Swansea
Match Timeline
Watford
Swansea vs Watford Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.5%
|
1.88 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
62.1%
|
1.88 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
83.9%
|
1.15 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Probability Distribution
Swansea Win 59.5%
Draw 21.4%
Watford Win 19.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Swansea1.21
Watford1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Swansea
WWDLW
10 GF / 8 GA
Watford
WLDWL
10 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
2
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
4
5.33
Shots on Goal
4.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Swansea
8 matches
Watford
7 matches
| Swansea | Statistic | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 2 |
| 2 | Draws | 3 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 10 | Goals For | 10 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 5.33 | Shots On Goal | 4.67 |
| 13 | Total Shots | 14 |
| 5.67 | Corners | 3.33 |
| 60.3% | Ball Possession | 37.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Swansea won 6 times, Watford won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:14 from Swansea's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (80.9%)
Predicted formations: Swansea 4-1-4-1 / Watford 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Swansea 4, Watford 5
H2H summary: Swansea wins 6, draws 3, Watford wins 6
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Swansea
Home
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
| 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 15 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 15 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 14 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 12 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 11 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 9 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 |
Watford
Away
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 22 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 4 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One