LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Slokas Stadions
Referee: A. Griscenko
Super Nova
Match Timeline
Auda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
34'
V. Lizunovs · Assist: Facu
Super Nova
45'
J. Vergara · Assist: W. Fofana
Auda
🔄
46'
R. Iida ↔ J. Cirulis
Super Nova
🔄
46'
K. Skadmanis ↔ E. Emsis
Super Nova
🟨
52'
I. Ndiaye
Super Nova
🟨
59'
O. Rubenis
Auda
🟨
61'
T. Hrvoj
Auda
🔄
66'
Bamba ↔ A. Grikovs
Super Nova
🔄
71'
Facu ↔ N. Barkovskis
Super Nova
🟨
72'
R. Sitjakovs
Super Nova
🔄
75'
I. Kone ↔ O. Camara
Auda
🔄
76'
V. Lizunovs ↔ G. Bombans
Super Nova
🟨
77'
E. Emsis
Super Nova
🔄
79'
W. Fofana ↔ M. Diagne
Auda
85'
J. Vergara · Assist: T. Hrvoj
Auda
🔄
88'
E. Daskevics ↔ H. Lusweki
Auda

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 97.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 20.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
97.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
20.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Super Nova Win 2.8%
Draw 0%
Auda Win 97.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Super Nova1.2
Auda1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Super Nova Super Nova
WWDLW
16 GF / 21 GA
Auda Auda
WLDWL
18 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
9
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Super Nova Super Nova 13 matches
Auda Auda 13 matches
Super Nova Statistic Auda
5 Wins 7
2 Draws 3
6 Losses 3
16 Goals For 18
21 Goals Against 15
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
9 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Auda's more proactive style and Super Nova's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Auda. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Auda having the stronger overall control. Super Nova have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Auda carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 19 points while Super Nova sit 4 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Super Nova Analysis

Super Nova approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 13 points from 9 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 10:13, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Oss (3 goals), A. Glaudans (1 goals), Bamba (1 goals), with creative support from Facu (4 assists), A. Glaudans (1 assists), N. Pathe (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Auda Analysis

Auda come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 19 points after 9 matches. With 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 16:11, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Vergara (6 goals), H. Ibrahim (4 goals), E. Daskevics (2 goals), with creative support from T. Hrvoj (3 assists), J. Vergara (2 assists), E. Daskevics (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Super Nova won 0 times, Auda won 14 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:33 from Super Nova's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Super Nova wins 0, draws 1, Auda wins 14

Lineups

Super Nova
Formation
Auda
D. Veisbuks
D. Veisbuks
M. Tihonovics
M. Tihonovics
M. Oss
M. Oss
I. Ndiaye
I. Ndiaye
R. Iida
R. Iida
Bamba
Bamba
Facu
🎯
Facu
R. Sitjakovs
R. Sitjakovs
K. Skadmanis
K. Skadmanis
N. Pathe
N. Pathe
V. Lizunovs
V. Lizunovs
N. Purins
N. Purins
T. Hrvoj
🎯
T. Hrvoj
M. Ouedraogo
M. Ouedraogo
D. Melniks
D. Melniks
O. Rubenis
O. Rubenis
Y. Traore
Y. Traore
E. Daskevics
E. Daskevics
I. Kone
I. Kone
E. Bongemba
E. Bongemba
W. Fofana
🎯
W. Fofana
J. Vergara
⚽ 2
J. Vergara
Super Nova 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
90
D. Veisbuks
21
M. Tihonovics
25
M. Oss
20
I. Ndiaye
🟨 52'
3
R. Iida
↓ 46'
9
Bamba
↓ 66'
14
Facu
🎯 34' ↓ 71'
24
R. Sitjakovs
🟨 72'
22
K. Skadmanis
↓ 46'
27
N. Pathe
10
V. Lizunovs
⚽ 34' ↓ 76'
Substitutes
31
T. Petrovics
18
M. Vasilevskis
5
J. Cirulis
↑ 46'
23
N. Barkovskis
↑ 71'
17
G. Bombans
↑ 76'
6
E. Emsis
↑ 46' 🟨 77'
16
K. Romanovs
19
A. Grikovs
↑ 66'
Auda 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
98
N. Purins
2
T. Hrvoj
🎯 85' 🟨 61'
4
M. Ouedraogo
21
D. Melniks
71
O. Rubenis
🟨 59'
20
Y. Traore
17
E. Daskevics
↓ 88'
79
I. Kone
↓ 75'
8
E. Bongemba
10
W. Fofana
🎯 45' ↓ 79'
7
J. Vergara
⚽ 45' ⚽ 85'
Substitutes
1
R. Sturins
22
A. Ogunji
9
M. Diagne
↑ 79'
80
S. Aranda
6
R. Kragliks
11
O. Camara
↑ 75'
33
R. Trifonovs
18
A. Arroyo
26
H. Lusweki
↑ 88'
Last matches: Super Nova
29.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
24.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
0
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
2
0
W
16.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
3
1
W
11.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
1
1
D
06.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
27.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
23.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
18.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
14.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
1
4
L
09.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
1
0
W
03.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
2
1
W
22.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
2
1
W
15.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
08.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
28.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Paide
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Trans Narva
3
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
2
5
L
Last matches: Auda
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
L
10.02.26
Fri
Auda
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Auda
FK Vozdovac
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Auda
Shanghai Shenhua
0
0
D
16.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
2
2
D
H2H: Super Nova vs Auda
01.05.26
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
08.03.26
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
L
22.09.25
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
3
2
L
18.08.25
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
3
1
L
01.07.25
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
1
L
11.05.25
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
1
1
D
16.03.25
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
1
0
L
02.03.24
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
1
0
L
02.09.23
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
1
0
L
25.06.23
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
5
L
02.05.23
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
2
L
11.03.23
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
2
0
L
18.09.22
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
3
0
L
02.07.22
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
06.05.22
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
4
1
L
Last matches: Super Nova
29.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
3
1
W
11.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
1
1
D
23.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
14.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
1
4
L
15.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
H2H at home: Super Nova
01.05.26
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
01.07.25
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
1
L
11.05.25
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
1
1
D
25.06.23
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
5
L
02.05.23
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
2
L
02.07.22
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
Last matches: Auda
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Auda
FK Vozdovac
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Auda
Shanghai Shenhua
0
0
D
10.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
0
0
D
H2H away: Auda
01.05.26
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
W
01.07.25
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
1
W
11.05.25
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
1
1
D
25.06.23
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
5
W
02.05.23
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
2
W
02.07.22
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 14 1 1 38:11 27 43
?
2 16 12 3 1 50:17 33 39
?
3
Auda Away
16 11 1 4 32:20 12 34
?
4 16 6 4 6 21:23 -2 22
?
5 16 6 2 8 18:23 -5 20
?
6 16 5 3 8 19:24 -5 18
?
7 16 3 6 7 12:30 -18 15
?
8 16 2 7 7 29:30 -1 13
?
9 16 2 7 7 10:26 -16 13
?
10 16 0 4 12 13:38 -25 4
?