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WORLD › WORLD CUP - QUALIFICATION EUROPE
--.--.---- --:--
Sweden
FT
3 - 2
Poland
Strawberry Arena
Referee: S. Vincic
Sweden
Match Timeline
Poland
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
19'
A. Elanga · Assist: Y. Ayari
Sweden
⚽
33'
N. Zalewski · Assist: P. Zielinski
Poland
🟨
43'
Jakub Kiwior
Poland
⚽
44'
G. Lagerbielke · Assist: B. Nygren
Sweden
⚽
55'
K. Swiderski · Assist: N. Zalewski
Poland
🟨
62'
Jesper Karlström
Sweden
🔄
63'
K. Swiderski ↔ O. Pietuszewski
Poland
🟨
65'
Oskar Pietuszewski
Poland
🔄
69'
A. Elanga ↔ L. Bergvall
Sweden
🔄
69'
J. Karlstrom ↔ B. Zeneli
Sweden
🟨
76'
Lucas Bergvall
Sweden
🔄
81'
B. Nygren ↔ G. Lundgren
Sweden
⚽
88'
V. Gyokeres
Sweden
🟨
90+4'
Krzysztof Piątek
Poland
🔄
90+2'
Y. Ayari ↔ M. Svanberg
Sweden
🔄
90+1'
M. Cash ↔ K. Grosicki
Poland
🔄
90+2'
N. Zalewski ↔ K. Piatek
Poland

