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08.11.2026 14:00
Stadium of Light
Referee: Jarred Gillett
Sunderland
Match Timeline
Chelsea
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
4'
Granit Xhaka ↔ Jules Ahoka
Sunderland
🟨
21'
Jules Ahoka
Sunderland
🟨
35'
Levi Colwill
Chelsea
⚽
36'
Enzo Le Fée
Sunderland
🔄
45'
Levi Colwill ↔ Estêvão Willian Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves
Chelsea
🟨
50'
Thomas Meunier
Sunderland
🟨
53'
Brian Brobbey
Sunderland
🟨
55'
Pedro Neto
Chelsea
🔄
62'
Pedro Neto ↔ Danny Welbeck
Chelsea
🔄
62'
Marco Palestra ↔ Malo Gusto
Chelsea
🔄
67'
Brian Brobbey ↔ Wilson Isidor
Sunderland
🟨
76'
Moises Caicedo
Chelsea
🔄
79'
Pep Chavarria ↔ Geovany Quenda
Chelsea
🔄
87'
Jordan Henderson ↔ Emanuel Emegha
Chelsea
🔄
88'
Chemsdine Talbi ↔ Nilson Angulo
Sunderland
🔄
88'
Enzo Le Fée ↔ Chris Rigg
Sunderland
🟨
90'
Luke O'Nien
Sunderland
🟨
90+1'
Régis Le Bris
Sunderland
🟨
90+2'
Wesley Fofana
Chelsea
🟨
90+4'
Nilson Angulo
Sunderland

Sunderland vs Chelsea Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 69.5%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.83
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
69.5%
1.28 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.83 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.24 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Sunderland Win 30.5%
Draw 26.2%
Chelsea Win 43.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sunderland1.44
Chelsea1.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sunderland Sunderland
L L D D L
2 GF / 8 GA
Chelsea Chelsea
W L W W L
9 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
2.33
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
8
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
11
4.77
Shots on Goal
5.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sunderland Sunderland 16 matches
Chelsea Chelsea 15 matches
Sunderland Statistic Chelsea
6 Wins 8
3 Draws 2
7 Losses 5
20 Goals For 35
23 Goals Against 26
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
8 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 14
6 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 3
4.77 Shots On Goal 5.89
15.15 Total Shots 14
5.38 Corners 5.89
51.6% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sunderland won 5 times, Chelsea won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:30 from Sunderland's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.9%)
Predicted formations: Sunderland 4-2-3-1 / Chelsea 4-3-2-1
H2H summary: Sunderland wins 5, draws 1, Chelsea wins 9

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 0 1 15:5 10 27
W W W W W
2 10 7 1 2 26:7 19 22
W W L W W
3 10 7 0 3 21:13 8 21
L L L W W
4 10 5 3 2 14:10 4 18
W L W W L
5 10 5 1 4 19:16 3 16
L W L W W
6 10 4 4 2 12:10 2 16
W W L L D
7 10 4 3 3 16:14 2 15
W W W W L
8 10 3 5 2 16:11 5 14
L W D L D
9 10 3 5 2 10:8 2 14
W L D D L
10 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
D D W W D
11 10 3 3 4 10:11 -1 12
L W W W D
12 10 3 3 4 13:16 -3 12
D L W L L
13 10 2 5 3 11:11 0 11
L D D L D
14 10 3 2 5 15:20 -5 11
L D D L W
15 10 2 4 4 10:12 -2 10
D D W W L
16 10 2 3 5 9:13 -4 9
W L D L L
17 10 3 0 7 10:19 -9 9
L W L L W
18 10 1 5 4 14:19 -5 8
D L L D D
19 10 2 2 6 8:17 -9 8
W L D L L
20 10 2 1 7 10:24 -14 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship