Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Super Nova
22 matches
FS Jelgava
23 matches
| Super Nova | Statistic | FS Jelgava |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 11 | Losses | 12 |
| 25 | Goals For | 18 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.78 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.78 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FS Jelgava. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FS Jelgava having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Super Nova have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Super Nova sit 5 with 21 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats with a 19:25 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on V. Lizunovs (5 goals), A. Glaudans (4 goals), M. Oss (3 goals), with creative support from Facu (5 assists), N. Pathe (2 assists), V. Lizunovs (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, FS Jelgava have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 16 points from 18 matches. The record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 13:33 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Hasek (5 goals), A. Kangars (3 goals), D. Holoubek (1 goals), with creative support from G. Zaleiko (3 assists), D. Holoubek (2 assists), J. Novikovs (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Super Nova won 0 times, FS Jelgava won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:15 from Super Nova's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.09 goals per game.
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
Paide
Super Nova
Kalju Nomme
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Šiauliai
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Šiauliai
FS Jelgava
Nõmme United
FS Jelgava
Panevėžys
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 42:14 | 28 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 45 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 34:23 | 11 | 35 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 |
Super Nova
Home
|
18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
| 6 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 20 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 17 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 12:29 | -17 | 16 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 |
FS Jelgava
Away
|
18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 13:33 | -20 | 16 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
| 10 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 16:42 | -26 | 7 |
W
L
L
D
L
|