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Sweden Win 0%
Draw 0%
Poland Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sweden1.84
Poland1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sweden Sweden
WWDLW
26 GF / 17 GA
Poland Poland
WLDWL
25 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
7
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
9
2.86
Shots on Goal
6.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sweden Sweden 13 matches
Poland Poland 15 matches
Sweden Statistic Poland
6 Wins 7
3 Draws 3
4 Losses 5
26 Goals For 25
17 Goals Against 24
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
7 BTTS Yes 11
12 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 1
2.86 Shots On Goal 6.11
9.57 Total Shots 17
5.29 Corners 6.33
52.9% Ball Possession 49.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Sweden won 2 times, Poland won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:6 from Sweden's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Sweden 3-4-2-1 / Poland 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Sweden wins 2, draws 0, Poland wins 1
Stats
Sweden Sweden
Poland Poland
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
5
2 Corner Kicks 9
15 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 4
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Goal 7
2 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 5
9 Shots insidebox 8
0 Shots outsidebox 7
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
251 Total passes 507
184 Passes accurate 432
1.52 expected_goals 1.36
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sweden
Formation
Poland
K. Nordfeldt
K. Nordfeldt
G. Lagerbielke
⚽
G. Lagerbielke
C. Starfelt
C. Starfelt
V. Lindelof
V. Lindelof
D. Svensson
D. Svensson
Y. Ayari
🎯 ↓
Y. Ayari
J. Karlstrom
↓
J. Karlstrom
G. Gudmundsson
G. Gudmundsson
A. Elanga
⚽ ↓
A. Elanga
B. Nygren
🎯 ↓
B. Nygren
V. Gyökeres
⚽
V. Gyökeres
K. Grabara
K. Grabara
P. Wisniewski
P. Wisniewski
J. Bednarek
J. Bednarek
J. Kiwior
J. Kiwior
M. Cash
↓
M. Cash
S. Szymanski
S. Szymanski
P. Zielinski
🎯
P. Zielinski
N. Zalewski
⚽ 🎯 ↓
N. Zalewski
K. Swiderski
⚽ ↓
K. Swiderski
J. Kaminski
J. Kaminski
R. Lewandowski
R. Lewandowski
Sweden 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
23
K. Nordfeldt
G
2
G. Lagerbielke
⚽ 44'
D
15
C. Starfelt
D
3
V. Lindelof
D
8
D. Svensson
M
18
Y. Ayari
🎯 19' ↓ 90+2'
M
16
J. Karlstrom
↓ 69' 🟨 62'
M
5
G. Gudmundsson
M
11
A. Elanga
⚽ 19' ↓ 69'
F
10
B. Nygren
🎯 44' ↓ 81'
F
17
V. Gyökeres
⚽ 88'
F
Substitutes
12
M. Ellborg
G
1
N. Tornqvist
G
9
G. Nilsson
F
19
M. Svanberg
↑ 90+2'
M
21
T. Ali
M
6
W. Swedberg
M
14
G. Lundgren
↑ 81'
M
4
V. Eriksson
D
13
E. Stroud
M
20
H. Larsson
M
7
L. Bergvall
↑ 69' 🟨 76'
M
22
B. Zeneli
↑ 69'
M
Poland 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
K. Grabara
G
3
P. Wisniewski
D
5
J. Bednarek
D
14
J. Kiwior
🟨 43'
D
2
M. Cash
↓ 90+1'
M
20
S. Szymanski
M
10
P. Zielinski
🎯 33'
M
21
N. Zalewski
⚽ 33' 🎯 55' ↓ 90+2'
M
7
K. Swiderski
⚽ 55' ↓ 63'
F
13
J. Kaminski
F
9
R. Lewandowski
F
Substitutes
12
M. Kochalski
G
22
B. Dragowski
G
11
K. Grosicki
↑ 90+1'
M
18
B. Bereszynski
D
23
K. Piatek
↑ 90+2' 🟨 90+4'
F
8
J. Moder
M
19
M. Skoras
F
16
J. Ziolkowski
D
17
F. Rozga
4
T. Kedziora
D
6
B. Slisz
M
15
O. Pietuszewski
↑ 63' 🟨 65'
F
Last matches: Sweden
20.06.26
Wor
Sweden
Netherlands
1
5
L
15.06.26
Wor
Sweden
Tunisia
5
1
W
04.06.26
Fri
Sweden
Greece
2
2
D
01.06.26
Fri
Sweden
Norway
1
3
L
26.03.26
Wor
Sweden
Ukraine
3
1
W
18.11.25
Wor
Sweden
Slovenia
1
1
D
15.11.25
Wor
Sweden
Switzerland
1
4
L
13.10.25
Wor
Sweden
Kosovo
0
1
L
10.10.25
Wor
Sweden
Switzerland
0
2
L
08.09.25
Wor
Sweden
Kosovo
0
2
L
05.09.25
Wor
Sweden
Slovenia
2
2
D
19.11.24
UEF
Sweden
Azerbaijan
6
0
W
16.11.24
UEF
Sweden
Slovakia
2
1
W
14.10.24
UEF
Sweden
Estonia
3
0
W
11.10.24
UEF
Sweden
Slovakia
2
2
D
08.09.24
UEF
Sweden
Estonia
3
0
W
05.09.24
UEF
Sweden
Azerbaijan
3
1
W
Last matches: Poland
03.06.26
Fri
Poland
Nigeria
2
2
D
31.05.26
Fri
Poland
Ukraine
0
2
L
26.03.26
Wor
Poland
Albania
2
1
W
17.11.25
Wor
Poland
Malta
3
2
W
14.11.25
Wor
Poland
Netherlands
1
1
D
12.10.25
Wor
Poland
Lithuania
2
0
W
07.09.25
Wor
Poland
Finland
3
1
W
04.09.25
Wor
Poland
Netherlands
1
1
D
10.06.25
Wor
Poland
Finland
1
2
L
24.03.25
Wor
Poland
Malta
2
0
W
21.03.25
Wor
Poland
Lithuania
1
0
W
18.11.24
UEF
Poland
Scotland
1
2
L
15.11.24
UEF
Poland
Portugal
1
5
L
15.10.24
UEF
Poland
Croatia
3
3
D
12.10.24
UEF
Poland
Portugal
1
3
L
08.09.24
UEF
Poland
Croatia
0
1
L
05.09.24
UEF
Poland
Scotland
3
2
W
H2H: Sweden vs Poland
31.03.26
H2H
Sweden
Poland
3
2
W
29.03.22
H2H
Poland
Sweden
2
0
L
23.06.21
H2H
Sweden
Poland
3
2
W
Last matches: Sweden
15.06.26
Wor
Sweden
Tunisia
5
1
W
04.06.26
Fri
Sweden
Greece
2
2
D
18.11.25
Wor
Sweden
Slovenia
1
1
D
13.10.25
Wor
Sweden
Kosovo
0
1
L
10.10.25
Wor
Sweden
Switzerland
0
2
L
19.11.24
UEF
Sweden
Azerbaijan
6
0
W
16.11.24
UEF
Sweden
Slovakia
2
1
W
08.09.24
UEF
Sweden
Estonia
3
0
W
H2H at home: Sweden
31.03.26
H2H
Sweden
Poland
3
2
W
23.06.21
H2H
Sweden
Poland
3
2
W
Last matches: Poland
17.11.25
Wor
Poland
Malta
3
2
W
12.10.25
Wor
Poland
Lithuania
2
0
W
04.09.25
Wor
Poland
Netherlands
1
1
D
10.06.25
Wor
Poland
Finland
1
2
L
15.11.24
UEF
Poland
Portugal
1
5
L
08.09.24
UEF
Poland
Croatia
0
1
L
05.09.24
UEF
Poland
Scotland
3
2
W
H2H away: Poland
31.03.26
H2H
Sweden
Poland
3
2
L
23.06.21
H2H
Sweden
Poland
3
2
L

Standings

Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Switzerland
6 4 2 0 14:2 12 14
D W D W W
2
Kosovo
6 3 2 1 6:5 1 11
D W W D W
3
Slovenia
6 0 4 2 3:8 -5 4
D L D D L
4
Sweden Home
6 0 2 4 4:12 -8 2
D L L L L
Promotion - World Cup
Promotion - World Cup (Promotion)