CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
CEPSUM Stadium
Supra du Quebec
Match Timeline
Atlético Ottawa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
51'
Matisse Chretien
Supra du Quebec
🔄
53'
J. Assi ↔ J. Dunn
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
60'
O. El Kalkouli ↔ I. Conde
Supra du Quebec
🟨
61'
Safwane Mlah
Supra du Quebec
64'
S. Mlah · Assist: I. Conde
Supra du Quebec
🔄
68'
T. Lebeuf ↔ D. Abzi
Supra du Quebec
🔄
68'
S. Mlah ↔ A. Sissoko
Supra du Quebec
🔄
71'
E. Garcia ↔ J. Coulanges
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
71'
G. Antinoro ↔ K. Habibullah
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
72'
R. Mbomio ↔ R. Khoury
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
80'
Aboubacar Sissoko
Supra du Quebec
83'
N. Fleuriau Chateau · Assist: R. Khoury
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
84'
L. A. Kwemi ↔ R. Bey
Supra du Quebec
🔄
84'
D. Choiniere ↔ C. Bayiha
Supra du Quebec
🟨
90+2'
Matisse Chretien
Supra du Quebec
🟥
90+2'
Matisse Chretien
Supra du Quebec
🟨
90+6'
Ballou Tabla
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
90+2'
D. Aguilar ↔ R. Abraham
Atlético Ottawa
90'
R. Khoury · Assist: N. Fleuriau Chateau
Atlético Ottawa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 64.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
64.4%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
88.3%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Supra du Quebec Win 35.6%
Draw 26.5%
Atlético Ottawa Win 37.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Supra du Quebec1.68
Atlético Ottawa1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WWDLW
22 GF / 27 GA
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
WLDWL
25 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
2
12
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
12
1.2
Shots on Goal
1.61

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 15 matches
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa 18 matches
Supra du Quebec Statistic Atlético Ottawa
5 Wins 7
3 Draws 3
7 Losses 8
22 Goals For 25
27 Goals Against 36
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 2
12 BTTS Yes 12
12 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 8
0 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 4
1.2 Shots On Goal 1.61
5.13 Total Shots 4.72
1.73 Corners 1.89
22.1% Ball Possession 29.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atlético Ottawa. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atlético Ottawa having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Supra du Quebec have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

Supra du Quebec sit 6 with 17 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 21:26, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atlético Ottawa Analysis

Atlético Ottawa arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 24 points after 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, while the 25:29 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Supra du Quebec won 1 times, Atlético Ottawa won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from Supra du Quebec's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.5%)
Predicted formations: Supra du Quebec 4-2-3-1 / Atlético Ottawa 4-4-2
H2H summary: Supra du Quebec wins 1, draws 1, Atlético Ottawa wins 3
Stats
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
6 Corner Kicks 4
14 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 1
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 4
6 Shots insidebox 8
9 Shots outsidebox 7
3 Goalkeeper Saves 6
419 Total passes 539
357 Passes accurate 476
1.53 expected_goals 1.40
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Atlético Ottawa
Formation
Supra du Quebec
C. Kalongo
C. Kalongo
J. Assi
J. Assi
R. Mbomio
R. Mbomio
L. Cloutier
L. Cloutier
D. Aguilar
D. Aguilar
T. Arnaud
T. Arnaud
M. Aparicio
M. Aparicio
G. Antinoro
G. Antinoro
B. Tabla
B. Tabla
E. Garcia
E. Garcia
N. Fleuriau Chateau
🎯
N. Fleuriau Chateau
J. Milli
J. Milli
C. Auguste
C. Auguste
K. Ferdinand
K. Ferdinand
M. Chretien
M. Chretien
T. Lebeuf
T. Lebeuf
A. Biello
A. Biello
S. Mlah
S. Mlah
D. Choiniere
D. Choiniere
S. Rea
S. Rea
O. El Kalkouli
O. El Kalkouli
L. A. Kwemi
L. A. Kwemi
Atlético Ottawa 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
C. Kalongo
G
14
J. Assi
↓ 53'
D
18
R. Mbomio
↓ 72'
D
28
L. Cloutier
5
D. Aguilar
↓ 90+2'
D
37
T. Arnaud
M
10
M. Aparicio
M
11
G. Antinoro
↓ 71'
M
13
B. Tabla
🟨 90+6'
M
7
E. Garcia
↓ 71'
M
21
N. Fleuriau Chateau
⚽ 83' 🎯 90'
F
Substitutes
1
T. Crampton
20
J. Coulanges
↑ 71'
3
J. Dunn
↑ 53'
D
91
L. Levillain
D
30
K. Habibullah
↑ 71'
M
19
R. Khoury
⚽ 90' 🎯 83' ↑ 72'
77
R. Abraham
↑ 90+2'
F
Supra du Quebec 3-5-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
32
J. Milli
G
2
C. Auguste
D
5
K. Ferdinand
4
M. Chretien
🟨 51' 🟨 90+2' 🟥 90+2'
D
3
T. Lebeuf
↓ 68'
D
6
A. Biello
M
24
S. Mlah
⚽ 64' ↓ 68' 🟨 61'
M
7
D. Choiniere
↓ 84'
M
10
S. Rea
M
8
O. El Kalkouli
↓ 60'
M
9
L. A. Kwemi
↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
80
M. Diop
G
11
D. Abzi
↑ 68'
D
37
S. Deslandes
D
33
A. Sissoko
↑ 68' 🟨 80'
M
77
R. Bey
↑ 84'
F
12
C. Bayiha
↑ 84'
F
99
I. Conde
🎯 64' ↑ 60'
F
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
23.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
1
1
D
19.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
2
3
L
09.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
01.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
2
1
W
29.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
24.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
3
2
W
17.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
5
L
05.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
09.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
5
L
06.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
Last matches: Atlético Ottawa
22.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
3
L
19.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
4
0
W
08.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
01.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
3
L
26.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
3
2
W
17.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
1
D
04.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
01.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
09.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
5
3
W
06.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
2
2
D
24.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
2
1
W
17.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
01.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
4
L
26.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
12.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
3
L
04.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
0
2
L
25.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
5
L
18.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
2
L
H2H: Supra du Quebec vs Atlético Ottawa
16.08.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
11.08.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
3
3
D
08.07.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
09.06.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
5
3
L
19.04.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
09.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
17.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
5
L
05.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
06.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
H2H at home: Supra du Quebec
16.08.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
08.07.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
19.04.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
Last matches: Atlético Ottawa
22.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
3
L
01.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
3
L
01.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
2
2
D
01.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
4
L
19.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
12.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
3
L
04.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
0
2
L
25.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
5
L
H2H away: Atlético Ottawa
16.08.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
W
08.07.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
L
19.04.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
W

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 2 3 29:13 16 41
W W L L D
2 18 12 4 2 36:11 25 40
W W D W W
3 19 9 3 7 32:33 -1 30
L W W W L
4 19 8 3 8 26:22 4 27
L L D W W
5 19 5 5 9 25:30 -5 20
W L L D L
6 18 5 4 9 26:33 -7 19
D L L D W
7 16 4 6 6 21:35 -14 18
D W D L L
8 17 0 5 12 18:36 -18 5
L D D L L