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22.10.2026 16:45
Stadion Graz-Liebenau
Referee: Nenad Minakovic
Sturm Graz
Match Timeline
Marseille
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
Oumar Diakité · Assist: Luca Weinhandl
Sturm Graz
🟨
24'
Angel Gomes
Marseille
🟨
32'
Oumar Diakité
Sturm Graz
🔄
45'
Angel Gomes ↔ Himad Abdelli
Marseille
🔄
45'
Neal Maupay ↔ Igor Paixão
Marseille
🔄
45'
Oumar Diakité ↔ Belmin Beganovic
Sturm Graz
🟨
63'
Luca Weinhandl
Sturm Graz
🔄
65'
Geoffrey Kondogbia ↔ Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
Marseille
🔄
65'
Nayef Aguerd ↔ CJ Egan-Riley
Marseille
🟨
80'
Amine Gouiri
Marseille
🔄
83'
Kelyann Bezahaf ↔ Timothy Weah
Marseille
🟨
84'
Arjan Malić
Sturm Graz
🔄
87'
Jacob Peter Hödl ↔ Albert Vallci
Sturm Graz
🔄
90'
Valmir Matoshi ↔ Julian Halwachs
Sturm Graz
🟨
90+1'
Bamo Meite
Marseille

Sturm Graz vs Marseille Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sturm Graz Win 64.9%
Draw 4.4%
Marseille Win 30.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sturm Graz1.97
Marseille1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
W L W W L
11 GF / 8 GA
Marseille Marseille
W L W L L
9 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2.15
Average Goals Scored
1.62
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
14
BTTS Yes
7
16
Over 2.5
9
4.67
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 27 matches
Marseille Marseille 13 matches
Sturm Graz Statistic Marseille
14 Wins 5
7 Draws 0
6 Losses 8
58 Goals For 21
35 Goals Against 22
2.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.62
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
14 BTTS Yes 7
23 Over 1.5 11
16 Over 2.5 9
12 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 4
4.67 Shots On Goal 4.67
15.07 Total Shots 13
6.07 Corners 4.78
44.9% Ball Possession 56.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: Sturm Graz 3-4-1-2 / Marseille 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Sturm Graz 10, Marseille 3

Standings

UEFA Europa League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 13:3 10 12
W W W W
2 4 4 0 0 11:2 9 12
W W W W
3 4 4 0 0 11:3 8 12
W W W W
4 4 3 1 0 10:2 8 10
W W D W
5 4 3 1 0 11:4 7 10
W D W W
6 4 3 1 0 4:1 3 10
D W W W
7 4 3 0 1 8:1 7 9
L W W W
8 4 2 1 1 11:8 3 7
L D W W
9 4 2 1 1 5:4 1 7
W L W D
10 4 2 1 1 4:3 1 7
W W D L
11 4 2 1 1 4:4 0 7
L D W W
12 4 2 1 1 8:9 -1 7
W W D L
13 4 2 1 1 6:7 -1 7
D L W W
14 4 2 0 2 7:4 3 6
L W W L
15 4 2 0 2 6:3 3 6
W W L L
16 4 2 0 2 5:4 1 6
W L L W
17 4 1 3 0 4:3 1 6
D D W D
18 4 2 0 2 6:7 -1 6
L L W W
19 4 2 0 2 7:9 -2 6
W L L W
20 4 1 2 1 9:4 5 5
D W D L
21 4 1 2 1 9:6 3 5
D D L W
22 4 1 1 2 6:6 0 4
L L D W
23 4 1 1 2 6:6 0 4
D W L L
24 4 1 1 2 3:6 -3 4
L W L D
25 4 1 1 2 5:9 -4 4
W D L L
26 4 1 1 2 3:8 -5 4
L D L W
27 4 1 0 3 4:6 -2 3
L W L L
28 4 1 0 3 4:7 -3 3
L L W L
29 4 1 0 3 4:7 -3 3
L L W L
30 4 1 0 3 3:7 -4 3
W L L L
31 4 1 0 3 2:6 -4 3
W L L L
32 4 1 0 3 6:11 -5 3
W L L L
33 4 0 1 3 1:8 -7 1
L L L D
34 4 0 1 3 2:10 -8 1
L L D L
35 4 0 1 3 2:12 -10 1
L D L L
36 4 0 0 4 4:14 -10 0
L L L L
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)