21.07.2026 18:30
Merkur Arena
Referee: Gergo Bogar, Hungary
Sturm Graz
Match Timeline
Heart Of Midlothian
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
J. Gorenc Stankovic · Assist: J. Mitchell
Sturm Graz
38'
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
VAR
39'
Szymon Włodarczyk
Sturm Graz
🔄
46'
S. Seidl ↔ O. Kiteishvili
Sturm Graz
🟨
47'
Oisin McEntee
Heart Of Midlothian
50'
J. Mitchell · Assist: O. Kiteishvili
Sturm Graz
53'
L. Weinhandl · Assist: J. Hodl
Sturm Graz
🟨
56'
Jon Gorenc Stanković
Sturm Graz
🔄
59'
C. Miller ↔ S. Kerjota
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
59'
P. Kabore ↔ A. Ba-Sy
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
59'
A. Kyziridis ↔ S. Guendouz
Heart Of Midlothian
59'
J. Heil · Assist: L. Weinhandl
Sturm Graz
🔄
70'
J. Hodl ↔ R. Fosso
Sturm Graz
🔄
70'
S. Jatta ↔ N. Weiper
Sturm Graz
🔄
70'
S. Wlodarczyk ↔ A. Kayombo
Sturm Graz
🔄
75'
B. Spittal ↔ T. Renaud
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
79'
E. Soglo ↔ A. Malic
Sturm Graz
🔄
84'
O. McEntee ↔ T. Magnusson
Heart Of Midlothian
🟨
86'
Amadou Ba-Sy
Heart Of Midlothian

Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.9%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sturm Graz Win 65.9%
Draw 5%
Heart Of Midlothian Win 29.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sturm Graz2.27
Heart Of Midlothian1.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
WWDLW
26 GF / 17 GA
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian
WLDWL
5 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
2.89
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
7
BTTS Yes
3
7
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 9 matches
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 3 matches
Sturm Graz Statistic Heart Of Midlothian
4 Wins 2
4 Draws 0
1 Losses 1
26 Goals For 5
17 Goals Against 4
2.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
7 BTTS Yes 3
8 Over 1.5 3
7 Over 2.5 3
7 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Sturm Graz won 2 times, Heart Of Midlothian won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:0 from Sturm Graz's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Sturm Graz 4-4-2 / Heart Of Midlothian 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sturm Graz wins 2, draws 0, Heart Of Midlothian wins 0

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 6:1 5 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 5:0 5 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 5:1 4 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 4:0 4 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
9 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
10 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
11 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
12 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
13 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
14 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
15 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
16 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
17 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
18 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
19 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
20 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
21 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
25 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
26 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
27 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
28 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
29 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
30 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
31 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
32 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
33 1 0 0 1 1:5 -4 0
L
34 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
L
35 1 0 0 1 1:6 -5 0
L
36 1 0 0 1 0:5 -5 0
L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)