Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
73.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
25.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
28.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Super Nova
Tukums
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Super Nova
15 matches
Tukums
14 matches
| Super Nova | Statistic | Tukums |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 2 |
| 2 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 5 |
| 17 | Goals For | 28 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.64 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Tukums's more proactive style and Super Nova's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tukums having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Tukums. Super Nova have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
Super Nova approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 13 points from 11 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 11:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Oss (3 goals), V. Lizunovs (2 goals), A. Glaudans (1 goals), with creative support from Facu (5 assists), A. Glaudans (1 assists), N. Pathe (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Tukums are currently 7 in the standings with 11 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 23:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Oloko (11 goals), R. Deruzinskis (4 goals), Leoni (3 goals), with creative support from B. Samoilovs (5 assists), Anmanis Kaspars (2 assists), R. Baumanis (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Super Nova won 6 times, Tukums won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:23 from Super Nova's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Lineups
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
Panevėžys
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 55:16 | 39 | 59 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 68:20 | 48 | 58 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 30 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 |
Super Nova
Home
|
23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 7 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:35 | -20 | 20 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 |
Tukums
Away
|
23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 38:47 | -9 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 10 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 21:59 | -38 | 13 |
L
W
L
W
L
|