Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
62.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
83.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Swansea Win 59.5%
Draw 21.4%
Watford Win 19.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Swansea1.07
Watford1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Swansea
WWDLW
7 GF / 8 GA
Watford
WLDWL
9 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
2
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
4
2
Shots on Goal
4.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Swansea
7 matches
Watford
6 matches
| Swansea | Statistic | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 7 | Goals For | 9 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 7 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 2 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 8 | Total Shots | 13 |
| 5.5 | Corners | 3.5 |
| 64% | Ball Possession | 37.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Swansea won 6 times, Watford won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:14 from Swansea's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (80.9%)
Predicted formations: Swansea 4-3-3 / Watford 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Swansea wins 6, draws 3, Watford wins 6
Last matches: Swansea
22.08.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Utd
0
0
D
15.08.26
Cha
Swansea
Stoke City
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Swansea
Leganes
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Merthyr Town
0
3
L
24.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Udinese
2
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Swansea
VfL Bochum
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Holstein Kiel
2
2
D
02.05.26
Cha
Swansea
Charlton
3
1
W
25.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Norwich
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Swansea
QPR
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Southampton
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Leicester
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Utd
3
3
D
21.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Coventry
0
3
L
13.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Wrexham
0
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Portsmouth
2
1
W
07.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Stoke City
2
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Ipswich
0
3
L
24.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Preston
1
1
D
Last matches: Watford
22.08.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
1
1
D
16.08.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
2
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
H2H: Swansea vs Watford
31.01.26
H2H
Watford
Swansea
0
2
W
23.08.25
H2H
Swansea
Watford
1
1
D
12.03.25
H2H
Watford
Swansea
1
0
L
05.11.24
H2H
Swansea
Watford
1
0
W
06.03.24
H2H
Watford
Swansea
1
1
D
24.10.23
H2H
Swansea
Watford
0
1
L
30.12.22
H2H
Swansea
Watford
4
0
W
05.10.22
H2H
Watford
Swansea
1
2
W
08.05.21
H2H
Watford
Swansea
2
0
L
02.01.21
H2H
Swansea
Watford
2
1
W
24.09.19
H2H
Watford
Swansea
2
1
L
30.12.17
H2H
Watford
Swansea
1
2
W
23.09.17
H2H
Swansea
Watford
1
2
L
15.04.17
H2H
Watford
Swansea
1
0
L
22.10.16
H2H
Swansea
Watford
0
0
D
Last matches: Swansea
22.08.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Utd
0
0
D
01.08.26
Fri
Swansea
Leganes
1
0
W
24.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Udinese
2
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Swansea
VfL Bochum
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Holstein Kiel
2
2
D
02.05.26
Cha
Swansea
Charlton
3
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Coventry
0
3
L
07.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Stoke City
2
0
W
24.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Preston
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Bristol City
1
0
W
08.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Wednesday
4
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Blackburn
3
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Birmingham
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Swansea
West Brom
1
1
D
01.01.26
Cha
Swansea
West Brom
1
0
W
19.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Wrexham
2
1
W
09.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Portsmouth
1
0
W
06.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Oxford United
2
0
W
H2H at home: Swansea
23.08.25
H2H
Swansea
Watford
1
1
D
05.11.24
H2H
Swansea
Watford
1
0
W
24.10.23
H2H
Swansea
Watford
0
1
L
30.12.22
H2H
Swansea
Watford
4
0
W
02.01.21
H2H
Swansea
Watford
2
1
W
23.09.17
H2H
Swansea
Watford
1
2
L
22.10.16
H2H
Swansea
Watford
0
0
D
Last matches: Watford
22.08.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
03.02.26
Cha
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
24.01.26
Cha
Watford
Blackburn
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Watford
Bristol City
1
5
L
29.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
1
0
W
26.12.25
Cha
Watford
Leicester
2
1
W
13.12.25
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
2
2
D
01.12.25
Cha
Watford
Birmingham
1
2
L
22.11.25
Cha
Watford
Derby
3
2
W
H2H away: Watford
23.08.25
H2H
Swansea
Watford
1
1
D
05.11.24
H2H
Swansea
Watford
1
0
L
24.10.23
H2H
Swansea
Watford
0
1
W
30.12.22
H2H
Swansea
Watford
4
0
L
02.01.21
H2H
Swansea
Watford
2
1
L
23.09.17
H2H
Swansea
Watford
1
2
W
22.10.16
H2H
Swansea
Watford
0
0
D
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 8 |
Watford
Away
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
Swansea
Home
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 |
W
L
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One