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17.10.2026 14:00
Swansea.com Stadium
Referee: Josh Smith, England
Swansea
Match Timeline
West Ham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
34'
D. Mukasa · Assist: M. Kante
West Ham
🟨
41'
Divine Mukasa
West Ham
🔄
56'
J. Fulton ↔ S. Eustaquio
Swansea
🔄
57'
J. Opoku ↔ Eom Ji-Sung
Swansea
🔄
61'
Pablo ↔ T. Castellanos
West Ham
🔄
69'
M. Kante ↔ E. Austbo
West Ham
🔄
76'
G. Franco ↔ M. Widell
Swansea
🔄
76'
M. K. Yeo ↔ E. Just
Swansea
🔄
76'
M. Stamenic ↔ Z. Vipotnik
Swansea
🟨
81'
Valentín Castellanos
West Ham
🔄
84'
M. Solomon ↔ T. Soucek
West Ham
🔄
85'
D. Mukasa ↔ J. Piroe
West Ham

Swansea vs West Ham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Swansea Win 53%
Draw 9.8%
West Ham Win 37.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Swansea1.24
West Ham1.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Swansea Swansea
W W W W L
9 GF / 6 GA
West Ham West Ham
W D D W W
18 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
2.57
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
9
4.9
Shots on Goal
6.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Swansea Swansea 15 matches
West Ham West Ham 14 matches
Swansea Statistic West Ham
9 Wins 6
3 Draws 7
3 Losses 1
21 Goals For 36
14 Goals Against 14
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 2.57
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1
6 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 1
4.9 Shots On Goal 6.4
12.2 Total Shots 17
3.8 Corners 6.8
58.5% Ball Possession 60.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring West Ham. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Swansea expected to line up in 4-3-3 and West Ham in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward West Ham having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Swansea Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 17 points from 8 games, Swansea bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:6, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Z. Vipotnik (2 goals), M. Yeo (2 goals), A. Idah (2 goals), with creative support from Z. Vipotnik (1 assists), S. Eustáquio (1 assists), Eom Ji-Sung (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

West Ham Analysis

West Ham come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 16 points after 9 matches. With 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 23:12, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Bowen (4 goals), K. Mavropanos (3 goals), M. Kanté (3 goals), with creative support from J. Bowen (2 assists), M. Solomon (2 assists), V. Castellanos (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Swansea won 3 times, West Ham won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:15 from Swansea's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.42 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.2%)
Predicted formations: Swansea 4-3-3 / West Ham 4-4-2
Missing players: Swansea 4, West Ham 1
H2H summary: Swansea wins 3, draws 3, West Ham wins 6

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 8 5 2 28:14 14 29
W W W L W
2 15 8 5 2 30:19 11 29
D L W W D
3 15 9 2 4 24:18 6 29
W W W D W
4 15 8 4 3 26:18 8 28
D W W W D
5 15 8 4 3 23:15 8 28
W D W D W
6 15 8 2 5 22:18 4 26
L L W L L
7 15 8 4 3 29:15 14 24
L D W W D
8 15 6 6 3 24:18 6 24
W D L W L
9 15 6 5 4 37:23 14 23
L D L L W
10 15 6 4 5 21:19 2 22
L W W D W
11 15 6 4 5 20:18 2 22
L W D W D
12 15 7 0 8 32:24 8 21
W W W W L
13 15 6 3 6 22:23 -1 21
W L L W L
14 15 4 6 5 27:27 0 18
W D L W D
15 15 4 6 5 18:20 -2 18
D W L L W
16 15 5 3 7 23:27 -4 18
L L W L D
17 15 5 3 7 16:24 -8 18
L L W D L
18 15 5 2 8 20:29 -9 17
L W L L D
19 15 4 5 6 13:23 -10 17
W L L L L
20 15 4 3 8 13:23 -10 15
D W L L W
21 15 4 3 8 15:26 -11 15
L L L W D
22 15 1 7 7 22:31 -9 10
L D D L L
23 15 2 4 9 14:30 -16 10
W L L D L
24 15 2 2 11 13:30 -17 8
W L L D L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One