelan Majekodunmi
Swindon Town
🔄
45'
antwoine hackford ↔ Louis Millard
Swindon Town
49'
Aaron Drinan
Swindon Town
49'
Aaron Drinan
Swindon Town
🟨
54'
Dan Butler
Swindon Town
🔄
57'
Jay Williams ↔ Samuel Kuffour Jr.
Colchester
🟨
59'
Anthony Munda
Swindon Town
🔄
64'
Louis Millard ↔ Joseph Hungbo
Swindon Town
🔄
69'
Oscar thorn ↔ Bradley ihionvein
Colchester
🔄
70'
Moses Sesay ↔ Jaden Williams
Colchester
🔄
70'
K. Kouassi ↔ Leon Chiwome
Colchester
🔄
76'
Anthony Munda ↔ James Debayo
Swindon Town
77'
Aaron Drinan
Swindon Town
79'
Aaron Drinan · Assist: Jack Thomson
Swindon Town
🔄
80'
Ellis Iandolo ↔ Frankie Terry
Colchester

Swindon Town vs Colchester Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 43%
Odds 2.62
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.78
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
43%
2.62
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.78
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.5%
1.17
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Swindon Town Win 39%
Draw 18%
Colchester Win 43%
Expected Goals (xG)
Swindon Town1.49
Colchester1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Swindon Town Swindon Town
WWDLW
17 GF / 16 GA
Colchester Colchester
WLDWL
18 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
6
BTTS Yes
4
8
Over 2.5
6
2.5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Swindon Town Swindon Town 10 matches
Colchester Colchester 11 matches
Swindon Town Statistic Colchester
5 Wins 4
1 Draws 3
4 Losses 4
17 Goals For 18
16 Goals Against 13
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
6 BTTS Yes 4
8 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 4
2.5 Shots On Goal 4
6.5 Total Shots 12
4.25 Corners 4.75
48% Ball Possession 53.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Swindon Town won 3 times, Colchester won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:28 from Swindon Town's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82%)
Predicted formations: Swindon Town 4-3-3 / Colchester 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Swindon Town wins 3, draws 4, Colchester wins 8

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 4 3 0 17:10 7 15
W W D D D
2 7 3 4 0 10:4 6 13
W D D D W
3 7 3 4 0 11:6 5 13
W W D D D
4 7 3 3 1 11:6 5 12
W W W D D
5 7 3 3 1 14:11 3 12
D W D W D
6 7 4 0 3 12:11 1 12
L L W W W
7 7 3 2 2 13:10 3 11
L W D L W
8 7 3 2 2 10:8 2 11
W W D D L
9 7 2 5 0 7:5 2 11
D D D D D
10 7 2 4 1 9:7 2 10
D L W D D
11 7 2 4 1 8:7 1 10
L D W D D
12 7 3 1 3 8:9 -1 10
W D W W L
13 7 3 1 3 8:11 -3 10
L L W W L
14 7 2 3 2 10:10 0 9
W D L D W
15 7 2 3 2 8:10 -2 9
D D L L W
16 7 2 1 4 8:9 -1 7
L L L D W
17 7 2 1 4 7:10 -3 7
W D L W L
18 7 2 1 4 5:11 -6 7
D W L L W
19 7 1 3 3 10:11 -1 6
D D L L D
20 7 1 3 3 4:5 -1 6
D L D D L
21 7 1 3 3 10:13 -3 6
D L W D L
22 7 1 3 3 3:6 -3 6
L L W D D
23 7 1 2 4 3:9 -6 5
L W L L D
24 7 1 1 5 6:13 -7 4
L L L D L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League