Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
72%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
65.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- |
Swindon Town
Accrington ST
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Swindon Town
46 matches
Accrington ST
45 matches
| Swindon Town | Statistic | Accrington ST |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 15 |
| 8 | Draws | 10 |
| 14 | Losses | 20 |
| 75 | Goals For | 45 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
| 27 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 39 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 29 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 17 |
| 4.35 | Shots On Goal | 3.84 |
| 11.24 | Total Shots | 11.87 |
| 5 | Corners | 4.2 |
| 50.3% | Ball Possession | 46.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Swindon Town's more proactive style and Accrington ST's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Accrington ST. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Accrington ST arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Swindon Town arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 74 points compared to Accrington ST in 16 on 51, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Swindon Town arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 74 points after 43 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 22 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses, while the 67:51 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Drinan (21 goals), O. Palmer (7 goals), O. Clarke (6 goals), with creative support from F. Munroe (6 assists), J. Snowdon (5 assists), D. Oldaker (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 11 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
With 51 points from 43 games and a place of 16, Accrington ST still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 20 defeats with a 41:48 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on P. Madden (6 goals), Isaac Sinclair (5 goals), S. Whalley (5 goals), with creative support from S. Whalley (9 assists), Isaac Sinclair (4 assists), I. Heath (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Swindon Town won 4 times, Accrington ST won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:22 from Swindon Town's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.23 goals per game.
Swindon Town
6
7
1
3
1
1
Lineups
Swindon Town
Swindon Supermarine
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
Swindon Town
Grimsby
Swindon Town
Colchester
Swindon Town
Walsall
Swindon Town
Cambridge United
Swindon Town
Fleetwood Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere
Swindon Town
Gillingham
Swindon Town
Milton Keynes Dons
Swindon Town
Crawley Town
Swindon Town
Bristol Rovers
Swindon Town
Crewe
Swindon Town
Barnet
Swindon Town
Shrewsbury
Swindon Town
Newport County
Swindon Town
Oldham
Swindon Town
Harrogate Town
Swindon Town
Barrow
Swindon Town
Notts County
Accrington ST
Oldham
Accrington ST
Crawley Town
Accrington ST
Colchester
Accrington ST
Fleetwood Town
Accrington ST
Gillingham
Accrington ST
Crewe
Accrington ST
Bristol Rovers
Accrington ST
Chesterfield
Accrington ST
Notts County
Accrington ST
Barrow
Accrington ST
Cambridge United
Accrington ST
Bromley
Accrington ST
Barnet
Accrington ST
Shrewsbury
Accrington ST
Tranmere
Accrington ST
Grimsby
Accrington ST
Salford City
Accrington ST
Cheltenham
Accrington ST
Newport County
Accrington ST
Walsall
Swindon Town
Swindon Supermarine
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
Swindon Town
Walsall
Swindon Town
Fleetwood Town
Swindon Town
Milton Keynes Dons
Swindon Town
Bristol Rovers
Swindon Town
Crewe
Swindon Town
Newport County
Swindon Town
Oldham
Swindon Town
Barrow
Swindon Town
Salford City
Swindon Town
Gillingham
Swindon Town
Crawley Town
Swindon Town
Cheltenham
Swindon Town
Bolton
Swindon Town
Grimsby
Swindon Town
Tranmere
Swindon Town
Colchester
Swindon Town
Notts County
Swindon Town
Bromley
Accrington ST
Oldham
Accrington ST
Colchester
Accrington ST
Gillingham
Accrington ST
Bristol Rovers
Accrington ST
Barrow
Accrington ST
Bromley
Accrington ST
Tranmere
Accrington ST
Grimsby
Accrington ST
Newport County
Accrington ST
Walsall
Accrington ST
Notts County
Accrington ST
Cambridge United
Accrington ST
Harrogate Town
Accrington ST
Crawley Town
Accrington ST
Chesterfield
Accrington ST
Gainsborough Trinity
Accrington ST
Fleetwood Town
Accrington ST
Barnet
Accrington ST
Milton Keynes Dons
Accrington ST
Cheltenham
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Swindon Town
Home
|
46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
| 10 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 |
Accrington ST
Away
|
46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
L
L
L
W
L
|