ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
12.09.2026 14:00
VBS Community Stadium
Sutton Utd
Match Timeline
Scunthorpe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
39'
K. Hurst · Assist: B. Horton
Scunthorpe
🟨
44'
D. Whitehall
Scunthorpe
🔄
59'
T. Babalola ↔ D. Ogbonna
Sutton Utd
🟨
61'
E. Osadebe
Sutton Utd
🟨
62'
B. Horton
Scunthorpe
🔄
63'
K. Hurst ↔ A. Beestin
Scunthorpe
🔄
63'
D. Howe ↔ T. Sellars-Fleming
Scunthorpe
🔄
63'
B. Horton ↔ T. Denton
Scunthorpe
🟨
66'
D. Urpens
Sutton Utd
69'
T. Sellars-Fleming · Assist: D. Whitehall
Scunthorpe
🔄
74'
J. Starbuck ↔ J. Belehouan
Scunthorpe
🔄
78'
J. Knight ↔ J. Francis
Sutton Utd
🔄
78'
B. Njoku ↔ S. Folarin
Sutton Utd
🔄
80'
D. Whitehall ↔ H. Parker
Scunthorpe
🔄
85'
J. Taylor ↔ C. Bell
Sutton Utd

Sutton Utd vs Scunthorpe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.7%
Odds 2.18
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.7%
2.18
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.62
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.15
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Sutton Utd Win 74.7%
Draw 4.6%
Scunthorpe Win 20.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sutton Utd1.62
Scunthorpe1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sutton Utd Sutton Utd
WWDLW
20 GF / 14 GA
Scunthorpe Scunthorpe
WLDWL
25 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
2.08
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
6
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sutton Utd Sutton Utd 13 matches
Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 12 matches
Sutton Utd Statistic Scunthorpe
8 Wins 4
2 Draws 3
3 Losses 5
20 Goals For 25
14 Goals Against 21
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 2.08
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
6 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Sutton Utd's more proactive style and Scunthorpe's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Scunthorpe. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sutton Utd arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 12 points compared to Scunthorpe in 19 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Sutton Utd come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Scunthorpe having the stronger overall control.

Sutton Utd Analysis

Sutton Utd come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 12 points after 5 matches. The return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 7:3, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Scunthorpe Analysis

Scunthorpe approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 4 points from 5 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 8:10, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Sutton Utd won 2 times, Scunthorpe won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:6 from Sutton Utd's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
H2H summary: Sutton Utd wins 2, draws 1, Scunthorpe wins 1

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 17:9 8 17
D W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 18:10 8 16
W W W L D
3 7 4 2 1 17:10 7 14
W D W W L
4 7 4 2 1 12:7 5 14
W W D W D
5 7 4 2 1 14:10 4 14
D W D L W
6 7 4 2 1 9:5 4 14
W W D W D
7 7 4 0 3 11:10 1 12
W W L L L
8 7 4 0 3 10:11 -1 12
L L W W L
9 7 4 0 3 7:8 -1 12
L L L W W
10 7 3 2 2 13:12 1 11
L L W W W
11 7 3 2 2 9:8 1 11
D L D W W
12 7 2 3 2 15:12 3 9
D L W D W
13 7 3 0 4 12:10 2 9
W L W L W
14 7 3 0 4 5:6 -1 9
L W L L L
15 7 3 0 4 8:13 -5 9
L W W W L
16 7 2 2 3 13:14 -1 8
D D L L W
17 7 2 2 3 10:12 -2 8
W L W D L
18 7 2 1 4 10:12 -2 7
W L L W L
19 7 2 1 4 9:11 -2 7
W L D L W
20 7 2 1 4 9:11 -2 7
L D L L W
21 7 1 3 3 10:11 -1 6
D W D L D
22 7 1 2 4 13:19 -6 5
L D L W L
23 7 1 1 5 5:13 -8 4
L D L L L
24 7 0 1 6 7:19 -12 1
L D L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation