LATVIA VIRSLIGA
20.07.2026 16:00
Jana Skredela stadions
Referee: A. Treimanis
Super Nova
Match Timeline
Grobiņa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
J. Ribeiro
Grobiņa
🟨
33'
A. Puzirevskis
Grobiņa
🟨
39'
M. Oss
Super Nova
59'
Bamba · Assist: V. Lizunovs
Super Nova
🔄
61'
A. Puzirevskis ↔ A. Zjuzins
Grobiņa
🔄
65'
M. Sidorovs ↔ H. Yamada
Grobiņa
🔄
66'
Bamba ↔ R. Kirss
Super Nova
🔄
75'
J. Ribeiro ↔ A. Aruna
Grobiņa
🔄
75'
D. Sirbu ↔ A. Kholod
Grobiņa
🔄
75'
K. Rupeiks ↔ G. Kluskins
Grobiņa
🔄
77'
A. Glaudans ↔ A. Grikovs
Super Nova
🟨
82'
V. Lizunovs
Super Nova
🔄
87'
I. Patrikejevs ↔ K. Skadmanis
Super Nova
90+3'
V. Lizunovs · Assist: K. Skadmanis
Super Nova

Super Nova vs Grobiņa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 88.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
88.4%
-
BTTS No
55%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Super Nova Win 49.1%
Draw 39.4%
Grobiņa Win 11.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Super Nova1.29
Grobiņa1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Super Nova Super Nova
WWDLW
29 GF / 43 GA
Grobiņa Grobiņa
WLDWL
29 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
17
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Super Nova Super Nova 26 matches
Grobiņa Grobiņa 29 matches
Super Nova Statistic Grobiņa
8 Wins 6
4 Draws 11
14 Losses 12
29 Goals For 29
43 Goals Against 45
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
17 BTTS Yes 15
21 Over 1.5 21
15 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Grobiņa. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Grobiņa having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Super Nova have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Super Nova Analysis

With 24 points from 22 games and a place of 7, Super Nova still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 23:35, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Grobiņa Analysis

Grobiņa sit 8 with 20 points after 22 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, while the 15:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Super Nova won 9 times, Grobiņa won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 43:4 from Super Nova's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.62 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Super Nova 4-2-3-1 / Grobiņa 4-4-2
H2H summary: Super Nova wins 9, draws 4, Grobiņa wins 0

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 23 4 2 70:21 49 73
W D W D W
2 29 20 7 2 84:30 54 67
D D L D W
3 29 17 6 6 47:29 18 57
D W D W W
4 30 12 6 12 41:43 -2 42
D D W L W
5 30 10 8 12 35:35 0 38
L D L D W
6 28 10 5 13 29:38 -9 35
W W D D L
7 30 8 8 14 32:48 -16 32
D L W W L
8 30 5 10 15 20:51 -31 25
D L W L L
9 30 5 8 17 43:60 -17 23
L W L L L
10 29 3 6 20 29:75 -46 15
D L L L L